Sabres vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Penguins NHL game on November 26, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Sabres
2
4
PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
TEAM123T
Sabres
0 0 2 2
Penguins
1 0 3 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sabres
    0%
  • Penguins
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Sabres
0 0 2 2
Penguins
1 0 3 4
P3 19:56 Josh Dunne shot blocked by Ryan Graves
P3 19:20 Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:02 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 18:53 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 18:42 Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P3 18:18 Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 16:49 Shot missed by Zach Benson
P3 16:22 Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 16:00 Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 15:55 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 15:40 Goal scored by Jack Quinn
P3 15:32 Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 15:30 Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:53 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:45 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Joona Koppanen
P3 14:40 Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 13:16 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 13:11 Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
P3 13:06 Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 12:51 Thomas Novak shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:56
    SHOT
    Josh Dunne shot blocked by Ryan Graves
  4. P3 19:20
    SHOT
    Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by teammate
  5. P3 19:02
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  6. P3 19:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  7. P3 18:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Tristan Jarry
  8. P3 18:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
  9. P3 18:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Shea
  10. P3 16:58
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
  11. P3 16:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Benson
  12. P3 16:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
  13. P3 16:04
    Giveaway by Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone
  14. P3 16:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
  15. P3 15:57
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  16. P3 15:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  17. P3 15:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Tristan Jarry
  18. P3 15:42
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in neutral zone
  19. P3 15:40
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jack Quinn
    2-3
  20. P3 15:33
    Giveaway by Jason Zucker in offensive zone
  21. P3 15:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Zucker
  22. P3 15:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Tristan Jarry
  23. P3 14:55
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  24. P3 14:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
  25. P3 14:45
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Joona Koppanen
  26. P3 14:44
    Takeaway by Zach Benson in offensive zone
  27. P3 14:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Tristan Jarry
  28. P3 13:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
  29. P3 13:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
  30. P3 13:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Tristan Jarry
  31. P3 12:51
    SHOT
    Thomas Novak shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  32. P3 12:34
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Tristan Broz in neutral zone
  33. P3 11:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joona Koppanen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  34. P3 10:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  35. P3 10:08
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  36. P3 10:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  37. P3 10:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  38. P3 09:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Tristan Jarry
  39. P3 08:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  40. P3 08:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
  41. P3 08:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Zucker
  42. P3 08:12
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
  43. P3 08:06
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  44. P3 07:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Tristan Jarry
  45. P3 07:51
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  46. P3 07:49
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Bryan Rust
    1-2
  47. P3 07:46
    SHOT
    Bryan Rust shot blocked by Conor Timmins
  48. P3 07:42
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by Conor Timmins
  49. P3 07:20
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  50. P3 07:20
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jack Quinn assisted by Ryan McLeod and Bowen Byram
    1-1
  51. P3 07:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  52. P3 07:05
    Tristan Broz won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  53. P3 07:05
    Stoppage - Icing
  54. P3 06:34
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by teammate
  55. P3 06:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
  56. P3 06:00
    Giveaway by Joona Koppanen in neutral zone
  57. P3 05:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  58. P3 05:15
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by teammate
  59. P3 04:17
    SHOT
    Connor Dewar shot blocked by Conor Timmins
  60. P3 04:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  61. P3 03:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Dunne saved by Tristan Jarry
  62. P3 02:56
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Tristan Broz in neutral zone
  63. P3 02:56
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
  64. P3 02:47
    Takeaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
  65. P3 02:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Tristan Jarry
  66. P3 01:47
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
  67. P3 01:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  68. P3 01:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Tristan Jarry
  69. P3 01:44
    SHOT
    Ryan McLeod shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  70. P3 01:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Tristan Jarry
  71. P3 01:18
    Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  72. P3 01:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
  73. P3 00:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Tristan Jarry
  74. P3 00:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  75. P3 00:24
    Tage Thompson credited with hit on Bryan Rust in defensive zone
  76. P3 00:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
  77. P3 00:00
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  78. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  79. P2 19:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  80. P2 18:55
    Takeaway by Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  81. P2 18:33
    Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
  82. P2 18:32
    Alex Tuch credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
  83. P2 18:30
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  84. P2 18:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  85. P2 18:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Tristan Jarry
  86. P2 18:01
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  87. P2 18:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  88. P2 17:53
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
  89. P2 17:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Tristan Jarry
  90. P2 17:27
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by teammate
  91. P2 17:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
  92. P2 17:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  93. P2 16:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
  94. P2 16:53
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  95. P2 16:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Tristan Jarry
  96. P2 16:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  97. P2 15:44
    SHOT
    Ryan Graves shot blocked by Alex Tuch
  98. P2 15:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Tristan Jarry
  99. P2 15:04
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  100. P2 14:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Tristan Jarry
  101. P2 14:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Tristan Jarry
  102. P2 13:55
    Takeaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  103. P2 13:36
    Giveaway by Rasmus Dahlin in neutral zone
  104. P2 13:34
    Giveaway by Ryan Shea in defensive zone
  105. P2 13:06
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
  106. P2 13:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  107. P2 13:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  108. P2 12:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ville Koivunen
  109. P2 12:27
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by teammate
  110. P2 12:13
    Alex Tuch won faceoff against Tristan Broz in defensive zone
  111. P2 12:13
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  112. P2 12:11
    SHOT
    Kevin Hayes shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
  113. P2 11:23
    SHOT
    Conor Timmins shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  114. P2 11:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Conor Timmins
  115. P2 10:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  116. P2 10:34
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  117. P2 10:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  118. P2 10:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  119. P2 10:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joona Koppanen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  120. P2 09:47
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
  121. P2 09:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  122. P2 09:20
    SHOT
    Ryan Graves shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
  123. P2 09:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Dumba
  124. P2 08:36
    Giveaway by Beck Malenstyn in defensive zone
  125. P2 08:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  126. P2 08:07
    Takeaway by Mathew Dumba in defensive zone
  127. P2 07:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  128. P2 06:47
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  129. P2 06:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tristan Broz saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  130. P2 05:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Danton Heinen saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  131. P2 05:36
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  132. P2 05:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Tristan Jarry
  133. P2 05:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
  134. P2 03:35
    Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Beck Malenstyn in defensive zone
  135. P2 03:01
    Giveaway by Danton Heinen in offensive zone
  136. P2 02:45
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
  137. P2 02:18
    Owen Power credited with hit on Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  138. P2 01:44
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Tristan Broz in defensive zone
  139. P2 01:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  140. P2 01:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tristan Broz saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  141. P2 01:40
    Tristan Broz won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  142. P2 01:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  143. P2 01:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  144. P2 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  145. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  146. P1 19:07
    Takeaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
  147. P1 18:39
    Takeaway by Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  148. P1 18:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  149. P1 17:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Tristan Jarry
  150. P1 17:33
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  151. P1 17:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  152. P1 17:24
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
  153. P1 17:09
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  154. P1 17:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathew Dumba saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  155. P1 16:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
  156. P1 16:19
    Giveaway by Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  157. P1 15:55
    Giveaway by Ville Koivunen in defensive zone
  158. P1 14:50
    SHOT
    Mathew Dumba shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  159. P1 14:27
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  160. P1 14:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  161. P1 13:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Tristan Jarry
  162. P1 11:46
    Takeaway by Mathew Dumba in neutral zone
  163. P1 10:59
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  164. P1 10:59
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  165. P1 10:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  166. P1 10:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
  167. P1 10:01
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Tristan Jarry
  168. P1 09:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  169. P1 08:57
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  170. P1 08:57
    Penalty to Conor Timmins 2 minutes for Misconduct
  171. P1 08:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  172. P1 08:32
    Giveaway by Zach Benson in offensive zone
  173. P1 08:19
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
  174. P1 08:19
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  175. P1 07:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Tristan Jarry
  176. P1 07:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  177. P1 05:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  178. P1 05:42
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  179. P1 05:42
    Stoppage - Offside
  180. P1 05:12
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  181. P1 05:12
    Stoppage - Offside
  182. P1 04:42
    Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
  183. P1 04:42
    Giveaway by Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
  184. P1 04:37
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
  185. P1 04:02
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
  186. P1 04:01
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
  187. P1 03:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  188. P1 03:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  189. P1 01:28
    Mathew Dumba credited with hit on Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
  190. P1 00:37
    Takeaway by Bowen Byram in neutral zone
  191. P1 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  192. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Sabres
STATS
Penguins
31Shots on Goal19
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins0
21Hits17
15 Shots Blocked 10
15Giveaways14
SabresBUF
PenguinsPIT
31Shots on Goal19
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins0
21Hits17
15 Shots Blocked 10
15Giveaways14

Sabres vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sabres vs. Penguins
  • Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Penguins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Sabres +100, Penguins -115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sabres: 47%
  • Penguins: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 47%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Penguins are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sabres vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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