Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Canadiens NHL game on December 9, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Lightning
6
1
Bell Centre
Canadiens
Bell Centre
TEAM123T
Lightning
3 1 2 6
Canadiens
0 1 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lightning
    100%
  • Canadiens
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
3 1 2 6
Canadiens
0 1 0 1
P3 19:58 Oliver Kapanen shot blocked by Nick Paul
P3 19:36 Power play - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 17:53 Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Max Crozier
P3 17:52 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 16:10 Shot on goal by Jared Davidson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 13:48 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P3 13:47 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 13:47 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 13:47 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 13:46 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 12:56 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 11:24 Max Crozier shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P3 09:26 Max Crozier shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P3 09:26 Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P3 08:41 Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Brayden Point
P3 08:22 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 08:05 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 06:57 Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 05:49 Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 05:08 Shot missed by Jayden Struble
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:58
    SHOT
    Oliver Kapanen shot blocked by Nick Paul
  3. P3 19:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Jonas Johansson
  4. P3 19:03
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:42
    Joe Veleno credited with hit on Oliver Bjorkstrand in offensive zone
  6. P3 17:53
    SHOT
    Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Max Crozier
  7. P3 17:52
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  8. P3 17:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  9. P3 17:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jonas Johansson
  10. P3 17:02
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  11. P3 17:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  12. P3 16:12
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  13. P3 16:12
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  14. P3 16:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jared Davidson saved by Jonas Johansson
  15. P3 15:38
    Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
  16. P3 15:34
    Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Jared Davidson in defensive zone
  17. P3 15:24
    Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  18. P3 15:16
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Joe Veleno in neutral zone
  19. P3 15:16
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  20. P3 15:16
    Penalty to Josh Anderson 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Scott Sabourin)
  21. P3 15:16
    Penalty to Scott Sabourin 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Josh Anderson)
  22. P3 15:14
    Giveaway by Jake Evans in defensive zone
  23. P3 13:48
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  24. P3 13:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
  25. P3 13:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
  26. P3 13:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
  27. P3 13:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Samuel Montembeault
  28. P3 12:59
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
  29. P3 12:59
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  30. P3 12:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  31. P3 11:24
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Josh Anderson
  32. P3 10:17
    Takeaway by Curtis Douglas in offensive zone
  33. P3 10:14
    Giveaway by Nick Paul in offensive zone
  34. P3 09:26
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  35. P3 09:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  36. P3 08:59
    Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Lane Hutson in defensive zone
  37. P3 08:41
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  38. P3 08:41
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Brayden Point
    6-1
  39. P3 08:37
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  40. P3 08:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
  41. P3 08:10
    Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
  42. P3 08:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Samuel Montembeault
  43. P3 07:52
    Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  44. P3 06:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  45. P3 05:54
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  46. P3 05:54
    Penalty to Zachary Bolduc 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Curtis Douglas)
  47. P3 05:52
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Joe Veleno in neutral zone
  48. P3 05:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Jonas Johansson
  49. P3 05:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jayden Struble
  50. P3 05:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Jonas Johansson
  51. P3 04:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jonas Johansson
  52. P3 04:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Samuel Montembeault
  53. P3 03:33
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
  54. P3 03:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Samuel Montembeault
  55. P3 02:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Curtis Douglas
  56. P3 01:40
    Jayden Struble credited with hit on Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
  57. P3 01:27
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
    5-1
  58. P3 01:22
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  59. P3 01:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  60. P3 00:23
    SHOT
    Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by teammate
  61. P3 00:00
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  62. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  63. P2 19:55
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  64. P2 19:45
    Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Josh Anderson in defensive zone
  65. P2 19:06
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  66. P2 19:06
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Oliver Kapanen assisted by Nick Suzuki and Ivan Demidov
    4-1
  67. P2 19:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jonas Johansson
  68. P2 19:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  69. P2 18:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jonas Johansson
  70. P2 18:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Jonas Johansson
  71. P2 18:10
    Power play - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  72. P2 18:10
    Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Ivan Demidov)
  73. P2 18:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  74. P2 18:03
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  75. P2 18:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  76. P2 17:33
    Giveaway by Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
  77. P2 16:33
    Joe Veleno won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  78. P2 16:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  79. P2 16:06
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  80. P2 16:02
    Joe Veleno won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  81. P2 16:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  82. P2 16:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Jonas Johansson
  83. P2 15:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  84. P2 14:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Samuel Montembeault
  85. P2 13:54
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  86. P2 13:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  87. P2 13:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Samuel Montembeault
  88. P2 13:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  89. P2 13:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  90. P2 12:47
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Jonas Johansson
  91. P2 12:46
    Power play - Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
  92. P2 12:36
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Jonas Johansson
  93. P2 12:33
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  94. P2 12:33
    Penalty to Arber Xhekaj 2 minutes for Misconduct
  95. P2 12:03
    SHOT
    Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
  96. P2 11:53
    SHOT
    Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Scott Sabourin
  97. P2 11:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Jonas Johansson
  98. P2 11:25
    SHOT
    Jayden Struble shot blocked by teammate
  99. P2 10:29
    Giveaway by Mike Matheson in neutral zone
  100. P2 09:48
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  101. P2 09:48
    Stoppage - Offside
  102. P2 09:27
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Jayden Struble
  103. P2 09:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Samuel Montembeault
  104. P2 08:25
    Giveaway by Emil Lilleberg in neutral zone
  105. P2 08:16
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Joe Veleno in neutral zone
  106. P2 08:16
    Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
  107. P2 08:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mike Matheson
  108. P2 07:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jonas Johansson
  109. P2 07:13
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
  110. P2 07:12
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
  111. P2 07:12
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  112. P2 07:12
    Stoppage - Net Dislodged Defensive Skater
  113. P2 07:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jonas Johansson
  114. P2 06:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  115. P2 05:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  116. P2 05:22
    Power play - Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  117. P2 05:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jonas Johansson
  118. P2 04:44
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  119. P2 04:12
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  120. P2 04:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Jonas Johansson
  121. P2 03:59
    SHOT
    Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by Scott Sabourin
  122. P2 03:31
    SHOT
    Jared Davidson shot blocked by Curtis Douglas
  123. P2 03:13
    Joe Veleno won faceoff against Curtis Douglas in neutral zone
  124. P2 03:05
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
  125. P2 03:00
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
  126. P2 02:43
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  127. P2 02:41
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Charle-Edouard D'Astous assisted by Nikita Kucherov
    4-0
  128. P2 02:21
    Jake Evans credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  129. P2 02:15
    Takeaway by Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
  130. P2 02:05
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
  131. P2 02:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  132. P2 02:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
  133. P2 01:24
    Power play - Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  134. P2 01:18
    Power play - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  135. P2 01:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  136. P2 01:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jonas Johansson
  137. P2 01:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jonas Johansson
  138. P2 01:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Jonas Johansson
  139. P2 00:00
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  140. P2 00:00
    Canadiens replaced goalie. (Samuel Montembeault)
  141. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  142. P1 20:00
    Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Cole Caufield)
  143. P1 19:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jakub Dobes
  144. P1 18:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jakub Dobes
  145. P1 17:20
    Giveaway by Josh Anderson in offensive zone
  146. P1 17:12
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  147. P1 17:10
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  148. P1 17:03
    SHOT
    Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  149. P1 16:51
    Joe Veleno won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  150. P1 16:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  151. P1 16:34
    SHOT
    Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
  152. P1 16:22
    SHOT
    Jayden Struble shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  153. P1 16:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexandre Texier
  154. P1 16:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Jonas Johansson
  155. P1 15:38
    SHOT
    Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
  156. P1 15:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Evans
  157. P1 15:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  158. P1 14:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  159. P1 14:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  160. P1 14:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jakub Dobes
  161. P1 14:07
    Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  162. P1 14:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  163. P1 14:05
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
  164. P1 13:17
    Giveaway by Scott Sabourin in offensive zone
  165. P1 12:46
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  166. P1 12:39
    Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  167. P1 12:24
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  168. P1 12:24
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  169. P1 12:22
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
  170. P1 11:50
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Max Crozier
  171. P1 11:25
    SHOT
    Victor Hedman shot blocked by teammate
  172. P1 11:00
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
  173. P1 10:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  174. P1 10:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jakub Dobes
  175. P1 10:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Jonas Johansson
  176. P1 10:24
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  177. P1 10:24
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  178. P1 10:21
    SHOT
    Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
  179. P1 09:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jakub Dobes
  180. P1 09:43
    Giveaway by Ivan Demidov in defensive zone
  181. P1 09:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jakub Dobes
  182. P1 09:26
    Takeaway by Mike Matheson in defensive zone
  183. P1 08:35
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jared Davidson
  184. P1 08:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jakub Dobes
  185. P1 07:16
    Takeaway by J.J. Moser in neutral zone
  186. P1 07:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  187. P1 06:49
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
  188. P1 06:20
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
  189. P1 06:18
    SHOT
    Brayden Point shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  190. P1 06:09
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  191. P1 06:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  192. P1 06:03
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  193. P1 06:03
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Pontus Holmberg
    2-0
  194. P1 05:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  195. P1 04:52
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
  196. P1 04:44
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  197. P1 04:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  198. P1 04:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  199. P1 04:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  200. P1 03:56
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  201. P1 03:56
    Penalty to Max Crozier 2 minutes for Misconduct
  202. P1 03:56
    Penalty to Brendan Gallagher 2 minutes for Misconduct
  203. P1 03:56
    Penalty to Pontus Holmberg 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Jake Evans)
  204. P1 03:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Jakub Dobes
  205. P1 03:28
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  206. P1 03:25
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  207. P1 02:27
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Joe Veleno in neutral zone
  208. P1 02:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Point
  209. P1 02:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Jonas Johansson
  210. P1 01:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jonas Johansson
  211. P1 01:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  212. P1 01:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jonas Johansson
  213. P1 01:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jonas Johansson
  214. P1 00:41
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  215. P1 00:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  216. P1 00:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  217. P1 00:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jakub Dobes
  218. P1 00:14
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
  219. P1 00:13
    Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Jake Evans in offensive zone
  220. P1 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Canadiens
27Shots on Goal27
30% Faceoff Win % 70%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins15
27Hits24
16 Shots Blocked 18
10Giveaways14
LightningTB
CanadiensMTL
27Shots on Goal27
30% Faceoff Win % 70%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins15
27Hits24
16 Shots Blocked 18
10Giveaways14

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Tuesday, December 9, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -110, Canadiens -108

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 52%
  • Canadiens: 48%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 52%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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