Golden Knights vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Oilers NHL game on December 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Golden Knights
3
4
Rogers Place
Oilers
Rogers Place
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 1 2 3
Oilers
2 2 0 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Golden Knights
    0%
  • Oilers
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 1 2 3
Oilers
2 2 0 4
P3 19:52 Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 19:05 Mitch Marner shot blocked by Spencer Stastney
P3 18:24 Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
P3 18:09 Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
P3 17:29 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Connor Ingram
P3 17:21 Shot on goal by Kaedan Korczak saved by Connor Ingram
P3 16:59 Shot missed by Matt Savoie
P3 16:55 Ty Emberson shot blocked by Tomas Hertl
P3 15:23 Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
P3 15:13 Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P3 15:00 Power play - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Colton Sissons
P3 14:50 Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Carter Hart
P3 14:36 Power play - Shot missed by Zach Hyman
P3 12:12 Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Connor Ingram
P3 11:18 Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Adam Henrique
P3 10:54 Brayden McNabb shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:11 Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Connor Ingram
P3 08:20 Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Alec Regula
P3 08:04 Shot missed by Adam Henrique
P3 08:03 Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Carter Hart
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:59
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  3. P3 19:58
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  4. P3 19:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  5. P3 19:12
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  6. P3 19:12
    Stoppage - Icing
  7. P3 19:05
    SHOT
    Mitch Marner shot blocked by Spencer Stastney
  8. P3 18:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
  9. P3 18:10
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  10. P3 18:10
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  11. P3 18:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
  12. P3 17:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Connor Ingram
  13. P3 17:22
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  14. P3 17:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  15. P3 17:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kaedan Korczak saved by Connor Ingram
  16. P3 16:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Savoie
  17. P3 16:57
    Brett Howden won faceoff against Oilers in defensive zone
  18. P3 16:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  19. P3 16:55
    SHOT
    Ty Emberson shot blocked by Tomas Hertl
  20. P3 16:01
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in offensive zone
  21. P3 16:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  22. P3 15:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
  23. P3 15:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
  24. P3 15:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Colton Sissons
  25. P3 14:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Carter Hart
  26. P3 14:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Zach Hyman
  27. P3 13:42
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  28. P3 13:42
    Stoppage - Offside
  29. P3 13:32
    Zach Whitecloud won faceoff against Oilers in defensive zone
  30. P3 13:32
    Penalty to Brett Howden 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Evan Bouchard)
  31. P3 13:26
    Curtis Lazar credited with hit on Reilly Smith in defensive zone
  32. P3 12:29
    Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Kaedan Korczak in offensive zone
  33. P3 12:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Connor Ingram
  34. P3 11:18
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Adam Henrique
  35. P3 11:16
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  36. P3 11:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  37. P3 10:54
    SHOT
    Brayden McNabb shot blocked by teammate
  38. P3 10:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Connor Ingram
  39. P3 08:23
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  40. P3 08:23
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  41. P3 08:20
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Alec Regula
  42. P3 08:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Henrique
  43. P3 08:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Carter Hart
  44. P3 07:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
  45. P3 05:49
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Brett Howden in neutral zone
  46. P3 05:48
    SHOT
    Mitch Marner shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  47. P3 05:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Connor Ingram
  48. P3 05:12
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  49. P3 05:12
    Stoppage - Icing
  50. P3 03:52
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
  51. P3 03:52
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Pavel Dorofeyev assisted by Tomas Hertl and Noah Hanifin
    2-4
  52. P3 03:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Connor Ingram
  53. P3 03:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Connor Ingram
  54. P3 03:39
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
  55. P3 03:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  56. P3 03:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mitch Marner
  57. P3 03:31
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
  58. P3 03:31
    Penalty to Alec Regula 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Reilly Smith)
  59. P3 03:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Connor Ingram
  60. P3 02:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Carter Hart
  61. P3 02:15
    SHOT
    Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Alec Regula
  62. P3 01:37
    SHOT
    Jeremy Lauzon shot blocked by Curtis Lazar
  63. P3 01:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jeremy Lauzon saved by Connor Ingram
  64. P3 01:07
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
  65. P3 01:07
    Stoppage - Icing
  66. P3 00:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Connor Ingram
  67. P3 00:39
    Ben Hutton credited with hit on Mattias Janmark in defensive zone
  68. P3 00:31
    SHOT
    Ben Hutton shot blocked by Mattias Janmark
  69. P3 00:29
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
  70. P3 00:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Connor Ingram
  71. P3 00:00
    Brett Howden won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  72. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  73. P2 19:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mitch Marner
  74. P2 19:39
    SHOT
    Mitch Marner shot blocked by Connor McDavid
  75. P2 19:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
  76. P2 18:14
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
  77. P2 18:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  78. P2 18:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Whitecloud
  79. P2 14:36
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
  80. P2 14:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  81. P2 14:04
    Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  82. P2 14:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  83. P2 14:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  84. P2 13:57
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  85. P2 13:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  86. P2 13:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Connor Ingram
  87. P2 13:43
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
  88. P2 13:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  89. P2 13:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Hyman
  90. P2 13:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alec Regula saved by Carter Hart
  91. P2 13:23
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
  92. P2 13:23
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  93. P2 13:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Reilly Smith
  94. P2 12:59
    Brett Howden won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  95. P2 12:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  96. P2 12:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  97. P2 12:06
    Penalty to Adam Henrique 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Cole Reinhardt)
  98. P2 12:06
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  99. P2 12:06
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  100. P2 12:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Connor Ingram
  101. P2 11:10
    SHOT
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
  102. P2 09:36
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in neutral zone
  103. P2 09:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  104. P2 08:50
    Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Vasily Podkolzin in defensive zone
  105. P2 08:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Connor Ingram
  106. P2 08:13
    Cole Reinhardt credited with hit on Evan Bouchard in defensive zone
  107. P2 08:13
    SHOT
    Adam Henrique shot blocked by teammate
  108. P2 07:45
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  109. P2 07:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
  110. P2 06:22
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
  111. P2 06:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  112. P2 06:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Saad saved by Connor Ingram
  113. P2 06:06
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
  114. P2 06:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  115. P2 06:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Connor Ingram
  116. P2 05:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Connor Ingram
  117. P2 05:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Whitecloud
  118. P2 05:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Connor Ingram
  119. P2 03:11
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  120. P2 03:11
    Stoppage - Offside
  121. P2 02:44
    SHOT
    Curtis Lazar shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
  122. P2 02:22
    Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
  123. P2 02:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
  124. P2 02:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Carter Hart
  125. P2 02:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
  126. P2 01:56
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  127. P2 01:56
    Penalty to Jeremy Lauzon 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Max Jones)
  128. P2 01:31
    Jack Roslovic credited with hit on Mark Stone in offensive zone
  129. P2 01:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
  130. P2 01:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alec Regula
  131. P2 01:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
  132. P2 00:09
    Brett Howden credited with hit on Evan Bouchard in offensive zone
  133. P2 00:00
    Brett Howden won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  134. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  135. P1 19:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Reilly Smith
  136. P1 19:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
  137. P1 18:43
    Power play - Brett Howden won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
  138. P1 18:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  139. P1 18:41
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Carter Hart
  140. P1 17:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  141. P1 17:26
    Shorthanded - Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  142. P1 17:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Howden saved by Connor Ingram
  143. P1 16:59
    Brett Howden won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
  144. P1 16:59
    Stoppage - Offside
  145. P1 16:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
  146. P1 16:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Carter Hart
  147. P1 15:51
    SHOT
    Mitch Marner shot blocked by Alec Regula
  148. P1 15:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Connor Ingram
  149. P1 14:45
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in neutral zone
  150. P1 14:45
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  151. P1 14:37
    Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
  152. P1 14:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by Carter Hart
  153. P1 14:04
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
  154. P1 14:04
    Stoppage - Offside
  155. P1 13:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Carter Hart
  156. P1 13:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
  157. P1 13:17
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Kaedan Korczak saved by Connor Ingram
  158. P1 12:58
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
  159. P1 12:58
    Penalty to Ben Hutton 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Connor McDavid)
  160. P1 12:58
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  161. P1 12:55
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Carter Hart
  162. P1 12:23
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  163. P1 11:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Mark Stone shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
  164. P1 10:57
    Shorthanded - Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  165. P1 10:57
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  166. P1 10:57
    Penalty to Leon Draisaitl 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Tomas Hertl)
  167. P1 10:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Savoie
  168. P1 09:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Carter Hart
  169. P1 09:11
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
  170. P1 09:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  171. P1 08:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Carter Hart
  172. P1 08:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  173. P1 08:07
    SHOT
    Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Spencer Stastney
  174. P1 08:05
    Brett Howden won faceoff against Mattias Janmark in offensive zone
  175. P1 07:58
    Brett Howden won faceoff against Mattias Janmark in offensive zone
  176. P1 07:58
    Stoppage - Icing
  177. P1 07:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Connor Ingram
  178. P1 07:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Connor Ingram
  179. P1 07:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Ty Emberson
  180. P1 06:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mark Stone
  181. P1 06:46
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
  182. P1 06:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  183. P1 06:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mark Stone
  184. P1 06:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  185. P1 06:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  186. P1 05:59
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
  187. P1 05:59
    Stoppage - High Stick
  188. P1 05:47
    Shorthanded - Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  189. P1 05:47
    Penalty to Andrew Mangiapane 2 minutes for Hooking
  190. P1 05:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Reinhardt saved by Connor Ingram
  191. P1 05:11
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
  192. P1 05:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  193. P1 05:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
  194. P1 04:28
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
  195. P1 04:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
  196. P1 04:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Carter Hart
  197. P1 03:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
  198. P1 03:32
    SHOT
    Zach Hyman shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  199. P1 03:28
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  200. P1 03:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  201. P1 02:28
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
  202. P1 02:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  203. P1 02:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
  204. P1 01:36
    SHOT
    Ty Emberson shot blocked by Pavel Dorofeyev
  205. P1 01:33
    Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  206. P1 01:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  207. P1 01:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alec Regula saved by Carter Hart
  208. P1 00:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Carter Hart
  209. P1 00:52
    Giveaway by Alec Regula in offensive zone
  210. P1 00:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Barbashev saved by Connor Ingram
  211. P1 00:13
    Takeaway by Brett Howden in neutral zone
  212. P1 00:00
    Brett Howden won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  213. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Golden Knights
STATS
Oilers
29Shots on Goal21
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
6Penalty Infraction Mins10
32Hits24
13 Shots Blocked 17
17Giveaways22
Golden KnightsVGK
OilersEDM
29Shots on Goal21
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
6Penalty Infraction Mins10
32Hits24
13 Shots Blocked 17
17Giveaways22

Golden Knights vs. Oilers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Golden Knights vs. Oilers
  • Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Place

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights +106, Oilers -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Golden Knights: 46%
  • Oilers: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 46%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Golden Knights in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Golden Knights vs. Oilers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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