Lightning vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Islanders NHL game on December 2, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Lightning
1
2
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
TEAM123T
Lightning
0 0 1 1
Islanders
0 1 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lightning
    0%
  • Islanders
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
0 0 1 1
Islanders
0 1 1 2
P3 18:42 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
P3 18:37 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 18:34 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 18:29 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 18:19 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 17:43 Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P3 16:28 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 16:25 Dominic James shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 16:23 Shot missed by Lightning
P3 16:09 Declan Carlile shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P3 15:58 Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
P3 13:22 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:45 Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:33 Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:00 Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
P3 10:17 Shot missed by Anders Lee
P3 09:20 Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P3 09:11 Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 08:37 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 07:46 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Adam Pelech
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  3. P3 19:06
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  4. P3 18:42
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
  5. P3 18:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
  6. P3 18:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  7. P3 18:29
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  8. P3 18:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
  9. P3 17:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  10. P3 17:14
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  11. P3 17:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  12. P3 16:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  13. P3 16:26
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
  14. P3 16:25
    SHOT
    Dominic James shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  15. P3 16:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lightning
  16. P3 16:09
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  17. P3 15:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
  18. P3 13:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
  19. P3 12:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  20. P3 12:38
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  21. P3 12:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  22. P3 11:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  23. P3 11:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
  24. P3 10:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anders Lee
  25. P3 09:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Emil Heineman
  26. P3 09:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
  27. P3 08:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  28. P3 07:54
    Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  29. P3 07:54
    Penalty to Tony DeAngelo 2 minutes for Misconduct
  30. P3 07:46
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  31. P3 07:43
    Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
  32. P3 07:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  33. P3 07:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ilya Sorokin
  34. P3 07:40
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Travis Mitchell
  35. P3 07:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  36. P3 07:28
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Anders Lee
  37. P3 07:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  38. P3 06:44
    Maxim Tsyplakov credited with hit on Nick Paul in offensive zone
  39. P3 06:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
  40. P3 06:38
    SHOT
    Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  41. P3 06:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  42. P3 06:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Ilya Sorokin
  43. P3 05:30
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  44. P3 05:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
  45. P3 05:28
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Anthony Duclair assisted by Calum Ritchie and Tony DeAngelo
    0-2
  46. P3 04:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  47. P3 04:15
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
  48. P3 04:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  49. P3 04:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 03:39
    Nick Paul credited with hit on Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  51. P3 03:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  52. P3 03:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
  53. P3 01:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  54. P3 01:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 01:03
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  56. P3 00:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
  57. P3 00:12
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  58. P3 00:12
    Stoppage - Icing
  59. P3 00:00
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  60. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  61. P2 18:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Max Shabanov
  62. P2 18:15
    Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  63. P2 18:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  64. P2 18:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Bo Horvat shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  65. P2 18:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Max Shabanov shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  66. P2 17:39
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  67. P2 17:39
    Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Misconduct
  68. P2 17:16
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  69. P2 17:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  70. P2 16:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  71. P2 15:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
  72. P2 15:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Maxim Tsyplakov
  73. P2 14:44
    Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  74. P2 14:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  75. P2 14:37
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  76. P2 14:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  77. P2 13:50
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in defensive zone
  78. P2 13:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  79. P2 13:01
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  80. P2 13:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  81. P2 12:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  82. P2 12:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Ilya Sorokin
  83. P2 12:14
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
  84. P2 12:02
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
  85. P2 11:38
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  86. P2 11:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  87. P2 10:47
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  88. P2 10:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  89. P2 10:38
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  90. P2 10:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Ilya Sorokin
  91. P2 09:54
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  92. P2 09:54
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  93. P2 09:52
    SHOT
    Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
  94. P2 09:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lightning
  95. P2 08:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  96. P2 08:09
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
  97. P2 08:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Ilya Sorokin
  98. P2 07:55
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
  99. P2 07:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  100. P2 07:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  101. P2 06:49
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  102. P2 06:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  103. P2 06:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
  104. P2 06:32
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  105. P2 06:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  106. P2 05:53
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Emil Heineman
  107. P2 05:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Ilya Sorokin
  108. P2 05:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  109. P2 04:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  110. P2 03:49
    Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  111. P2 03:49
    Penalty to Calum Ritchie 2 minutes for Misconduct
  112. P2 02:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
  113. P2 02:29
    SHOT
    Curtis Douglas shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  114. P2 02:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Ilya Sorokin
  115. P2 02:01
    SHOT
    Steven Santini shot blocked by teammate
  116. P2 01:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Declan Carlile saved by Ilya Sorokin
  117. P2 01:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Ilya Sorokin
  118. P2 01:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Ilya Sorokin
  119. P2 00:55
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  120. P2 00:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  121. P2 00:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  122. P2 00:40
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  123. P2 00:24
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  124. P2 00:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  125. P2 00:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Ilya Sorokin
  126. P2 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
  127. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  128. P1 19:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
  129. P1 19:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
  130. P1 19:20
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  131. P1 19:20
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  132. P1 19:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
  133. P1 18:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
  134. P1 17:31
    Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  135. P1 17:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  136. P1 17:08
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
  137. P1 16:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  138. P1 16:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  139. P1 16:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Paul
  140. P1 15:45
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
  141. P1 15:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Declan Carlile
  142. P1 13:39
    Power play - Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  143. P1 12:53
    Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  144. P1 12:53
    Penalty to Kyle MacLean 2 minutes for High Sticking
  145. P1 12:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Curtis Douglas saved by Ilya Sorokin
  146. P1 12:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  147. P1 11:39
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  148. P1 11:39
    Stoppage - Offside
  149. P1 11:26
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
  150. P1 11:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  151. P1 11:13
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
  152. P1 11:13
    Stoppage - Offside
  153. P1 11:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ilya Sorokin
  154. P1 11:01
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
  155. P1 11:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  156. P1 10:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
  157. P1 10:50
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Anders Lee in defensive zone
  158. P1 10:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  159. P1 10:47
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  160. P1 10:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Shabanov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  161. P1 09:52
    SHOT
    Yanni Gourde shot blocked by teammate
  162. P1 09:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  163. P1 08:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Declan Carlile
  164. P1 08:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
  165. P1 08:30
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
  166. P1 08:30
    Stoppage - Icing
  167. P1 08:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anders Lee
  168. P1 07:19
    Power play - Emil Heineman won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  169. P1 07:19
    Stoppage - Offside
  170. P1 06:14
    Power play - Anders Lee won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  171. P1 06:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  172. P1 06:11
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Ilya Sorokin
  173. P1 05:30
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  174. P1 05:30
    Penalty to Nick Paul 2 minutes for Holding
  175. P1 05:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
  176. P1 04:46
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
  177. P1 02:10
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  178. P1 02:10
    Stoppage - Offside
  179. P1 01:59
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  180. P1 01:59
    Stoppage - Icing
  181. P1 01:43
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  182. P1 01:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  183. P1 01:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  184. P1 01:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  185. P1 01:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Ilya Sorokin
  186. P1 01:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  187. P1 00:59
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
  188. P1 00:46
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Travis Mitchell
  189. P1 00:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
  190. P1 00:25
    Giveaway by Emil Lilleberg in defensive zone
  191. P1 00:00
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  192. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Islanders
30Shots on Goal23
52% Faceoff Win % 48%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
15Hits18
7 Shots Blocked 19
13Giveaways17
LightningTB
IslandersNYI
30Shots on Goal23
52% Faceoff Win % 48%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
15Hits18
7 Shots Blocked 19
13Giveaways17

Lightning vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Islanders
  • Date: Tuesday, December 2, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -120, Islanders +105

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 55%
  • Islanders: 45%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 55%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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