Lightning vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Islanders NHL game on December 13, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Lightning
2
3
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
0 1 1 0 2
Islanders
2 0 0 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lightning
    0%
  • Islanders
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
0 1 1 0 2
Islanders
2 0 0 0 3
OT1 04:58 Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
OT1 04:11 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
OT1 02:44 Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
OT1 01:00 Emil Heineman shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 19:51 Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 19:46 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 19:41 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 19:38 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 19:00 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
P3 18:26 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 16:52 Declan Carlile shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P3 15:34 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 15:17 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P3 14:01 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 13:31 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P3 11:40 Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P3 11:38 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:04 Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:01 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:21 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jonas Johansson
Play by Play
  1. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  2. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  3. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Emil Heineman on Jonas Johansson
  4. SO
    Shootout attempt by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  5. SO
    Shootout attempt by Simon Holmstrom saved by Jonas Johansson
  6. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Brayden Point on Ilya Sorokin
  7. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Mathew Barzal on Jonas Johansson
  8. SO
    Shootout attempt by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  9. SO
    Lightning replaced goalie. (Jonas Johansson)
  10. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  11. OT1 04:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
  12. OT1 04:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  13. OT1 03:21
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  14. OT1 03:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  15. OT1 02:46
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  16. OT1 02:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  17. OT1 02:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
  18. OT1 01:02
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  19. OT1 01:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  20. OT1 01:00
    SHOT
    Emil Heineman shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  21. OT1 00:00
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  22. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  23. P3 19:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Jonas Johansson
  24. P3 19:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
  25. P3 19:44
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  26. P3 19:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  27. P3 19:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
  28. P3 19:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
  29. P3 19:26
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  30. P3 19:26
    Stoppage - Offside
  31. P3 19:00
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
  32. P3 18:26
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  33. P3 17:16
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  34. P3 17:16
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  35. P3 16:52
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
  36. P3 15:52
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  37. P3 15:52
    Stoppage - Icing
  38. P3 15:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  39. P3 15:26
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
  40. P3 15:26
    Stoppage - Icing
  41. P3 15:17
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Emil Heineman
  42. P3 14:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  43. P3 13:39
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  44. P3 13:39
    Stoppage - Offside
  45. P3 13:35
    Giveaway by J.J. Moser in offensive zone
  46. P3 13:31
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
  47. P3 12:25
    Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in defensive zone
  48. P3 12:23
    Scott Mayfield credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  49. P3 12:09
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  50. P3 12:09
    Stoppage - Offside
  51. P3 11:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  52. P3 11:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Sorokin
  53. P3 11:06
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  54. P3 11:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  55. P3 11:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Ilya Sorokin
  56. P3 11:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
  57. P3 08:40
    Anthony Duclair won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  58. P3 08:40
    Stoppage - Offside
  59. P3 08:33
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
  60. P3 08:33
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  61. P3 08:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jonas Johansson
  62. P3 07:57
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  63. P3 07:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  64. P3 07:32
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  65. P3 07:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Jonas Johansson
  66. P3 07:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Jonas Johansson
  67. P3 07:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
  68. P3 07:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Jonas Johansson
  69. P3 06:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  70. P3 06:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  71. P3 05:20
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  72. P3 05:08
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  73. P3 05:01
    Power play - Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  74. P3 04:38
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  75. P3 04:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  76. P3 04:01
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  77. P3 04:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  78. P3 03:20
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  79. P3 03:20
    GOAL
    Goal scored by J.J. Moser assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point
    2-2
  80. P3 03:16
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
  81. P3 03:16
    Stoppage - Icing
  82. P3 03:01
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
  83. P3 03:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  84. P3 02:53
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  85. P3 02:53
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  86. P3 02:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle MacLean saved by Jonas Johansson
  87. P3 01:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
  88. P3 01:18
    Takeaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  89. P3 00:13
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  90. P3 00:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  91. P3 00:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Travis Mitchell saved by Jonas Johansson
  92. P3 00:09
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  93. P3 00:09
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  94. P3 00:00
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  95. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  96. P2 19:27
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  97. P2 19:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  98. P2 19:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
  99. P2 19:19
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  100. P2 19:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  101. P2 18:52
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  102. P2 18:52
    Stoppage - High Stick
  103. P2 18:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  104. P2 18:36
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  105. P2 18:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  106. P2 18:34
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
  107. P2 18:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
  108. P2 18:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  109. P2 16:29
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Emil Heineman
  110. P2 16:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  111. P2 15:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  112. P2 15:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Ilya Sorokin
  113. P2 14:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
  114. P2 13:50
    Shorthanded - Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  115. P2 13:44
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  116. P2 13:44
    Stoppage - Player Equipment
  117. P2 13:44
    Stoppage - Icing
  118. P2 13:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  119. P2 13:34
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  120. P2 13:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  121. P2 13:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jonas Johansson
  122. P2 12:57
    SHOT
    Emil Heineman shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  123. P2 12:44
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
  124. P2 12:15
    Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
  125. P2 11:35
    Scott Mayfield credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
  126. P2 11:26
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
  127. P2 11:26
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  128. P2 11:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  129. P2 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  130. P2 11:03
    Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  131. P2 11:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  132. P2 11:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  133. P2 10:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ilya Sorokin
  134. P2 10:41
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  135. P2 10:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  136. P2 10:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Sorokin
  137. P2 10:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  138. P2 10:23
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Nikita Kucherov
    1-2
  139. P2 10:01
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  140. P2 10:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  141. P2 09:20
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  142. P2 09:20
    Penalty to Casey Cizikas 2 minutes for Tripping
  143. P2 08:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  144. P2 08:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  145. P2 08:17
    Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  146. P2 08:17
    Penalty to Travis Mitchell 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Dominic James)
  147. P2 08:09
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  148. P2 08:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  149. P2 08:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Ilya Sorokin
  150. P2 07:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Ilya Sorokin
  151. P2 07:05
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  152. P2 07:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  153. P2 07:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  154. P2 06:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  155. P2 06:49
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  156. P2 06:49
    Stoppage - Icing
  157. P2 06:21
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
  158. P2 06:21
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  159. P2 05:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Ilya Sorokin
  160. P2 05:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Marc Gatcomb saved by Jonas Johansson
  161. P2 05:13
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  162. P2 05:13
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  163. P2 04:57
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
  164. P2 04:47
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  165. P2 04:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Ilya Sorokin
  166. P2 03:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  167. P2 03:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  168. P2 02:46
    Shorthanded - Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  169. P2 02:46
    Stoppage - Icing
  170. P2 02:16
    Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  171. P2 02:16
    Stoppage - Offside
  172. P2 01:22
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  173. P2 01:22
    Penalty to Calum Ritchie 2 minutes for Misconduct
  174. P2 00:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Max Shabanov
  175. P2 00:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Max Shabanov
  176. P2 00:30
    Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in neutral zone
  177. P2 00:30
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  178. P2 00:00
    Power play - Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  179. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  180. P1 19:50
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  181. P1 19:50
    Stoppage - High Stick
  182. P1 19:41
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  183. P1 19:06
    SHOT
    Scott Mayfield shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  184. P1 19:00
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  185. P1 19:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  186. P1 18:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anders Lee
  187. P1 18:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Jonas Johansson
  188. P1 18:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  189. P1 18:16
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  190. P1 17:36
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Kyle MacLean
  191. P1 16:37
    Emil Heineman credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
  192. P1 16:20
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
  193. P1 16:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  194. P1 14:56
    Scott Sabourin credited with hit on Travis Mitchell in offensive zone
  195. P1 14:50
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Anthony Duclair in neutral zone
  196. P1 14:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  197. P1 14:36
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
  198. P1 14:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  199. P1 14:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jonas Johansson
  200. P1 14:20
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
  201. P1 14:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Crozier
  202. P1 13:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  203. P1 13:30
    SHOT
    Nick Paul shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
  204. P1 13:10
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  205. P1 13:10
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  206. P1 13:03
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  207. P1 13:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  208. P1 12:46
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  209. P1 12:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  210. P1 12:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Ilya Sorokin
  211. P1 12:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Jonas Johansson
  212. P1 11:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Jonas Johansson
  213. P1 11:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Jonas Johansson
  214. P1 10:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  215. P1 10:16
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  216. P1 10:16
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Calum Ritchie assisted by Anthony Duclair
    0-2
  217. P1 10:06
    Giveaway by Travis Mitchell in defensive zone
  218. P1 09:31
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Max Shabanov in defensive zone
  219. P1 09:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  220. P1 09:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Jonas Johansson
  221. P1 08:53
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  222. P1 08:53
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  223. P1 08:23
    Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  224. P1 08:17
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in offensive zone
  225. P1 08:17
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  226. P1 08:15
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
  227. P1 08:13
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
  228. P1 08:10
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  229. P1 08:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  230. P1 08:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  231. P1 07:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
  232. P1 07:42
    Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
  233. P1 07:34
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  234. P1 07:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  235. P1 07:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Ilya Sorokin
  236. P1 07:19
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  237. P1 07:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  238. P1 07:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
  239. P1 07:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
  240. P1 06:23
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by teammate
  241. P1 05:26
    SHOT
    Calum Ritchie shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
  242. P1 05:00
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  243. P1 04:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  244. P1 04:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  245. P1 04:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin
  246. P1 03:05
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  247. P1 03:05
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Matthew Schaefer
    0-1
  248. P1 02:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Mathew Barzal shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  249. P1 02:11
    Power play - Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  250. P1 01:45
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
  251. P1 01:45
    Penalty to Max Shabanov 2 minutes for Misconduct
  252. P1 01:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
  253. P1 01:15
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Islanders in defensive zone
  254. P1 01:12
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  255. P1 01:12
    Penalty to Brayden Point 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Emil Heineman)
  256. P1 01:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  257. P1 00:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Ilya Sorokin
  258. P1 00:38
    Giveaway by Travis Mitchell in defensive zone
  259. P1 00:36
    Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Travis Mitchell in offensive zone
  260. P1 00:13
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Scott Mayfield in offensive zone
  261. P1 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
  262. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Islanders
34Shots on Goal17
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins10
27Hits19
10 Shots Blocked 20
8Giveaways13
LightningTB
IslandersNYI
34Shots on Goal17
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins10
27Hits19
10 Shots Blocked 20
8Giveaways13

Lightning vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Islanders
  • Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -130, Islanders +112

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 55%
  • Islanders: 45%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 55%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.