Adrian Mannarino vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's Mannarino-Basilashvili men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Mannarino a 51% chance of defeating Basilashvili at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament. Additionally, both Mannarino and Basilashvili have an equal 50-50 chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mannarino (+0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 24.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Nikoloz Basilashvili -110, Adrian Mannarino +100
• First Set: Mannarino +100, Basilashvili -125

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Mannarino @ +100 via DraftKings
• First Set: Basilashvili @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Adrian Mannarino to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Adrian Mannarino and Nikoloz Basilashvili is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 1:10 AM ET.

• Who: Adrian Mannarino vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili
• Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:10 AM ET/10:10PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 128

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Adrian Mannarino, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Nikoloz Basilashvili at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.