Hurricanes vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hurricanes vs. Lightning NHL game on December 20, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Hurricanes
4
6
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123T
Hurricanes
3 0 1 4
Lightning
0 3 3 6
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Hurricanes
    0%
  • Lightning
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Hurricanes
3 0 1 4
Lightning
0 3 3 6
P3 19:42 Shot missed by Mike Reilly
P3 19:33 Goal scored by Jake Guentzel
P3 19:07 Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
P3 19:01 Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:47 Shot missed by Alexander Nikishin
P3 18:39 Shot missed by Andrei Svechnikov
P3 16:53 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
P3 14:23 Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Nick Paul
P3 14:15 Shot on goal by Logan Stankoven saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:11 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 13:09 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Taylor Hall
P3 13:01 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 12:44 Nick Paul shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
P3 12:33 Shot on goal by Bradly Nadeau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:08 Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
P3 11:37 Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 11:00 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 10:45 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
P3 10:06 Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Nick Paul
P3 09:34 K'Andre Miller shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mike Reilly
  3. P3 19:33
    Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Jack Finley in neutral zone
  4. P3 19:33
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jake Guentzel
    4-6
  5. P3 19:07
    SHOT
    Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
  6. P3 19:02
    Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  7. P3 19:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  8. P3 19:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  9. P3 18:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexander Nikishin
  10. P3 18:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrei Svechnikov
  11. P3 17:02
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in offensive zone
  12. P3 17:02
    Stoppage - Icing
  13. P3 16:54
    Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  14. P3 16:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  15. P3 16:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  16. P3 16:11
    Shorthanded - K'Andre Miller credited with hit on Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
  17. P3 15:10
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
  18. P3 15:10
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  19. P3 14:32
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
  20. P3 14:32
    Penalty to Andrei Svechnikov 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand)
  21. P3 14:23
    SHOT
    Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Nick Paul
  22. P3 14:17
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in defensive zone
  23. P3 14:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  24. P3 14:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Logan Stankoven saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  25. P3 13:30
    Ryan McDonagh credited with hit on Taylor Hall in defensive zone
  26. P3 13:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  27. P3 13:09
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Taylor Hall
  28. P3 13:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  29. P3 12:44
    SHOT
    Nick Paul shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
  30. P3 12:39
    Jordan Staal credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  31. P3 12:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bradly Nadeau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  32. P3 12:18
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  33. P3 12:18
    Stoppage - Icing
  34. P3 12:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  35. P3 12:06
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
  36. P3 12:06
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  37. P3 11:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Point
  38. P3 11:08
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in neutral zone
  39. P3 11:08
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  40. P3 11:02
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Jesperi Kotkaniemi in offensive zone
  41. P3 11:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  42. P3 11:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  43. P3 10:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  44. P3 10:06
    SHOT
    Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Nick Paul
  45. P3 09:34
    SHOT
    K'Andre Miller shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  46. P3 08:43
    SHOT
    Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by Brayden Point
  47. P3 08:08
    Takeaway by Alexander Nikishin in defensive zone
  48. P3 07:09
    Giveaway by Jalen Chatfield in offensive zone
  49. P3 06:39
    Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  50. P3 06:38
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
  51. P3 06:38
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
  52. P3 06:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  53. P3 05:26
    Mark Jankowski credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
  54. P3 04:01
    Bradly Nadeau credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
  55. P3 03:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Paul
  56. P3 03:13
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
  57. P3 03:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Hurricanes
  58. P3 03:13
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan McDonagh
    4-4
  59. P3 02:49
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Andrei Svechnikov assisted by Mark Jankowski and Jesperi Kotkaniemi
    4-3
  60. P3 02:47
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
  61. P3 02:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrei Svechnikov
  62. P3 02:17
    Giveaway by Eric Robinson in neutral zone
  63. P3 01:56
    Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  64. P3 01:56
    Stoppage - Icing
  65. P3 01:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexander Nikishin
  66. P3 01:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bradly Nadeau
  67. P3 01:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 00:00
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in neutral zone
  69. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  70. P2 19:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Max Crozier
  71. P2 19:04
    Power play - Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  72. P2 19:04
    Stoppage
  73. P2 18:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Andrei Svechnikov shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  74. P2 18:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jackson Blake
  75. P2 18:07
    Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
  76. P2 18:07
    Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Logan Stankoven)
  77. P2 17:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shayne Gostisbehere saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  78. P2 16:52
    SHOT
    Jesperi Kotkaniemi shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  79. P2 16:36
    Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  80. P2 16:36
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jack Finley assisted by Dominic James and Yanni Gourde
    3-3
  81. P2 16:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Finley
  82. P2 16:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Finley saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  83. P2 15:47
    SHOT
    Sean Walker shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
  84. P2 15:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Eric Robinson
  85. P2 15:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Logan Stankoven
  86. P2 14:54
    SHOT
    K'Andre Miller shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  87. P2 14:49
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
  88. P2 14:49
    Stoppage - Icing
  89. P2 14:22
    SHOT
    Mark Jankowski shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  90. P2 14:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bradly Nadeau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  91. P2 13:28
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Jesperi Kotkaniemi in defensive zone
  92. P2 13:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  93. P2 13:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrei Svechnikov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  94. P2 13:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sean Walker
  95. P2 13:16
    Giveaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in defensive zone
  96. P2 12:19
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
  97. P2 12:19
    Stoppage - Icing
  98. P2 12:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  99. P2 12:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  100. P2 11:40
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jordan Staal
  101. P2 11:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  102. P2 11:29
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  103. P2 11:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  104. P2 11:24
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  105. P2 11:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  106. P2 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  107. P2 11:10
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
  108. P2 08:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrei Svechnikov
  109. P2 07:46
    SHOT
    Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by K'Andre Miller
  110. P2 07:14
    Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  111. P2 07:14
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  112. P2 07:13
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Nikolaj Ehlers
  113. P2 07:05
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in defensive zone
  114. P2 07:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  115. P2 07:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Eric Robinson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  116. P2 06:56
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
  117. P2 06:56
    Stoppage - Icing
  118. P2 06:43
    Dominic James won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
  119. P2 06:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  120. P2 06:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  121. P2 06:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  122. P2 05:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  123. P2 05:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  124. P2 05:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Taylor Hall
  125. P2 04:30
    Power play - Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Eric Robinson in neutral zone
  126. P2 04:24
    Shorthanded - Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  127. P2 04:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  128. P2 04:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  129. P2 03:13
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  130. P2 02:53
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Sebastian Aho saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  131. P2 02:44
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
  132. P2 02:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  133. P2 02:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Brayden Point shot blocked by K'Andre Miller
  134. P2 02:07
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
  135. P2 02:07
    Penalty to Jesperi Kotkaniemi 2 minutes for Roughing
  136. P2 02:07
    Penalty to Mark Jankowski 2 minutes for Misconduct
  137. P2 02:07
    Penalty to Nick Paul 2 minutes for Misconduct
  138. P2 02:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  139. P2 01:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  140. P2 01:45
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in offensive zone
  141. P2 01:37
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in neutral zone
  142. P2 01:37
    Stoppage - Icing
  143. P2 01:26
    Jesperi Kotkaniemi credited with hit on Declan Carlile in offensive zone
  144. P2 01:20
    Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  145. P2 01:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Point
  146. P2 00:56
    Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  147. P2 00:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  148. P2 00:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by K'Andre Miller
  149. P2 00:36
    Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Jalen Chatfield in offensive zone
  150. P2 00:30
    Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  151. P2 00:30
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Gage Goncalves assisted by Dominic James and Max Crozier
    3-1
  152. P2 00:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
  153. P2 00:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Walker saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  154. P2 00:00
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Jack Finley in neutral zone
  155. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  156. P1 19:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Declan Carlile
  157. P1 19:31
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in offensive zone
  158. P1 19:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  159. P1 19:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Taylor Hall saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  160. P1 18:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  161. P1 18:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  162. P1 18:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by K'Andre Miller saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  163. P1 18:40
    Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  164. P1 18:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  165. P1 18:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Point
  166. P1 17:06
    Gage Goncalves credited with hit on Jalen Chatfield in offensive zone
  167. P1 16:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jalen Chatfield
  168. P1 16:49
    William Carrier credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
  169. P1 16:42
    Jordan Staal won faceoff against Jack Finley in neutral zone
  170. P1 16:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  171. P1 16:19
    Power play - Giveaway by Bradly Nadeau in offensive zone
  172. P1 15:33
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  173. P1 14:36
    Power play - Jordan Staal won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  174. P1 14:36
    Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for High Sticking
  175. P1 13:11
    Power play - Giveaway by Andrei Svechnikov in offensive zone
  176. P1 12:27
    Power play - Sebastian Aho won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  177. P1 12:27
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Bradly Nadeau
    3-0
  178. P1 11:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Logan Stankoven saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  179. P1 11:36
    Power play - Logan Stankoven won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  180. P1 11:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  181. P1 11:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Andrei Svechnikov
  182. P1 11:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Sebastian Aho
  183. P1 10:35
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
  184. P1 10:35
    Stoppage - Video Review
  185. P1 10:35
    Penalty to Jack Finley 4 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Mike Reilly)
  186. P1 10:25
    Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
  187. P1 10:25
    Stoppage - Icing
  188. P1 08:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jalen Chatfield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  189. P1 08:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikolaj Ehlers saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  190. P1 08:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Paul
  191. P1 08:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Paul
  192. P1 07:06
    Power play - Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  193. P1 06:00
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jordan Staal in offensive zone
  194. P1 06:00
    Penalty to Andrei Svechnikov 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Zemgus Girgensons)
  195. P1 05:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  196. P1 04:45
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Logan Stankoven in offensive zone
  197. P1 04:45
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  198. P1 04:01
    Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  199. P1 04:00
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in neutral zone
  200. P1 04:00
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in neutral zone
  201. P1 04:00
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Jackson Blake assisted by Nikolaj Ehlers and Shayne Gostisbehere
    2-0
  202. P1 03:27
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jordan Staal in defensive zone
  203. P1 03:27
    Penalty to Declan Carlile 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Eric Robinson)
  204. P1 03:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Eric Robinson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  205. P1 03:00
    Giveaway by Alexander Nikishin in defensive zone
  206. P1 02:48
    Max Crozier credited with hit on William Carrier in defensive zone
  207. P1 02:42
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
  208. P1 02:42
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Eric Robinson assisted by Jordan Staal
    2-0
  209. P1 02:38
    Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
  210. P1 02:18
    Takeaway by Mike Reilly in defensive zone
  211. P1 01:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Pyotr Kochetkov
  212. P1 01:23
    K'Andre Miller credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
  213. P1 01:13
    Andrei Svechnikov credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
  214. P1 00:21
    SHOT
    Dominic James shot blocked by Mike Reilly
  215. P1 00:15
    Eric Robinson credited with hit on Declan Carlile in offensive zone
  216. P1 00:06
    Giveaway by Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
  217. P1 00:00
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Jordan Staal in neutral zone
  218. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Hurricanes
STATS
Lightning
22Shots on Goal29
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins14
23Hits19
15 Shots Blocked 15
13Giveaways14
HurricanesCAR
LightningTB
22Shots on Goal29
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins14
23Hits19
15 Shots Blocked 15
13Giveaways14

Hurricanes vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Hurricanes vs. Lightning
  • Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Hurricanes +118, Lightning -132

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Hurricanes: 46%
  • Lightning: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hurricanes a win probability of 46%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Hurricanes in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Hurricanes vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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