Penguins vs. Rangers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Rangers NHL game on October 7, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Penguins
3
0
Madison Square Garden
Rangers
Madison Square Garden
TEAM123T
Penguins
1 0 2 3
Rangers
0 0 0 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    100%
  • Rangers
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
1 0 2 3
Rangers
0 0 0 0
P3 18:17 Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 18:01 Adam Fox shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 17:47 Goal scored by Justin Brazeau
P3 16:25 Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 16:08 Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 15:29 Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P3 15:19 Shot missed by Caleb Jones
P3 14:46 Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
P3 14:45 Mika Zibanejad shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 14:43 Carson Soucy shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:04 Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 11:33 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 11:23 Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
P3 11:00 Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 09:43 Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P3 09:34 Will Cuylle shot blocked by Caleb Jones
P3 09:21 Caleb Jones shot blocked by Will Cuylle
P3 09:02 Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P3 08:10 Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 06:41 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Adam Fox
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:39
    Thomas Novak credited with hit on Braden Schneider in defensive zone
  3. P3 18:19
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
  4. P3 18:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  5. P3 18:08
    Sam Carrick won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  6. P3 18:01
    SHOT
    Adam Fox shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  7. P3 17:48
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  8. P3 17:47
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Justin Brazeau
    2-0
  9. P3 16:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Igor Shesterkin
  10. P3 16:13
    Noel Acciari credited with hit on Vladislav Gavrikov in offensive zone
  11. P3 16:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Igor Shesterkin
  12. P3 15:31
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Adam Fox in offensive zone
  13. P3 15:31
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Adam Fox in offensive zone
  14. P3 15:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  15. P3 15:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noel Acciari
  16. P3 15:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Caleb Jones
  17. P3 14:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
  18. P3 14:45
    SHOT
    Mika Zibanejad shot blocked by Kris Letang
  19. P3 14:43
    SHOT
    Carson Soucy shot blocked by teammate
  20. P3 13:13
    Taylor Raddysh credited with hit on Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
  21. P3 12:33
    Will Borgen credited with hit on Ville Koivunen in defensive zone
  22. P3 12:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Igor Shesterkin
  23. P3 11:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Igor Shesterkin
  24. P3 11:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
  25. P3 11:02
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
  26. P3 11:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  27. P3 11:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Arturs Silovs
  28. P3 09:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.T. Miller
  29. P3 09:34
    SHOT
    Will Cuylle shot blocked by Caleb Jones
  30. P3 09:21
    SHOT
    Caleb Jones shot blocked by Will Cuylle
  31. P3 09:19
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
  32. P3 09:19
    Stoppage - Icing
  33. P3 09:12
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
  34. P3 09:12
    Stoppage - Offside
  35. P3 09:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  36. P3 08:48
    Giveaway by Noah Laba in offensive zone
  37. P3 08:41
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  38. P3 08:41
    Stoppage - Offside
  39. P3 08:13
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
  40. P3 08:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  41. P3 08:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Arturs Silovs
  42. P3 06:41
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Adam Fox
  43. P3 06:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Philip Tomasino saved by Igor Shesterkin
  44. P3 06:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Caleb Jones saved by Igor Shesterkin
  45. P3 05:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  46. P3 05:04
    SHOT
    Mika Zibanejad shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
  47. P3 04:55
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  48. P3 04:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  49. P3 04:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Harrison Brunicke saved by Igor Shesterkin
  50. P3 03:16
    Justin Brazeau credited with hit on J.T. Miller in offensive zone
  51. P3 03:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Igor Shesterkin
  52. P3 03:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Igor Shesterkin
  53. P3 02:53
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against J.T. Miller in offensive zone
  54. P3 02:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  55. P3 02:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Igor Shesterkin
  56. P3 02:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Igor Shesterkin
  57. P3 02:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Shea
  58. P3 02:20
    SHOT
    Urho Vaakanainen shot blocked by Thomas Novak
  59. P3 01:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
  60. P3 01:45
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  61. P3 01:45
    Stoppage - Icing
  62. P3 01:37
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Noah Laba in defensive zone
  63. P3 01:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  64. P3 01:36
    SHOT
    Penguins shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
  65. P3 01:33
    SHOT
    Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Ville Koivunen
  66. P3 01:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Taylor Raddysh saved by Arturs Silovs
  67. P3 00:58
    SHOT
    Will Cuylle shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
  68. P3 00:52
    Shorthanded - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Taylor Raddysh in defensive zone
  69. P3 00:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  70. P3 00:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Arturs Silovs
  71. P3 00:00
    Power play - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  72. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  73. P2 19:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Vincent Trocheck shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
  74. P2 19:38
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
  75. P2 19:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  76. P2 19:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Arturs Silovs
  77. P2 19:07
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
  78. P2 19:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  79. P2 19:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Artemi Panarin saved by Arturs Silovs
  80. P2 18:55
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
  81. P2 18:55
    Penalty to Kris Letang 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Artemi Panarin)
  82. P2 18:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Arturs Silovs
  83. P2 17:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Arturs Silovs
  84. P2 17:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Arturs Silovs
  85. P2 17:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Arturs Silovs
  86. P2 16:32
    SHOT
    Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Will Borgen
  87. P2 16:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Will Cuylle
  88. P2 16:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  89. P2 16:08
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
  90. P2 16:08
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  91. P2 15:54
    SHOT
    Urho Vaakanainen shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  92. P2 15:46
    SHOT
    Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  93. P2 15:27
    SHOT
    Braden Schneider shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  94. P2 15:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artemi Panarin saved by Arturs Silovs
  95. P2 14:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  96. P2 14:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ville Koivunen
  97. P2 14:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  98. P2 14:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ville Koivunen
  99. P2 13:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  100. P2 13:31
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
  101. P2 13:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  102. P2 13:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Fox saved by Arturs Silovs
  103. P2 13:00
    SHOT
    Adam Fox shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  104. P2 12:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by Igor Shesterkin
  105. P2 12:08
    SHOT
    Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Noah Laba
  106. P2 12:02
    SHOT
    Philip Tomasino shot blocked by Conor Sheary
  107. P2 11:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Urho Vaakanainen saved by Arturs Silovs
  108. P2 11:38
    SHOT
    Conor Sheary shot blocked by teammate
  109. P2 10:31
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
  110. P2 10:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  111. P2 10:08
    SHOT
    Carson Soucy shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
  112. P2 09:52
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  113. P2 09:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Igor Shesterkin
  114. P2 09:00
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Sam Carrick in defensive zone
  115. P2 09:00
    Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
  116. P2 08:44
    SHOT
    Philip Tomasino shot blocked by Vincent Trocheck
  117. P2 08:08
    SHOT
    Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Will Borgen
  118. P2 07:36
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by teammate
  119. P2 07:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  120. P2 07:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
  121. P2 07:03
    SHOT
    Will Borgen shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  122. P2 06:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rangers saved by Arturs Silovs
  123. P2 06:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Igor Shesterkin
  124. P2 05:48
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Sam Carrick in neutral zone
  125. P2 05:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  126. P2 03:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
  127. P2 03:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Will Borgen
  128. P2 03:18
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  129. P2 03:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  130. P2 03:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Igor Shesterkin
  131. P2 01:42
    SHOT
    Noah Laba shot blocked by Harrison Brunicke
  132. P2 01:34
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
  133. P2 01:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  134. P2 01:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  135. P2 01:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Igor Shesterkin
  136. P2 01:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Igor Shesterkin
  137. P2 00:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
  138. P2 00:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Arturs Silovs
  139. P2 00:25
    SHOT
    Ryan Shea shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
  140. P2 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against J.T. Miller in neutral zone
  141. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  142. P1 19:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Arturs Silovs
  143. P1 19:36
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  144. P1 19:36
    Stoppage - Icing
  145. P1 19:28
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in neutral zone
  146. P1 19:28
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Justin Brazeau assisted by Evgeni Malkin
    1-0
  147. P1 19:24
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  148. P1 19:19
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  149. P1 19:19
    Stoppage - Icing
  150. P1 19:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Igor Shesterkin
  151. P1 18:28
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against J.T. Miller in offensive zone
  152. P1 18:28
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  153. P1 18:27
    SHOT
    Ville Koivunen shot blocked by Taylor Raddysh
  154. P1 18:21
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Noah Laba in offensive zone
  155. P1 18:21
    Stoppage - Icing
  156. P1 17:34
    Noah Laba won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  157. P1 17:34
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  158. P1 17:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Taylor Raddysh saved by Arturs Silovs
  159. P1 17:02
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by teammate
  160. P1 16:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.T. Miller
  161. P1 15:39
    Giveaway by Vladislav Gavrikov in defensive zone
  162. P1 15:36
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  163. P1 15:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  164. P1 15:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  165. P1 15:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Philip Tomasino saved by Igor Shesterkin
  166. P1 15:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Caleb Jones saved by Igor Shesterkin
  167. P1 14:32
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Vincent Trocheck
  168. P1 14:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Braden Schneider saved by Arturs Silovs
  169. P1 13:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  170. P1 12:16
    Giveaway by Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  171. P1 11:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Harrison Brunicke
  172. P1 11:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Conor Sheary
  173. P1 11:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Arturs Silovs
  174. P1 10:04
    SHOT
    Urho Vaakanainen shot blocked by teammate
  175. P1 09:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artemi Panarin saved by Arturs Silovs
  176. P1 09:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Urho Vaakanainen
  177. P1 09:40
    Giveaway by Ryan Shea in defensive zone
  178. P1 09:14
    Power play - Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
  179. P1 07:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Carson Soucy
  180. P1 07:33
    Power play - Ben Kindel won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
  181. P1 07:31
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Adam Fox
  182. P1 07:12
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
  183. P1 07:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Igor Shesterkin
  184. P1 06:44
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  185. P1 06:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  186. P1 06:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  187. P1 06:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Will Borgen saved by Arturs Silovs
  188. P1 06:18
    SHOT
    Connor Dewar shot blocked by Will Borgen
  189. P1 06:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Caleb Jones saved by Igor Shesterkin
  190. P1 06:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  191. P1 05:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  192. P1 05:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Edstrom
  193. P1 05:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Igor Shesterkin
  194. P1 04:56
    SHOT
    Will Cuylle shot blocked by teammate
  195. P1 04:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
  196. P1 03:20
    SHOT
    Adam Fox shot blocked by Erik Karlsson
  197. P1 03:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Igor Shesterkin
  198. P1 02:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Noah Laba shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  199. P1 02:47
    Power play - Noah Laba won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  200. P1 02:47
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  201. P1 02:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Arturs Silovs
  202. P1 01:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Adam Fox shot blocked by teammate
  203. P1 00:59
    Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  204. P1 00:59
    Penalty to Harrison Brunicke 2 minutes for Misconduct
  205. P1 00:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Igor Shesterkin
  206. P1 00:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Harrison Brunicke
  207. P1 00:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Igor Shesterkin
  208. P1 00:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Igor Shesterkin
  209. P1 00:00
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  210. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Rangers
30Shots on Goal25
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins2
22Hits34
20 Shots Blocked 17
19Giveaways17
PenguinsPIT
RangersNYR
30Shots on Goal25
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins2
22Hits34
20 Shots Blocked 17
19Giveaways17

Penguins vs. Rangers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Rangers
  • Date: Tuesday, October 7, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rangers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +195, Rangers -220

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 36%
  • Rangers: 64%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 36%, while the Rangers have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rangers are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Madison Square Garden on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Rangers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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