Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Senators NHL game on April 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Maple Leafs
1
3
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 0 1 1
Senators
1 1 1 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Maple Leafs
    0%
  • Senators
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0 0 1 1
Senators
1 1 1 3
P3 19:07 Artem Zub shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P3 18:21 Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 16:57 Warren Foegele shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 16:29 Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 14:45 Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 13:41 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by James Reimer
P3 11:26 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by James Reimer
P3 10:19 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 09:27 Ridly Greig shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 08:48 Shot on goal by Ryan Tverberg saved by James Reimer
P3 08:09 Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Jacob Quillan and Easton Cowan
P3 07:37 Shot missed by Nick Cousins
P3 07:36 Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 05:42 Lars Eller shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 05:08 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by James Reimer
P3 04:11 Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 03:55 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by James Reimer
P3 03:09 Lassi Thomson shot blocked by Ryan Tverberg
P3 02:49 Kurtis MacDermid shot blocked by William Villeneuve
P3 02:31 Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Dennis Hildeby
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:54
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  3. P3 19:47
    Takeaway by Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  4. P3 19:07
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Matthew Knies
  5. P3 18:40
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  6. P3 18:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  7. P3 18:21
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Artem Zub
  8. P3 17:15
    Giveaway by Luke Haymes in defensive zone
  9. P3 17:07
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Luke Haymes in offensive zone
  10. P3 17:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  11. P3 16:57
    SHOT
    Warren Foegele shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  12. P3 16:31
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  13. P3 16:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Dennis Hildeby
  14. P3 14:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
  15. P3 13:51
    Stephen Halliday won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  16. P3 13:43
    Max Domi won faceoff against Dennis Gilbert in offensive zone
  17. P3 13:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by James Reimer
  18. P3 12:21
    Giveaway by Nikolas Matinpalo in neutral zone
  19. P3 11:28
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
  20. P3 11:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  21. P3 11:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by James Reimer
  22. P3 11:11
    Luke Haymes won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  23. P3 10:49
    Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
  24. P3 10:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
  25. P3 09:27
    SHOT
    Ridly Greig shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  26. P3 08:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Tverberg saved by James Reimer
  27. P3 08:30
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  28. P3 08:11
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  29. P3 08:09
    GOAL
    Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Jacob Quillan and Easton Cowan
    1-2
  30. P3 07:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Cousins
  31. P3 07:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Dennis Hildeby
  32. P3 05:58
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Luke Haymes in neutral zone
  33. P3 05:42
    SHOT
    Lars Eller shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  34. P3 05:10
    Max Domi won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  35. P3 05:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by James Reimer
  36. P3 04:13
    John Tavares won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  37. P3 04:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Dennis Hildeby
  38. P3 03:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by James Reimer
  39. P3 03:09
    SHOT
    Lassi Thomson shot blocked by Ryan Tverberg
  40. P3 03:07
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  41. P3 03:07
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
  42. P3 02:49
    SHOT
    Kurtis MacDermid shot blocked by William Villeneuve
  43. P3 02:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Dennis Hildeby
  44. P3 02:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  45. P3 02:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  46. P3 01:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Dennis Hildeby
  47. P3 01:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  48. P3 00:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Maple Leafs
  49. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  50. P2 19:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Dennis Hildeby
  51. P2 19:37
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in offensive zone
  52. P2 19:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  53. P2 19:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
  54. P2 18:32
    John Tavares won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  55. P2 18:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
  56. P2 18:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Warren Foegele shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  57. P2 18:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  58. P2 18:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Lassi Thomson shot blocked by teammate
  59. P2 17:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Dennis Hildeby
  60. P2 16:38
    Shorthanded - Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  61. P2 16:19
    Takeaway by Hayden Hodgson in defensive zone
  62. P2 16:12
    SHOT
    Max Domi shot blocked by Shane Pinto
  63. P2 16:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Domi
  64. P2 14:25
    Giveaway by Stephen Halliday in neutral zone
  65. P2 14:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Dennis Hildeby
  66. P2 14:04
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  67. P2 14:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  68. P2 13:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  69. P2 13:21
    Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
  70. P2 13:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by James Reimer
  71. P2 12:43
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  72. P2 12:39
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  73. P2 12:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by James Reimer
  74. P2 11:16
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Nikolas Matinpalo in defensive zone
  75. P2 10:51
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
  76. P2 10:51
    Penalty to Ridly Greig 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Ryan Tverberg)
  77. P2 10:22
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  78. P2 09:52
    Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
  79. P2 09:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  80. P2 08:46
    Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  81. P2 08:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
  82. P2 06:35
    Takeaway by Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  83. P2 06:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by William Nylander
  84. P2 06:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  85. P2 06:17
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  86. P2 05:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Dennis Hildeby
  87. P2 05:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  88. P2 04:56
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by teammate
  89. P2 04:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  90. P2 04:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
  91. P2 03:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Dennis Hildeby
  92. P2 02:15
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Luke Haymes in neutral zone
  93. P2 01:56
    SHOT
    Drake Batherson shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  94. P2 01:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jacob Quillan
  95. P2 01:03
    Giveaway by Nikolas Matinpalo in defensive zone
  96. P2 00:30
    Power play - William Nylander won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  97. P2 00:00
    Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
  98. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  99. P1 19:34
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Dennis Hildeby
  100. P1 18:53
    Penalty to Artem Zub 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Matias Maccelli)
  101. P1 18:18
    Giveaway by Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  102. P1 17:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hayden Hodgson saved by Dennis Hildeby
  103. P1 17:04
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
  104. P1 16:39
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  105. P1 16:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  106. P1 16:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by James Reimer
  107. P1 15:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by James Reimer
  108. P1 15:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  109. P1 15:06
    Max Domi won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  110. P1 14:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  111. P1 13:47
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  112. P1 13:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lassi Thomson
  113. P1 12:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by James Reimer
  114. P1 12:33
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by Cameron Crotty
  115. P1 11:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  116. P1 10:09
    John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  117. P1 10:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  118. P1 10:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  119. P1 08:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Stephen Halliday saved by Dennis Hildeby
  120. P1 08:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by James Reimer
  121. P1 07:28
    Max Domi won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  122. P1 07:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  123. P1 07:20
    Max Domi won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  124. P1 07:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by James Reimer
  125. P1 06:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  126. P1 06:23
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  127. P1 06:04
    Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  128. P1 05:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Dennis Hildeby
  129. P1 05:44
    Penalty to Luke Haymes 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Dylan Cozens)
  130. P1 05:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lassi Thomson saved by Dennis Hildeby
  131. P1 05:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Claude Giroux
  132. P1 04:42
    SHOT
    Jacob Quillan shot blocked by teammate
  133. P1 04:39
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
  134. P1 04:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  135. P1 04:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Dennis Hildeby
  136. P1 03:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  137. P1 03:12
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
  138. P1 03:08
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
  139. P1 03:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Dennis Hildeby
  140. P1 02:00
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  141. P1 01:47
    Stoppage - High Stick
  142. P1 00:58
    Giveaway by Nick Cousins in defensive zone
  143. P1 00:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
  144. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Senators
20Shots on Goal38
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
28Hits27
13 Shots Blocked 7
22Giveaways18
Maple LeafsTOR
SenatorsOTT
20Shots on Goal38
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
28Hits27
13 Shots Blocked 7
22Giveaways18

Maple Leafs vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Senators
  • Date: Wednesday, April 15, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at undefined
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +175, Senators 63¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 36%
  • Senators: 64%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 36%, while the Senators have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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