Capitals vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Stars NHL game on October 28, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Capitals
0
1
American Airlines Center
Stars
American Airlines Center
TEAM123T
Capitals
0 0 0 0
Stars
0 1 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Capitals
    0%
  • Stars
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Capitals
0 0 0 0
Stars
0 1 0 1
P3 19:53 Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
P3 19:15 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 19:09 Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P3 18:59 Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P3 18:33 Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 18:24 Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 16:10 Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 15:56 Power play - Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 15:56 Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:16 Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Esa Lindell
P3 14:55 Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 14:45 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 14:00 Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 11:49 Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 09:57 Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 08:53 Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:48 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:42 Shot on goal by Nathan Bastian saved by Logan Thompson
P3 08:26 Logan Thompson shot blocked by Jake Oettinger
P3 07:25 Power play - Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Logan Thompson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
  3. P3 19:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  4. P3 19:12
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  5. P3 19:12
    Stoppage - Icing - Visitor Timeout
  6. P3 19:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  7. P3 18:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
  8. P3 18:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Carlson
  9. P3 18:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Carlson
  10. P3 18:10
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  11. P3 18:10
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
  12. P3 17:19
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
  13. P3 17:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  14. P3 16:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  15. P3 15:58
    Shorthanded - Sam Steel won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  16. P3 15:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  17. P3 15:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Jake Oettinger
  18. P3 15:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by teammate
  19. P3 15:17
    Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  20. P3 15:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  21. P3 14:56
    Penalty to Lian Bichsel 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Aliaksei Protas)
  22. P3 14:56
    Capitals won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  23. P3 14:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  24. P3 14:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
  25. P3 14:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jake Oettinger
  26. P3 14:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  27. P3 12:43
    Takeaway by Thomas Harley in neutral zone
  28. P3 11:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
  29. P3 10:55
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  30. P3 10:55
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  31. P3 09:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Jake Oettinger
  32. P3 09:22
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  33. P3 09:22
    Stoppage - Offside
  34. P3 08:57
    Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  35. P3 08:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Logan Thompson
  36. P3 08:50
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  37. P3 08:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  38. P3 08:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Logan Thompson
  39. P3 08:43
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  40. P3 08:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  41. P3 08:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan Bastian saved by Logan Thompson
  42. P3 08:26
    SHOT
    Logan Thompson shot blocked by Jake Oettinger
  43. P3 08:12
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  44. P3 08:12
    Stoppage - Offside
  45. P3 07:28
    Shorthanded - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
  46. P3 07:28
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  47. P3 07:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Logan Thompson
  48. P3 07:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Logan Thompson
  49. P3 06:49
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sam Steel in defensive zone
  50. P3 06:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  51. P3 06:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Matt Roy
  52. P3 06:35
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Jake Oettinger
  53. P3 06:35
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  54. P3 06:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
  55. P3 05:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Nic Dowd
  56. P3 05:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  57. P3 05:29
    Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  58. P3 05:29
    Penalty to Brandon Duhaime 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mikko Rantanen)
  59. P3 05:15
    SHOT
    Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Tyler Seguin
  60. P3 04:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Steel
  61. P3 03:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ethen Frank
  62. P3 03:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Jake Oettinger
  63. P3 03:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
  64. P3 02:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Jake Oettinger
  65. P3 01:33
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  66. P3 01:33
    Stoppage - Offside
  67. P3 01:00
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  68. P3 01:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  69. P3 00:55
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  70. P3 00:55
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  71. P3 00:53
    SHOT
    Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Matt Roy
  72. P3 00:00
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
  73. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  74. P2 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
  75. P2 19:09
    SHOT
    Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
  76. P2 19:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Jake Oettinger
  77. P2 18:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Jake Oettinger
  78. P2 18:35
    SHOT
    Brandon Duhaime shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
  79. P2 17:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  80. P2 16:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Capitals
  81. P2 15:45
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  82. P2 15:45
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  83. P2 15:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
  84. P2 14:05
    SHOT
    Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by Ethen Frank
  85. P2 13:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Jake Oettinger
  86. P2 13:07
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  87. P2 13:07
    Stoppage - Icing
  88. P2 12:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jake Oettinger
  89. P2 12:22
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Colin Blackwell
  90. P2 12:21
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  91. P2 12:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  92. P2 12:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Jake Oettinger
  93. P2 11:48
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  94. P2 11:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  95. P2 11:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
  96. P2 10:21
    Giveaway by Trevor van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
  97. P2 10:11
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in defensive zone
  98. P2 10:11
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  99. P2 10:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kyle Capobianco
  100. P2 09:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  101. P2 09:22
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by Adam Erne
  102. P2 09:21
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Adam Erne in offensive zone
  103. P2 09:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  104. P2 09:19
    SHOT
    Matt Roy shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
  105. P2 08:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Jake Oettinger
  106. P2 08:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  107. P2 08:32
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  108. P2 08:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  109. P2 08:09
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  110. P2 08:09
    Stoppage - Icing
  111. P2 07:42
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
  112. P2 07:40
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  113. P2 07:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  114. P2 07:38
    SHOT
    Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  115. P2 07:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Declan Chisholm saved by Jake Oettinger
  116. P2 06:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Jake Oettinger
  117. P2 05:43
    SHOT
    Esa Lindell shot blocked by teammate
  118. P2 04:33
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
  119. P2 04:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  120. P2 04:27
    Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Brandon Duhaime in defensive zone
  121. P2 04:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  122. P2 03:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
  123. P2 03:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
  124. P2 03:48
    SHOT
    Nic Dowd shot blocked by Jason Robertson
  125. P2 03:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Logan Thompson
  126. P2 03:24
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
  127. P2 03:24
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  128. P2 01:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Jake Oettinger
  129. P2 01:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by John Carlson
  130. P2 01:20
    Shorthanded - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  131. P2 01:20
    Penalty to Sam Steel 2 minutes for Misconduct
  132. P2 00:52
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  133. P2 00:52
    Stoppage - High Stick
  134. P2 00:43
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  135. P2 00:43
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Tyler Seguin
    0-1
  136. P2 00:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Logan Thompson
  137. P2 00:20
    Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  138. P2 00:20
    Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Radek Faksa)
  139. P2 00:08
    Giveaway by John Carlson in defensive zone
  140. P2 00:00
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  141. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  142. P1 19:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Logan Thompson
  143. P1 19:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Logan Thompson
  144. P1 19:36
    SHOT
    Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by teammate
  145. P1 19:33
    SHOT
    Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Declan Chisholm
  146. P1 18:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Jake Oettinger
  147. P1 17:40
    Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
  148. P1 17:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  149. P1 17:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Logan Thompson
  150. P1 17:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tyler Seguin saved by Logan Thompson
  151. P1 16:41
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  152. P1 16:41
    Penalty to Aliaksei Protas 2 minutes for Misconduct
  153. P1 16:08
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  154. P1 16:08
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  155. P1 15:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Logan Thompson
  156. P1 13:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
  157. P1 13:55
    Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  158. P1 13:55
    Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Interference
  159. P1 13:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Jake Oettinger
  160. P1 13:24
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by teammate
  161. P1 13:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Jake Oettinger
  162. P1 13:21
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
  163. P1 13:21
    Stoppage - Icing
  164. P1 13:00
    SHOT
    Ethen Frank shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
  165. P1 12:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Logan Thompson
  166. P1 12:30
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
  167. P1 12:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  168. P1 12:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jake Oettinger
  169. P1 12:27
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  170. P1 12:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  171. P1 12:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Steel
  172. P1 10:39
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Stars
  173. P1 10:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  174. P1 09:52
    Shorthanded - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  175. P1 09:19
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  176. P1 09:19
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
  177. P1 09:12
    SHOT
    Matt Roy shot blocked by Sam Steel
  178. P1 09:10
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
  179. P1 09:10
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  180. P1 09:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Jake Oettinger
  181. P1 09:06
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  182. P1 08:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  183. P1 07:38
    SHOT
    Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  184. P1 07:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Jake Oettinger
  185. P1 04:55
    Giveaway by Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  186. P1 04:51
    Takeaway by Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  187. P1 04:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Logan Thompson
  188. P1 04:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Jake Oettinger
  189. P1 03:57
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
  190. P1 03:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  191. P1 03:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Logan Thompson
  192. P1 03:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Jake Oettinger
  193. P1 03:10
    SHOT
    Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Mavrik Bourque
  194. P1 03:05
    SHOT
    Tom Wilson shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
  195. P1 03:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Jake Oettinger
  196. P1 03:01
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  197. P1 03:01
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  198. P1 02:12
    Giveaway by John Carlson in neutral zone
  199. P1 01:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Logan Thompson
  200. P1 01:43
    SHOT
    Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Ryan Leonard
  201. P1 01:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  202. P1 00:00
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
  203. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Stars
24Shots on Goal19
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
22Hits30
14 Shots Blocked 19
15Giveaways10
CapitalsWSH
StarsDAL
24Shots on Goal19
45% Faceoff Win % 55%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
22Hits30
14 Shots Blocked 19
15Giveaways10

Capitals vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Stars
  • Date: Tuesday, October 28, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at undefined
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals +108, Stars -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 47%
  • Stars: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 47%, while the Stars have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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