Wild vs. Flames Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Wild vs. Flames in the NHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Wild
vs.
Scotiabank Saddledome
Flames
Scotiabank Saddledome
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Wild
    62.2%
    NovigNovig
  • Flames
    37.8%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Wild
Probability
  • Kirill Kaprizov
    49.2%
  • Matt Boldy
    44.7%
  • Joel Ek
    28.7%
  • Blake Coleman
  • Ryan Hartman
Flames
Probability
  • Matthew Coronato
    27.1%
  • Morgan Frost
    26.9%
  • Joel Farabee
    25.1%
  • Aydar Suniev
  • Yegor Sharangovich

Wild vs. Flames prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames
  • Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
  • Puck drop: 9:00PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Wild (-1.5, +135), Flames (+1.5, -138)
  • Moneyline: Wild -182, Flames +178
  • Total (Over/Under): 6 goals (+101/-115)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Wild: 62.2%
  • Flames: 37.8%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Wild vs. Flames player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Kirill Kaprizov, Wild: 50.1%
  • Matt Boldy, Wild: 45.0%
  • Morgan Frost, Flames: 27.1%
  • Matthew Coronato, Flames: 27.0%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wild a win probability of 62.2%, while the Flames have a win probability of 37.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Wild are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Wild vs. Flames, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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