Stars vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Lightning NHL game on October 30, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Stars
1
2
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123OTT
Stars
0 0 1 0 1
Lightning
0 1 0 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Stars
    0%
  • Lightning
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Stars
0 0 1 0 1
Lightning
0 1 0 1 2
OT1 02:35 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
OT1 01:53 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 01:14 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 00:22 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 18:34 Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 17:34 Shot missed by Colin Blackwell
P3 17:23 Shot missed by Lian Bichsel
P3 16:58 Thomas Harley shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 15:43 Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 14:55 Shot missed by Thomas Harley
P3 14:11 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:46 Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 13:15 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:56 Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 12:20 Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 12:10 Power play - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 12:01 Power play - Thomas Harley shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
P3 10:39 Power play - Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:39 Power play - Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 09:12 Tyler Seguin shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 02:36
    Stars won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  3. OT1 02:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  4. OT1 02:19
    Giveaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
  5. OT1 01:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jake Oettinger
  6. OT1 01:24
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  7. OT1 01:24
    Stoppage - Offside
  8. OT1 01:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  9. OT1 00:25
    Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  10. OT1 00:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  11. OT1 00:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jake Oettinger
  12. OT1 00:00
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  13. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  14. P3 18:36
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  15. P3 18:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. P3 18:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jake Oettinger
  17. P3 17:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Colin Blackwell
  18. P3 17:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lian Bichsel
  19. P3 16:58
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  20. P3 15:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jake Oettinger
  21. P3 14:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Harley
  22. P3 14:11
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  23. P3 14:05
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in neutral zone
  24. P3 14:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  25. P3 13:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  26. P3 13:15
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  27. P3 12:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
  28. P3 12:41
    Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
  29. P3 12:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jake Oettinger
  30. P3 12:17
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  31. P3 12:17
    Penalty to Wyatt Johnston 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
  32. P3 12:17
    Stars won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  33. P3 12:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  34. P3 12:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Thomas Harley shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
  35. P3 10:40
    Power play - Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  36. P3 10:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  37. P3 10:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  38. P3 10:29
    Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  39. P3 10:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  40. P3 10:14
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  41. P3 10:14
    Penalty to Erik Cernak 2 minutes for Misconduct
  42. P3 09:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  43. P3 09:15
    Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  44. P3 09:15
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  45. P3 09:15
    Penalty to Dominic James 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Miro Heiskanen)
  46. P3 09:12
    SHOT
    Tyler Seguin shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  47. P3 08:02
    Giveaway by Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  48. P3 07:59
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Thomas Harley in offensive zone
  49. P3 07:58
    Takeaway by Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  50. P3 07:09
    Tyler Seguin credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
  51. P3 06:49
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
  52. P3 06:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  53. P3 06:42
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
  54. P3 06:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  55. P3 06:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  56. P3 06:06
    Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  57. P3 06:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  58. P3 06:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jake Oettinger
  59. P3 06:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  60. P3 05:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jake Oettinger
  61. P3 05:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Victor Hedman
  62. P3 04:53
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  63. P3 04:53
    Penalty to Kyle Capobianco 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Gage Goncalves)
  64. P3 04:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jake Oettinger
  65. P3 04:36
    Adam Erne credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in offensive zone
  66. P3 04:31
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
  67. P3 04:29
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
  68. P3 04:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  69. P3 04:07
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  70. P3 04:07
    Stoppage - Icing
  71. P3 03:17
    Mikko Rantanen credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
  72. P3 02:48
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  73. P3 02:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  74. P3 02:45
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  75. P3 02:37
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in defensive zone
  76. P3 02:37
    Stoppage - Icing
  77. P3 02:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  78. P3 02:04
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  79. P3 02:03
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  80. P3 02:03
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  81. P3 02:01
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Adam Erne
    1-1
  82. P3 01:30
    Giveaway by Ilya Lyubushkin in defensive zone
  83. P3 01:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jake Oettinger
  84. P3 01:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  85. P3 01:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  86. P3 01:01
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
  87. P3 01:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  88. P3 00:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  89. P3 00:36
    Ryan McDonagh credited with hit on Sam Steel in neutral zone
  90. P3 00:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  91. P3 00:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
  92. P3 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in neutral zone
  93. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  94. P2 19:14
    Power play - Sam Steel won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
  95. P2 19:14
    Stoppage - Offside
  96. P2 18:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  97. P2 18:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  98. P2 18:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Tyler Seguin shot blocked by teammate
  99. P2 18:01
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
  100. P2 17:36
    Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  101. P2 17:36
    Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for High Sticking
  102. P2 17:28
    Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  103. P2 17:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  104. P2 17:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kyle Capobianco
  105. P2 17:10
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  106. P2 15:45
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  107. P2 15:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
  108. P2 15:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  109. P2 15:07
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
  110. P2 15:02
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  111. P2 14:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  112. P2 14:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jake Oettinger
  113. P2 13:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Brayden Point shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  114. P2 13:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jake Oettinger
  115. P2 13:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jake Oettinger
  116. P2 13:19
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  117. P2 12:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jake Oettinger
  118. P2 12:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jake Oettinger
  119. P2 11:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jake Oettinger
  120. P2 09:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jake Oettinger
  121. P2 09:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
  122. P2 09:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  123. P2 08:44
    Lian Bichsel credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
  124. P2 08:25
    Shorthanded - Lian Bichsel credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
  125. P2 06:39
    Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
  126. P2 06:34
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  127. P2 06:34
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  128. P2 06:34
    Penalty to Adam Erne 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Ryan McDonagh)
  129. P2 06:32
    SHOT
    Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  130. P2 06:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  131. P2 05:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jake Oettinger
  132. P2 05:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  133. P2 05:13
    Giveaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
  134. P2 04:44
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  135. P2 04:44
    Stoppage - Offside
  136. P2 04:38
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Jason Robertson in defensive zone
  137. P2 04:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  138. P2 04:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  139. P2 04:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jake Oettinger
  140. P2 04:19
    SHOT
    Sam Steel shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
  141. P2 03:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Cernak
  142. P2 03:18
    Giveaway by J.J. Moser in neutral zone
  143. P2 03:10
    Radek Faksa credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
  144. P2 03:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Colin Blackwell
  145. P2 03:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle Capobianco saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  146. P2 02:36
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  147. P2 02:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  148. P2 02:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Jake Oettinger
  149. P2 01:27
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  150. P2 01:01
    Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Sam Steel in defensive zone
  151. P2 01:01
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  152. P2 00:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Radek Faksa
  153. P2 00:10
    Giveaway by Victor Hedman in neutral zone
  154. P2 00:06
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
  155. P2 00:06
    Stoppage - Offside
  156. P2 00:00
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  157. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  158. P1 19:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jake Oettinger
  159. P1 19:24
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  160. P1 19:08
    SHOT
    Erik Cernak shot blocked by Sam Steel
  161. P1 18:46
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
  162. P1 18:46
    Stoppage - Icing
  163. P1 17:23
    Giveaway by Tyler Seguin in defensive zone
  164. P1 16:51
    Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
  165. P1 16:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  166. P1 16:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Stars saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  167. P1 16:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  168. P1 16:02
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by teammate
  169. P1 15:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
  170. P1 15:04
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
  171. P1 15:04
    Stoppage - Icing
  172. P1 14:57
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  173. P1 14:57
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  174. P1 14:13
    Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  175. P1 13:49
    Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
  176. P1 13:46
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  177. P1 13:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  178. P1 12:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  179. P1 12:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  180. P1 12:07
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Brayden Point
  181. P1 11:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  182. P1 11:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jake Oettinger
  183. P1 11:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  184. P1 11:02
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  185. P1 11:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  186. P1 10:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
  187. P1 08:52
    Takeaway by Jason Robertson in neutral zone
  188. P1 08:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jake Oettinger
  189. P1 07:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Esa Lindell
  190. P1 07:10
    Giveaway by Thomas Harley in neutral zone
  191. P1 06:49
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
  192. P1 06:49
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  193. P1 06:15
    Dominic James won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  194. P1 06:15
    Stoppage - Icing
  195. P1 05:27
    SHOT
    Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by teammate
  196. P1 05:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  197. P1 05:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  198. P1 04:32
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
  199. P1 04:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  200. P1 04:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  201. P1 04:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  202. P1 04:08
    SHOT
    Yanni Gourde shot blocked by teammate
  203. P1 03:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  204. P1 03:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jake Oettinger
  205. P1 02:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Point
  206. P1 02:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jake Oettinger
  207. P1 02:30
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Radek Faksa
  208. P1 01:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jake Oettinger
  209. P1 01:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jake Oettinger
  210. P1 01:29
    SHOT
    Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
  211. P1 01:24
    SHOT
    Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
  212. P1 01:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
  213. P1 01:15
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
  214. P1 01:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  215. P1 01:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  216. P1 00:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  217. P1 00:25
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  218. P1 00:25
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  219. P1 00:14
    Esa Lindell credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
  220. P1 00:00
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  221. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Stars
STATS
Lightning
21Shots on Goal32
57% Faceoff Win % 44%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
30Hits21
10 Shots Blocked 15
13Giveaways17
StarsDAL
LightningTB
21Shots on Goal32
57% Faceoff Win % 44%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
30Hits21
10 Shots Blocked 15
13Giveaways17

Stars vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Stars vs. Lightning
  • Date: Thursday, October 30, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Stars +130, Lightning -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Stars: 43%
  • Lightning: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 43%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Stars in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Stars vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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