Lightning vs. Rangers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Rangers NHL game on November 29, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Lightning
4
1
Madison Square Garden
Rangers
Madison Square Garden
TEAM123T
Lightning
1 1 2 4
Rangers
0 1 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lightning
    100%
  • Rangers
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
1 1 2 4
Rangers
0 1 0 1
P3 19:42 Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Yanni Gourde (Empty Net)
P3 19:27 Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
P3 19:19 Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
P3 19:05 Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P3 19:02 Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 18:56 Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
P3 18:17 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 18:08 Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
P3 17:59 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 17:55 Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 17:35 Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 15:20 Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 14:50 Shot missed by Noah Laba
P3 13:59 Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 13:50 Power play - Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P3 13:33 Power play - Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 12:20 Power play - Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P3 12:19 Power play - Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
P3 12:16 Power play - Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 11:53 Braden Schneider shot blocked by Nick Paul
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:42
    Sam Carrick won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  3. P3 19:42
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jake Guentzel assisted by Yanni Gourde (Empty Net)
    4-1
  4. P3 19:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
  5. P3 19:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
  6. P3 19:11
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  7. P3 19:11
    Stoppage - Icing
  8. P3 19:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  9. P3 19:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Jonas Johansson
  10. P3 18:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
  11. P3 18:26
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
  12. P3 18:26
    Stoppage - Icing
  13. P3 18:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  14. P3 18:08
    SHOT
    Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
  15. P3 17:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  16. P3 17:55
    SHOT
    Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
  17. P3 17:44
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  18. P3 17:44
    Stoppage - Icing
  19. P3 17:35
    SHOT
    Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
  20. P3 17:33
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  21. P3 17:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  22. P3 15:23
    Nick Paul won faceoff against J.T. Miller in offensive zone
  23. P3 15:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  24. P3 15:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Igor Shesterkin
  25. P3 14:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Laba
  26. P3 13:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Jonas Johansson
  27. P3 13:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by J.T. Miller
  28. P3 13:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Jonas Johansson
  29. P3 13:20
    Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  30. P3 13:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  31. P3 13:04
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
  32. P3 13:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  33. P3 12:32
    Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  34. P3 12:32
    Stoppage - High Stick
  35. P3 12:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by J.T. Miller
  36. P3 12:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
  37. P3 12:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  38. P3 11:56
    Power play - J.T. Miller won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
  39. P3 11:56
    Penalty to Gage Goncalves 2 minutes for Holding Stick (Drawn by Taylor Raddysh)
  40. P3 11:53
    SHOT
    Braden Schneider shot blocked by Nick Paul
  41. P3 11:24
    SHOT
    Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Nick Paul
  42. P3 11:20
    SHOT
    Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  43. P3 10:38
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Matthew Robertson
  44. P3 10:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lightning
  45. P3 10:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  46. P3 10:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  47. P3 09:31
    SHOT
    Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by teammate
  48. P3 09:04
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Carson Soucy
  49. P3 08:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
  50. P3 08:00
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Brett Berard
  51. P3 07:03
    Dominic James won faceoff against Noah Laba in neutral zone
  52. P3 07:03
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  53. P3 07:03
    Stoppage - Player Injury
  54. P3 07:01
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jonny Brodzinski
  55. P3 06:31
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
  56. P3 06:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  57. P3 06:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Igor Shesterkin
  58. P3 06:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Igor Shesterkin
  59. P3 05:57
    SHOT
    Will Borgen shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  60. P3 05:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Carson Soucy
  61. P3 05:00
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Vladislav Gavrikov in offensive zone
  62. P3 04:35
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
  63. P3 04:35
    Stoppage - High Stick
  64. P3 04:08
    SHOT
    Brett Berard shot blocked by Steven Santini
  65. P3 03:47
    SHOT
    Vincent Trocheck shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  66. P3 02:27
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  67. P3 02:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  68. P3 02:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Igor Shesterkin
  69. P3 02:02
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
  70. P3 02:02
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nick Paul assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Charle-Edouard D'Astous
    3-1
  71. P3 02:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Paul
  72. P3 01:09
    Shorthanded - Noah Laba won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  73. P3 01:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  74. P3 01:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Igor Shesterkin
  75. P3 00:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Igor Shesterkin
  76. P3 00:00
    Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in neutral zone
  77. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  78. P2 19:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Igor Shesterkin
  79. P2 19:41
    Shorthanded - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  80. P2 19:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Igor Shesterkin
  81. P2 18:27
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  82. P2 18:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  83. P2 18:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Igor Shesterkin
  84. P2 18:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
  85. P2 17:40
    SHOT
    Carson Soucy shot blocked by teammate
  86. P2 17:31
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  87. P2 17:31
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Adam Fox
    2-1
  88. P2 17:09
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  89. P2 17:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  90. P2 16:51
    Sam Carrick won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  91. P2 16:51
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  92. P2 16:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Igor Shesterkin
  93. P2 15:12
    Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
  94. P2 15:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Igor Shesterkin
  95. P2 14:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Igor Shesterkin
  96. P2 14:31
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  97. P2 14:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  98. P2 14:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Igor Shesterkin
  99. P2 14:04
    Nick Paul won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
  100. P2 14:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  101. P2 14:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Edstrom saved by Jonas Johansson
  102. P2 12:55
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Noah Laba in defensive zone
  103. P2 12:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  104. P2 12:24
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  105. P2 12:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Carson Soucy saved by Jonas Johansson
  106. P2 12:14
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  107. P2 12:14
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  108. P2 11:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Fox
  109. P2 11:39
    SHOT
    Adam Fox shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
  110. P2 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.T. Miller
  111. P2 11:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Fox saved by Jonas Johansson
  112. P2 11:16
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  113. P2 11:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  114. P2 11:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Carson Soucy
  115. P2 11:01
    SHOT
    Will Cuylle shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  116. P2 10:25
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Matthew Robertson
  117. P2 10:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dominic James
  118. P2 09:25
    Curtis Douglas credited with hit on Vladislav Gavrikov in offensive zone
  119. P2 09:17
    Curtis Douglas won faceoff against Noah Laba in neutral zone
  120. P2 09:17
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  121. P2 08:58
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Darren Raddysh
    2-0
  122. P2 08:57
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Taylor Raddysh in neutral zone
  123. P2 08:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Igor Shesterkin
  124. P2 08:32
    Alexis Lafreniere credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
  125. P2 08:30
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
  126. P2 08:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  127. P2 08:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by Jonas Johansson
  128. P2 08:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by Jonas Johansson
  129. P2 07:44
    SHOT
    Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
  130. P2 07:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
  131. P2 07:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vincent Trocheck
  132. P2 07:17
    SHOT
    Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
  133. P2 07:15
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  134. P2 07:15
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  135. P2 07:13
    SHOT
    Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  136. P2 05:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Igor Shesterkin
  137. P2 05:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  138. P2 04:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Igor Shesterkin
  139. P2 04:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  140. P2 04:16
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
  141. P2 04:16
    Penalty to Matthew Robertson 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Dominic James)
  142. P2 04:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Igor Shesterkin
  143. P2 04:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  144. P2 03:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Braden Schneider
  145. P2 03:04
    Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  146. P2 02:58
    SHOT
    Steven Santini shot blocked by Brett Berard
  147. P2 02:50
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Carson Soucy
  148. P2 02:29
    SHOT
    Steven Santini shot blocked by Will Borgen
  149. P2 02:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Igor Shesterkin
  150. P2 02:16
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Carson Soucy
  151. P2 01:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  152. P2 01:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Fox
  153. P2 01:13
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  154. P2 01:13
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  155. P2 01:08
    SHOT
    Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  156. P2 00:43
    SHOT
    Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  157. P2 00:00
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  158. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  159. P1 19:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vladislav Gavrikov
  160. P1 19:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artemi Panarin saved by Jonas Johansson
  161. P1 19:00
    Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
  162. P1 18:54
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
  163. P1 18:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  164. P1 18:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Igor Shesterkin
  165. P1 18:24
    Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  166. P1 18:10
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  167. P1 18:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  168. P1 17:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Adam Fox shot blocked by teammate
  169. P1 16:47
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
  170. P1 16:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Artemi Panarin shot blocked by teammate
  171. P1 16:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Adam Fox
  172. P1 15:59
    Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  173. P1 15:59
    Stoppage - High Stick
  174. P1 15:48
    Power play - J.T. Miller won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  175. P1 15:48
    Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Artemi Panarin)
  176. P1 15:11
    SHOT
    Braden Schneider shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  177. P1 14:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  178. P1 14:13
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Taylor Raddysh
  179. P1 13:42
    Giveaway by J.T. Miller in offensive zone
  180. P1 13:09
    Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
  181. P1 13:02
    SHOT
    Alexis Lafreniere shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  182. P1 13:00
    SHOT
    Mika Zibanejad shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
  183. P1 12:05
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  184. P1 12:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  185. P1 11:29
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Will Cuylle
  186. P1 11:07
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  187. P1 11:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  188. P1 11:04
    SHOT
    Steven Santini shot blocked by Brett Berard
  189. P1 10:53
    Dominic James won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in neutral zone
  190. P1 10:53
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Darren Raddysh and Nikita Kucherov
    1-0
  191. P1 10:32
    Takeaway by Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
  192. P1 09:53
    SHOT
    Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by teammate
  193. P1 09:29
    Will Cuylle won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  194. P1 09:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  195. P1 09:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Carson Soucy saved by Jonas Johansson
  196. P1 08:10
    Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  197. P1 07:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Igor Shesterkin
  198. P1 07:51
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
  199. P1 07:35
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  200. P1 07:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  201. P1 07:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Robertson
  202. P1 06:39
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  203. P1 06:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  204. P1 06:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  205. P1 06:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lightning
  206. P1 06:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Igor Shesterkin
  207. P1 06:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  208. P1 06:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Igor Shesterkin
  209. P1 05:51
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  210. P1 05:51
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  211. P1 05:19
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by Taylor Raddysh
  212. P1 05:17
    Dominic James won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
  213. P1 05:17
    Stoppage - Icing
  214. P1 04:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Igor Shesterkin
  215. P1 04:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Igor Shesterkin
  216. P1 03:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Paul
  217. P1 03:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Igor Shesterkin
  218. P1 03:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Igor Shesterkin
  219. P1 03:23
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Noah Laba
  220. P1 03:18
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Will Borgen
  221. P1 02:43
    SHOT
    Steven Santini shot blocked by Will Borgen
  222. P1 01:22
    Alexis Lafreniere credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  223. P1 00:25
    SHOT
    Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Carson Soucy
  224. P1 00:00
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  225. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Rangers
35Shots on Goal13
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
16Hits24
20 Shots Blocked 15
19Giveaways13
LightningTB
RangersNYR
35Shots on Goal13
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
16Hits24
20 Shots Blocked 15
19Giveaways13

Lightning vs. Rangers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Rangers
  • Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rangers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning +112, Rangers -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 49%
  • Rangers: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 49%, while the Rangers have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rangers are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at Madison Square Garden on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Rangers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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