Penguins vs. Bruins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Bruins NHL game on January 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Penguins
0
1
TD Garden
Bruins
TD Garden
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 0 0 0
Bruins
1 0 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    0%
  • Bruins
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 0 0 0
Bruins
1 0 0 1
P3 19:06 Shot missed by Nikita Zadorov
P3 17:12 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
P3 16:23 Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 16:05 Thomas Novak shot blocked by Jonathan Aspirot
P3 14:39 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 13:57 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 12:18 Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
P3 12:18 Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 11:20 Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 09:18 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P3 08:24 Shot missed by Connor Clifton
P3 08:12 Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
P3 06:03 Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 04:13 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 03:20 Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P3 01:57 Power play - David Pastrnak shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 00:43 Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P2 19:52 Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Joonas Korpisalo
P2 19:43 Thomas Novak shot blocked by Nikita Zadorov
P2 18:56 Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:35
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  4. P3 19:35
    Stoppage - High Stick
  5. P3 19:10
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
  6. P3 19:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Zadorov
  7. P3 18:36
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
  8. P3 18:36
    Stoppage - Offside - Visitor Timeout
  9. P3 17:12
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
  10. P3 16:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
  11. P3 16:05
    SHOT
    Thomas Novak shot blocked by Jonathan Aspirot
  12. P3 15:19
    Giveaway by Nikita Zadorov in defensive zone
  13. P3 15:01
    Kris Letang credited with hit on Viktor Arvidsson in neutral zone
  14. P3 14:56
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
  15. P3 14:56
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  16. P3 14:41
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  17. P3 14:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  18. P3 13:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  19. P3 13:02
    Giveaway by Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
  20. P3 12:55
    Penguins won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
  21. P3 12:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  22. P3 12:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
  23. P3 12:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
  24. P3 11:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
  25. P3 10:27
    Alex Steeves credited with hit on Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  26. P3 09:31
    Jonathan Aspirot credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  27. P3 09:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  28. P3 09:15
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
  29. P3 08:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Clifton
  30. P3 08:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
  31. P3 07:30
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
  32. P3 06:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kris Letang
  33. P3 05:38
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
  34. P3 04:13
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Stuart Skinner
  35. P3 03:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  36. P3 02:23
    Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  37. P3 01:57
    SHOT
    Power play - David Pastrnak shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  38. P3 01:48
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
  39. P3 00:46
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
  40. P3 00:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  41. P3 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in neutral zone
  42. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  43. P2 19:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  44. P2 19:43
    SHOT
    Thomas Novak shot blocked by Nikita Zadorov
  45. P2 18:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
  46. P2 18:36
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  47. P2 18:29
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
  48. P2 18:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
  49. P2 18:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  50. P2 17:46
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
  51. P2 17:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  52. P2 17:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Steeves saved by Stuart Skinner
  53. P2 17:10
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
  54. P2 16:42
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  55. P2 16:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Stuart Skinner
  56. P2 15:56
    Giveaway by Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  57. P2 15:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Elias Lindholm
  58. P2 15:42
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  59. P2 15:42
    Stoppage - Player Injury
  60. P2 15:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
  61. P2 14:44
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
  62. P2 14:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  63. P2 14:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  64. P2 13:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brett Kulak
  65. P2 13:06
    Shorthanded - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  66. P2 13:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  67. P2 12:19
    Shorthanded - Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  68. P2 11:36
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  69. P2 11:36
    Penalty to Mark Kastelic 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Stuart Skinner)
  70. P2 11:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sean Kuraly
  71. P2 11:32
    SHOT
    Henri Jokiharju shot blocked by Sidney Crosby
  72. P2 11:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Stuart Skinner
  73. P2 10:48
    Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  74. P2 10:48
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in neutral zone
  75. P2 10:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
  76. P2 09:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Casey Mittelstadt shot blocked by teammate
  77. P2 08:35
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
  78. P2 08:35
    Penalty to Brett Kulak 2 minutes for Misconduct
  79. P2 08:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mason Lohrei
  80. P2 08:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
  81. P2 07:37
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
  82. P2 07:37
    Stoppage - Player Injury
  83. P2 07:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
  84. P2 06:14
    Power play - Giveaway by Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
  85. P2 06:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by David Pastrnak
  86. P2 05:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Charlie McAvoy
  87. P2 05:51
    Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  88. P2 05:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  89. P2 05:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Steeves saved by Stuart Skinner
  90. P2 05:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Mason Lohrei shot blocked by teammate
  91. P2 05:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
  92. P2 04:29
    Power play - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  93. P2 04:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  94. P2 04:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mason Lohrei saved by Stuart Skinner
  95. P2 04:25
    Power play - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  96. P2 04:25
    Penalty to Brett Kulak 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Mark Kastelic)
  97. P2 04:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
  98. P2 03:45
    Giveaway by Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  99. P2 03:19
    Giveaway by Marat Khusnutdinov in offensive zone
  100. P2 03:09
    Giveaway by David Pastrnak in neutral zone
  101. P2 03:04
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
  102. P2 03:00
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  103. P2 03:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  104. P2 02:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  105. P2 02:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
  106. P2 02:03
    Takeaway by Connor Clifton in defensive zone
  107. P2 01:57
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in offensive zone
  108. P2 01:57
    Stoppage - Icing
  109. P2 01:30
    Giveaway by Sean Kuraly in neutral zone
  110. P2 01:23
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Tanner Jeannot
  111. P2 01:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  112. P2 00:44
    Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  113. P2 00:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  114. P2 00:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  115. P2 00:00
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
  116. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  117. P1 19:34
    Shorthanded - Erik Karlsson credited with hit on Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
  118. P1 18:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Pavel Zacha
  119. P1 18:23
    Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  120. P1 17:59
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
  121. P1 17:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  122. P1 17:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Stuart Skinner
  123. P1 17:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  124. P1 17:33
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
  125. P1 17:33
    Stoppage - Offside
  126. P1 17:03
    Giveaway by Nikita Zadorov in defensive zone
  127. P1 16:43
    SHOT
    Sean Kuraly shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
  128. P1 16:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
  129. P1 16:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Stuart Skinner
  130. P1 16:22
    SHOT
    Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  131. P1 15:48
    Giveaway by Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  132. P1 15:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  133. P1 15:23
    SHOT
    Fraser Minten shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  134. P1 14:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  135. P1 14:53
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Fraser Minten in offensive zone
  136. P1 14:53
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  137. P1 14:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  138. P1 14:16
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
  139. P1 13:39
    Casey Mittelstadt credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
  140. P1 13:37
    Giveaway by Charlie McAvoy in defensive zone
  141. P1 13:33
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
  142. P1 13:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Stuart Skinner
  143. P1 13:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  144. P1 12:29
    Yegor Chinakhov won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  145. P1 12:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  146. P1 12:23
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  147. P1 12:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  148. P1 12:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  149. P1 11:59
    Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
  150. P1 11:59
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  151. P1 11:26
    Anthony Mantha credited with hit on Alex Steeves in neutral zone
  152. P1 11:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
  153. P1 10:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
  154. P1 10:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Henri Jokiharju saved by Stuart Skinner
  155. P1 10:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  156. P1 10:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  157. P1 09:34
    SHOT
    Jonathan Aspirot shot blocked by Kevin Hayes
  158. P1 09:18
    SHOT
    Elias Lindholm shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  159. P1 09:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Elias Lindholm
  160. P1 09:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  161. P1 09:04
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  162. P1 09:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  163. P1 09:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  164. P1 08:33
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in defensive zone
  165. P1 08:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  166. P1 08:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Stuart Skinner
  167. P1 08:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Steeves saved by Stuart Skinner
  168. P1 07:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Stuart Skinner
  169. P1 06:38
    SHOT
    Power play - David Pastrnak shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
  170. P1 06:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt
  171. P1 06:07
    Power play - Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  172. P1 06:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  173. P1 06:04
    SHOT
    Power play - David Pastrnak shot blocked by Connor Dewar
  174. P1 06:02
    Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  175. P1 06:02
    Penalty to Justin Brazeau 2 minutes for Misconduct
  176. P1 05:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  177. P1 05:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  178. P1 05:36
    Giveaway by David Pastrnak in neutral zone
  179. P1 05:30
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  180. P1 05:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  181. P1 05:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Joonas Korpisalo
  182. P1 05:24
    Takeaway by Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  183. P1 05:02
    Kevin Hayes credited with hit on Nikita Zadorov in neutral zone
  184. P1 04:57
    Fraser Minten won faceoff against Yegor Chinakhov in neutral zone
  185. P1 04:57
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tanner Jeannot assisted by Mark Kastelic and Nikita Zadorov
    0-1
  186. P1 04:52
    SHOT
    Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
  187. P1 04:35
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
  188. P1 04:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  189. P1 02:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by teammate
  190. P1 02:21
    Power play - Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  191. P1 02:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  192. P1 01:12
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
  193. P1 01:12
    Stoppage - Icing
  194. P1 01:03
    Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  195. P1 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in neutral zone
  196. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Bruins
27Shots on Goal18
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/0
12Penalty Infraction Mins4
18Hits15
17 Shots Blocked 18
16Giveaways16
PenguinsPIT
BruinsBOS
27Shots on Goal18
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/0
12Penalty Infraction Mins4
18Hits15
17 Shots Blocked 18
16Giveaways16

Penguins vs. Bruins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Bruins
  • Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TD Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins -110, Bruins +100

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 50%
  • Bruins: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 50%, while the Bruins have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Bruins in the NHL game at TD Garden on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Bruins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.