Islanders vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Penguins NHL game on October 9, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Islanders
3
4
PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
PPG Paints Arena
TEAM123T
Islanders
1 2 0 3
Penguins
1 2 1 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Islanders
    0%
  • Penguins
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
1 2 0 3
Penguins
1 2 1 4
P3 19:57 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 19:45 Power play - Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin
P3 19:43 Power play - Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 19:24 Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Connor Dewar
P3 19:07 Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 18:59 Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 18:31 Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 17:58 Power play - Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
P3 17:35 Power play - Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin
P3 17:26 Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 17:11 Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 15:53 Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:50 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 15:41 Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 14:53 Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 14:21 Goal scored by Justin Brazeau
P3 13:32 Kris Letang shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P3 12:40 Shot missed by Islanders
P3 11:59 Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
P3 11:51 Shot missed by Caleb Jones
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:57
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Tristan Jarry
  4. P3 19:45
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  5. P3 19:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin
  6. P3 19:45
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  7. P3 19:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Tristan Jarry
  8. P3 19:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Connor Dewar
  9. P3 19:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  10. P3 19:00
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  11. P3 19:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  12. P3 18:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Tristan Jarry
  13. P3 18:34
    Shorthanded - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  14. P3 18:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  15. P3 18:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Tristan Jarry
  16. P3 17:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
  17. P3 17:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin
  18. P3 17:28
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  19. P3 17:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  20. P3 17:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Tristan Jarry
  21. P3 17:13
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  22. P3 17:13
    Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
  23. P3 17:13
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  24. P3 17:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Tristan Jarry
  25. P3 16:15
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  26. P3 16:15
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  27. P3 16:15
    Penalty to Ben Kindel 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Adam Pelech)
  28. P3 15:53
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
  29. P3 15:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  30. P3 15:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Tristan Jarry
  31. P3 15:40
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  32. P3 15:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  33. P3 14:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Ilya Sorokin
  34. P3 14:37
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  35. P3 14:31
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Harrison Brunicke in offensive zone
  36. P3 14:29
    Caleb Jones credited with hit on Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
  37. P3 14:21
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  38. P3 14:21
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Justin Brazeau
    3-4
  39. P3 13:53
    Takeaway by Kris Letang in defensive zone
  40. P3 13:32
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
  41. P3 13:00
    Giveaway by Emil Heineman in offensive zone
  42. P3 12:56
    Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
  43. P3 12:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Islanders
  44. P3 12:36
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  45. P3 12:36
    Stoppage - Icing
  46. P3 12:15
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  47. P3 11:59
    SHOT
    Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
  48. P3 11:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Caleb Jones
  49. P3 11:44
    Giveaway by Harrison Brunicke in defensive zone
  50. P3 11:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Tristan Jarry
  51. P3 10:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
  52. P3 09:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Tristan Jarry
  53. P3 09:27
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  54. P3 09:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  55. P3 09:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  56. P3 09:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  57. P3 09:02
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  58. P3 09:02
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  59. P3 08:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Caleb Jones saved by Ilya Sorokin
  60. P3 08:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  61. P3 08:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Ilya Sorokin
  62. P3 08:11
    SHOT
    Harrison Brunicke shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  63. P3 07:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Tristan Jarry
  64. P3 07:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Ilya Sorokin
  65. P3 07:02
    SHOT
    Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Thomas Novak
  66. P3 06:41
    Giveaway by Filip Hallander in offensive zone
  67. P3 06:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Ilya Sorokin
  68. P3 05:46
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  69. P3 05:46
    Stoppage - Player Injury
  70. P3 05:45
    SHOT
    Ryan Pulock shot blocked by teammate
  71. P3 05:40
    SHOT
    Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Sidney Crosby
  72. P3 05:37
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  73. P3 05:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  74. P3 05:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Tristan Jarry
  75. P3 05:24
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  76. P3 05:16
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  77. P3 05:16
    Stoppage - Icing
  78. P3 05:03
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
  79. P3 04:19
    SHOT
    Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Caleb Jones
  80. P3 04:16
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  81. P3 04:16
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  82. P3 04:12
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Tristan Jarry
  83. P3 04:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  84. P3 03:57
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Scott Mayfield in defensive zone
  85. P3 03:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Ilya Sorokin
  86. P3 03:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Ilya Sorokin
  87. P3 03:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  88. P3 03:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  89. P3 03:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  90. P3 02:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
  91. P3 02:15
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  92. P3 01:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Filip Hallander saved by Ilya Sorokin
  93. P3 01:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anders Lee
  94. P3 01:20
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by teammate
  95. P3 00:59
    Takeaway by Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
  96. P3 00:42
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  97. P3 00:42
    Stoppage - Icing
  98. P3 00:32
    SHOT
    Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
  99. P3 00:10
    Giveaway by Adam Pelech in defensive zone
  100. P3 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  101. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  102. P2 19:57
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  103. P2 19:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
  104. P2 19:20
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Max Shabanov assisted by Simon Holmstrom
    3-3
  105. P2 19:19
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
  106. P2 19:11
    Scott Mayfield credited with hit on Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  107. P2 18:57
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  108. P2 18:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  109. P2 18:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
  110. P2 18:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  111. P2 18:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ilya Sorokin
  112. P2 18:08
    SHOT
    Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Emil Heineman
  113. P2 18:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  114. P2 17:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Ilya Sorokin
  115. P2 17:21
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  116. P2 17:21
    Islanders won faceoff against Penguins in neutral zone
  117. P2 17:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  118. P2 17:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Ilya Sorokin
  119. P2 17:17
    Giveaway by Scott Mayfield in defensive zone
  120. P2 17:04
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
  121. P2 16:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
  122. P2 16:43
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  123. P2 16:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  124. P2 16:03
    SHOT
    Caleb Jones shot blocked by Anders Lee
  125. P2 14:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Kris Letang shot blocked by teammate
  126. P2 14:24
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Tristan Jarry
  127. P2 14:18
    Power play - Giveaway by Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  128. P2 13:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Kris Letang shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  129. P2 13:38
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  130. P2 13:38
    Penalty to Mathew Barzal 2 minutes for Misconduct
  131. P2 13:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Bo Horvat shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
  132. P2 13:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Tristan Jarry
  133. P2 12:39
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor Dewar in defensive zone
  134. P2 12:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  135. P2 12:18
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  136. P2 12:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  137. P2 12:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Tristan Jarry
  138. P2 11:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Tristan Jarry
  139. P2 11:40
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  140. P2 11:40
    Penalty to Erik Karlsson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Anders Lee)
  141. P2 11:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Tristan Jarry
  142. P2 11:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Tristan Jarry
  143. P2 11:06
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  144. P2 11:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  145. P2 11:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
  146. P2 10:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Tristan Jarry
  147. P2 10:33
    Takeaway by Alexander Romanov in defensive zone
  148. P2 09:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  149. P2 08:58
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  150. P2 08:58
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Sidney Crosby
    2-3
  151. P2 08:43
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  152. P2 08:43
    Penalty to Bo Horvat 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Anthony Mantha)
  153. P2 08:14
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in neutral zone
  154. P2 08:14
    Stoppage - Offside
  155. P2 07:45
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
  156. P2 07:24
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Tristan Jarry
  157. P2 07:00
    Power play - Connor Dewar won faceoff against Anders Lee in defensive zone
  158. P2 07:00
    Penalty to Parker Wotherspoon 2 minutes for Misconduct
  159. P2 07:00
    Penalty to Kyle Palmieri 2 minutes for Misconduct
  160. P2 07:00
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  161. P2 06:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Pelech
  162. P2 06:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Ilya Sorokin
  163. P2 06:12
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  164. P2 06:12
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  165. P2 05:41
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  166. P2 05:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Harrison Brunicke
  167. P2 05:33
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
  168. P2 05:20
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  169. P2 05:20
    Stoppage - Player Injury
  170. P2 05:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Ilya Sorokin
  171. P2 05:15
    SHOT
    Anthony Mantha shot blocked by teammate
  172. P2 04:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Tristan Jarry
  173. P2 04:38
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  174. P2 04:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  175. P2 04:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
  176. P2 04:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Ilya Sorokin
  177. P2 04:04
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
  178. P2 04:04
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Kyle Palmieri assisted by Mathew Barzal and Scott Mayfield
    2-1
  179. P2 03:26
    Giveaway by Emil Heineman in offensive zone
  180. P2 03:13
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  181. P2 03:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  182. P2 03:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
  183. P2 00:43
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  184. P2 00:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  185. P2 00:25
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
  186. P2 00:12
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  187. P2 00:12
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  188. P2 00:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Pelech
  189. P2 00:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Tristan Jarry
  190. P2 00:00
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  191. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  192. P1 19:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Ilya Sorokin
  193. P1 19:37
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  194. P1 19:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  195. P1 19:25
    Adam Pelech credited with hit on Justin Brazeau in defensive zone
  196. P1 19:09
    Giveaway by Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  197. P1 19:05
    Giveaway by Anthony Duclair in offensive zone
  198. P1 18:55
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  199. P1 18:55
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  200. P1 18:49
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  201. P1 18:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  202. P1 18:42
    SHOT
    Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
  203. P1 18:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Harrison Brunicke saved by Ilya Sorokin
  204. P1 17:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Caleb Jones
  205. P1 17:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Ilya Sorokin
  206. P1 17:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Tristan Jarry
  207. P1 17:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kris Letang
  208. P1 16:43
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  209. P1 16:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  210. P1 16:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  211. P1 16:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  212. P1 16:27
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
  213. P1 15:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  214. P1 15:15
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
  215. P1 15:14
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  216. P1 15:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  217. P1 15:09
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  218. P1 15:09
    Stoppage - Offside
  219. P1 14:46
    Caleb Jones credited with hit on Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  220. P1 14:28
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  221. P1 14:28
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  222. P1 14:26
    SHOT
    Emil Heineman shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  223. P1 14:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Ilya Sorokin
  224. P1 13:57
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
  225. P1 12:43
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Simon Holmstrom in offensive zone
  226. P1 12:43
    Stoppage
  227. P1 12:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  228. P1 12:25
    SHOT
    Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
  229. P1 12:23
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
  230. P1 12:23
    Stoppage - Offside
  231. P1 12:12
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  232. P1 12:12
    Stoppage - Offside
  233. P1 12:02
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  234. P1 12:02
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jonathan Drouin
    1-1
  235. P1 11:37
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  236. P1 11:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  237. P1 11:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Tristan Jarry
  238. P1 11:21
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  239. P1 11:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  240. P1 11:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  241. P1 10:38
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  242. P1 09:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  243. P1 09:28
    Power play - Emil Heineman won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  244. P1 09:28
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  245. P1 09:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
  246. P1 08:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  247. P1 08:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
  248. P1 08:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Tristan Jarry
  249. P1 07:54
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  250. P1 07:54
    Stoppage - High Stick
  251. P1 07:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Tristan Jarry
  252. P1 07:41
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  253. P1 07:41
    Penalty to Noel Acciari 2 minutes for Delay of Game
  254. P1 07:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Tristan Jarry
  255. P1 06:09
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  256. P1 06:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  257. P1 06:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Tristan Jarry
  258. P1 05:48
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  259. P1 05:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  260. P1 05:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Tristan Jarry
  261. P1 05:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  262. P1 05:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  263. P1 04:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Islanders saved by Tristan Jarry
  264. P1 04:48
    SHOT
    Anders Lee shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  265. P1 04:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Ilya Sorokin
  266. P1 04:05
    SHOT
    Harrison Brunicke shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
  267. P1 03:23
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  268. P1 03:23
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin assisted by Sidney Crosby
    0-1
  269. P1 03:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by teammate
  270. P1 03:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Ilya Sorokin
  271. P1 03:00
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  272. P1 03:00
    Penalty to Alexander Romanov 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Filip Hallander)
  273. P1 02:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Harrison Brunicke saved by Ilya Sorokin
  274. P1 02:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Ilya Sorokin
  275. P1 01:24
    Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
  276. P1 00:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Tristan Jarry
  277. P1 00:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Tristan Jarry
  278. P1 00:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
  279. P1 00:20
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  280. P1 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  281. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Penguins
37Shots on Goal28
58% Faceoff Win % 42%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/2
25Penalty Infraction Mins8
22Hits23
13 Shots Blocked 12
16Giveaways22
IslandersNYI
PenguinsPIT
37Shots on Goal28
58% Faceoff Win % 42%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/2
25Penalty Infraction Mins8
22Hits23
13 Shots Blocked 12
16Giveaways22

Islanders vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Penguins
  • Date: Thursday, October 9, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Islanders favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders -130, Penguins +110

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 51%
  • Penguins: 49%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 51%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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