Penguins vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Senators NHL game on December 18, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Penguins
0
4
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 0 0 0
Senators
1 2 1 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    0%
  • Senators
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 0 0 0
Senators
1 2 1 4
P3 19:52 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 18:53 Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P3 18:52 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:51 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:44 Artem Zub shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 18:34 Jordan Spence shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 17:28 Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P3 17:11 Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 16:25 Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 16:22 Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 15:07 Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 13:55 Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Nick Jensen and Nikolas Matinpalo
P3 12:59 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:56 Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P3 12:32 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 11:29 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 11:23 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:27 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 09:44 Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 09:35 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:52
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Linus Ullmark
  4. P3 19:06
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  5. P3 19:06
    Penalty to Anthony Mantha 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Ridly Greig)
  6. P3 18:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
  7. P3 18:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
  8. P3 18:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Arturs Silovs
  9. P3 18:44
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  10. P3 18:34
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  11. P3 17:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  12. P3 17:11
    SHOT
    Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  13. P3 16:27
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  14. P3 16:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  15. P3 16:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Linus Ullmark
  16. P3 16:22
    SHOT
    Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Ridly Greig
  17. P3 15:32
    Nick Cousins credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone
  18. P3 15:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Arturs Silovs
  19. P3 13:55
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  20. P3 13:55
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Nick Jensen and Nikolas Matinpalo
    0-4
  21. P3 12:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
  22. P3 12:58
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  23. P3 12:58
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  24. P3 12:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noel Acciari
  25. P3 12:37
    Michael Amadio credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in offensive zone
  26. P3 12:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Arturs Silovs
  27. P3 11:39
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
  28. P3 11:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  29. P3 11:32
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
  30. P3 11:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  31. P3 11:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
  32. P3 11:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Linus Ullmark
  33. P3 10:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
  34. P3 09:51
    Stephen Halliday won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  35. P3 09:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  36. P3 09:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Shea
  37. P3 09:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  38. P3 09:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  39. P3 09:09
    Nick Cousins credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in neutral zone
  40. P3 08:52
    Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  41. P3 08:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rutger McGroarty saved by Linus Ullmark
  42. P3 08:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Arturs Silovs
  43. P3 07:39
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  44. P3 07:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Linus Ullmark
  45. P3 07:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  46. P3 07:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  47. P3 06:37
    SHOT
    Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  48. P3 06:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Linus Ullmark
  49. P3 06:10
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  50. P3 06:10
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  51. P3 06:04
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Thomas Novak in offensive zone
  52. P3 06:04
    Stoppage - Icing
  53. P3 05:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Shea
  54. P3 05:06
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  55. P3 05:06
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  56. P3 02:53
    Giveaway by Bryan Rust in defensive zone
  57. P3 02:42
    Stephen Halliday credited with hit on Brett Kulak in offensive zone
  58. P3 02:24
    Stephen Halliday won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  59. P3 02:24
    Stoppage - Offside
  60. P3 02:09
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  61. P3 02:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  62. P3 02:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Linus Ullmark
  63. P3 01:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  64. P3 01:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brett Kulak
  65. P3 00:56
    Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
  66. P3 00:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
  67. P3 00:00
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  68. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  69. P2 19:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Danton Heinen
  70. P2 19:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  71. P2 19:35
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  72. P2 19:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  73. P2 19:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Arturs Silovs
  74. P2 18:52
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  75. P2 18:44
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  76. P2 18:44
    Stoppage - Offside
  77. P2 17:24
    Giveaway by Connor Dewar in offensive zone
  78. P2 16:30
    SHOT
    Stephen Halliday shot blocked by Kris Letang
  79. P2 16:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Arturs Silovs
  80. P2 16:20
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  81. P2 14:46
    SHOT
    Nick Jensen shot blocked by Kevin Hayes
  82. P2 14:29
    David Perron won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
  83. P2 14:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  84. P2 13:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
  85. P2 12:09
    Shorthanded - Ben Kindel won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
  86. P2 12:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  87. P2 12:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Arturs Silovs
  88. P2 11:21
    Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
  89. P2 11:21
    Penguins challenge (Interference on goalie), call reversed
  90. P2 11:21
    Stoppage - Chlg Vis - goal interference
  91. P2 11:21
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
  92. P2 11:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kris Letang
  93. P2 11:16
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  94. P2 11:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  95. P2 11:16
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  96. P2 10:56
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  97. P2 10:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  98. P2 10:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Arturs Silovs
  99. P2 10:43
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Thomas Novak
  100. P2 10:39
    Justin Brazeau credited with hit on Nick Cousins in defensive zone
  101. P2 10:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Arturs Silovs
  102. P2 10:06
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  103. P2 09:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Linus Ullmark
  104. P2 09:50
    Power play - Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  105. P2 09:50
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  106. P2 09:18
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Arturs Silovs
  107. P2 08:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  108. P2 08:24
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  109. P2 08:11
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
  110. P2 08:11
    Penalty to Claude Giroux 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Sidney Crosby)
  111. P2 07:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Arturs Silovs
  112. P2 07:30
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  113. P2 07:30
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  114. P2 07:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  115. P2 06:42
    SHOT
    Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  116. P2 05:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Arturs Silovs
  117. P2 05:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
  118. P2 05:08
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in offensive zone
  119. P2 05:08
    Stoppage - Icing
  120. P2 04:50
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in neutral zone
  121. P2 04:48
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Claude Giroux assisted by Michael Amadio and Ridly Greig
    0-3
  122. P2 04:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  123. P2 04:05
    Rickard Rakell credited with hit on David Perron in offensive zone
  124. P2 04:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  125. P2 03:59
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in offensive zone
  126. P2 03:59
    Stoppage - Icing
  127. P2 03:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  128. P2 03:17
    Stephen Halliday won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  129. P2 03:17
    Stoppage - Icing
  130. P2 02:50
    SHOT
    Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  131. P2 01:58
    Connor Dewar credited with hit on Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
  132. P2 01:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Linus Ullmark
  133. P2 01:34
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  134. P2 01:34
    GOAL
    Goal scored by David Perron assisted by Jordan Spence and Drake Batherson
    0-2
  135. P2 01:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Arturs Silovs
  136. P2 01:03
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Claude Giroux
  137. P2 00:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  138. P2 00:33
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  139. P2 00:33
    Stoppage
  140. P2 00:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
  141. P2 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
  142. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  143. P1 19:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Linus Ullmark
  144. P1 19:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  145. P1 18:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
  146. P1 18:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Linus Ullmark
  147. P1 17:49
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  148. P1 17:49
    Penalty to Nikolas Matinpalo 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Justin Brazeau)
  149. P1 17:41
    Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Ryan Shea in offensive zone
  150. P1 17:33
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  151. P1 17:26
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  152. P1 17:14
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  153. P1 16:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  154. P1 16:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Arturs Silovs
  155. P1 16:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Jensen
  156. P1 16:05
    SHOT
    Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  157. P1 15:46
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  158. P1 15:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  159. P1 15:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Danton Heinen
  160. P1 15:42
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by teammate
  161. P1 15:21
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
  162. P1 15:21
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  163. P1 15:06
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  164. P1 15:06
    Stoppage - Icing
  165. P1 14:51
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  166. P1 14:51
    Stoppage - Offside
  167. P1 14:25
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  168. P1 14:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  169. P1 14:04
    Jack St. Ivany credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  170. P1 13:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
  171. P1 13:17
    Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
  172. P1 13:15
    Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Jack St. Ivany in offensive zone
  173. P1 12:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  174. P1 12:01
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  175. P1 12:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  176. P1 11:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Linus Ullmark
  177. P1 11:51
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
  178. P1 11:46
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by teammate
  179. P1 11:39
    SHOT
    Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
  180. P1 11:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Linus Ullmark
  181. P1 11:22
    SHOT
    Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
  182. P1 11:11
    SHOT
    Stephen Halliday shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
  183. P1 10:52
    SHOT
    Connor Dewar shot blocked by Stephen Halliday
  184. P1 10:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Arturs Silovs
  185. P1 10:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  186. P1 09:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  187. P1 09:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack St. Ivany saved by Linus Ullmark
  188. P1 08:13
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  189. P1 08:13
    Stoppage
  190. P1 08:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Danton Heinen
  191. P1 07:44
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Stephen Halliday in defensive zone
  192. P1 07:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  193. P1 07:41
    SHOT
    Claude Giroux shot blocked by Kris Letang
  194. P1 07:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  195. P1 07:27
    Giveaway by Anthony Mantha in neutral zone
  196. P1 07:00
    SHOT
    Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
  197. P1 06:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  198. P1 06:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  199. P1 06:43
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  200. P1 06:37
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
  201. P1 06:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
  202. P1 05:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Arturs Silovs
  203. P1 04:48
    SHOT
    Stephen Halliday shot blocked by Danton Heinen
  204. P1 04:46
    Nick Cousins won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
  205. P1 04:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  206. P1 04:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Arturs Silovs
  207. P1 04:34
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  208. P1 04:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  209. P1 04:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Linus Ullmark
  210. P1 04:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Linus Ullmark
  211. P1 03:08
    Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Brett Kulak in defensive zone
  212. P1 02:47
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
  213. P1 02:47
    Stoppage - Offside
  214. P1 02:16
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  215. P1 02:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Arturs Silovs
  216. P1 01:18
    Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
  217. P1 01:18
    Penalty to Arturs Silovs 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Tim Stutzle) (Served by Danton Heinen)
  218. P1 01:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Arturs Silovs
  219. P1 00:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  220. P1 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  221. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Senators
24Shots on Goal26
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits18
14 Shots Blocked 11
22Giveaways10
PenguinsPIT
SenatorsOTT
24Shots on Goal26
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits18
14 Shots Blocked 11
22Giveaways10

Penguins vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Senators
  • Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +142, Senators -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 43%
  • Senators: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 43%, while the Senators have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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