Andrey Rublev vs. Andrea Pellegrino prediction, odds, picks for ATP Swedish Open 2026

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Written by Damien Souness

Get Rublev vs Pellegrino predictions for ATP Swedish Open.

Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Tennis Prediction.
Our Andrey Rublev and Andrea Pellegrino tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Andrey Rublev will take on Andrea Pellegrino in the round of 16 at the ATP Bastad event on Thursday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Andrey Rublev as the most likely winner of the Rublev vs. Pellegrino match.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Rublev vs. Pellegrino prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Rublev-Pellegrino men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Rublev a 75% chance of beating Pellegrino at the ATP Swedish Open tournament.

 

Andrey Rublev vs. Andrea Pellegrino odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Rublev Pellegrino
Moneyline -283 +235
Game Spread -3.5 (-136) +3.5 (+104)
Total Games o21.5 (-118) u21.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Rublev vs. Pellegrino picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Rublev -283
First Set Pellegrino -112

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Andrey Rublev to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Rublev vs. Pellegrino updates and essential details

The ATP Swedish Open match between Andrey Rublev and Andrea Pellegrino is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 7:10 AM ET.

  • Who: Andrey Rublev vs. Andrea Pellegrino
  • Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 7:10 AM ET/4:10AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Bastad, Sweden Men's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Andrey Rublev, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Andrea Pellegrino at the ATP Swedish Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Experience Officer

Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.

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