Casper Ruud vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Ruud-Auger-Aliassime men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Auger-Aliassime a 54% chance of winning against Ruud at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament. Additionally, Auger-Aliassime has a 52% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Ruud (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 25.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Felix Auger-Aliassime -145, Casper Ruud +132
• First Set: Ruud +120, Auger-Aliassime -152

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Ruud @ +132 via DraftKings
• First Set: Auger-Aliassime @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Casper Ruud to win.

Although Ruud is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Casper Ruud and Felix Auger-Aliassime is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 1:10 AM ET.

• Who: Casper Ruud vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
• Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:10 AM ET/10:10PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Felix Auger-Aliassime, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Casper Ruud at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.