Stars vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Sabres NHL game on April 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Stars
4
3
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123OTT
Stars
1 2 0 0 4
Sabres
1 2 0 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Stars
    100%
  • Sabres
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Stars
1 2 0 0 4
Sabres
1 2 0 0 3
OT1 04:17 Power play - Shot missed by Jack Quinn
OT1 03:59 Power play - Bowen Byram shot blocked by Radek Faksa
P3 19:30 Shot on goal by Tanner Pearson saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 18:17 Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Owen Power
P3 17:43 Shot on goal by Logan Stanley saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 17:04 Shot missed by Michael Bunting
P3 16:39 Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Colten Ellis
P3 12:11 Tyler Myers shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
P3 11:11 Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P3 10:32 Jason Robertson shot blocked by Tanner Pearson
P3 09:27 Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
P3 06:15 Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P3 05:23 Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Colten Ellis
P3 04:20 Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P3 04:09 Oskar Back shot blocked by teammate
P3 03:44 Shot on goal by Tyler Myers saved by Colten Ellis
P3 03:22 Shot missed by Zach Benson
P3 01:56 Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Colten Ellis
P3 01:19 Shot missed by Luke Schenn
P3 00:22 Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Josh Dunne
Play by Play
  1. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  2. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston on Colten Ellis
  3. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Matt Duchene on Colten Ellis
  4. SO
    Shootout attempt missed by Alex Tuch
  5. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Jack Quinn on Jake Oettinger
  6. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Josh Norris on Jake Oettinger
  7. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  8. OT1 04:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  9. OT1 04:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  10. OT1 03:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Bowen Byram shot blocked by Radek Faksa
  11. OT1 03:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  12. OT1 02:47
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Lian Bichsel in defensive zone
  13. OT1 02:36
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  14. OT1 02:32
    Takeaway by Alex Tuch in defensive zone
  15. OT1 01:10
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in neutral zone
  16. OT1 01:10
    Stoppage - Offside
  17. OT1 00:00
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  18. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  19. P3 19:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Pearson saved by Jake Oettinger
  20. P3 18:17
    SHOT
    Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Owen Power
  21. P3 17:45
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  22. P3 17:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Logan Stanley saved by Jake Oettinger
  23. P3 17:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Bunting
  24. P3 16:41
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
  25. P3 16:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Colten Ellis
  26. P3 16:04
    Lian Bichsel credited with hit on Zach Metsa in defensive zone
  27. P3 15:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  28. P3 14:35
    Power play - Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Alex Tuch in neutral zone
  29. P3 13:09
    Power play - Matt Duchene won faceoff against Alex Tuch in offensive zone
  30. P3 13:09
    Stoppage
  31. P3 12:57
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
  32. P3 12:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  33. P3 12:16
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  34. P3 12:11
    SHOT
    Tyler Myers shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
  35. P3 11:11
    SHOT
    Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Conor Timmins
  36. P3 10:45
    Stars won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  37. P3 10:32
    SHOT
    Jason Robertson shot blocked by Tanner Pearson
  38. P3 09:53
    Takeaway by Ilya Lyubushkin in neutral zone
  39. P3 09:44
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  40. P3 09:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
  41. P3 06:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  42. P3 05:26
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  43. P3 05:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Colten Ellis
  44. P3 04:21
    Josh Dunne won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
  45. P3 04:20
    SHOT
    Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Alex Tuch
  46. P3 04:09
    SHOT
    Oskar Back shot blocked by teammate
  47. P3 03:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Myers saved by Colten Ellis
  48. P3 03:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Benson
  49. P3 01:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Colten Ellis
  50. P3 01:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Luke Schenn
  51. P3 00:38
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
  52. P3 00:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  53. P3 00:22
    SHOT
    Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Josh Dunne
  54. P3 00:00
    Josh Dunne won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
  55. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  56. P2 18:34
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  57. P2 18:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Colten Ellis
  58. P2 16:32
    Power play - Matt Duchene won faceoff against Alex Tuch in offensive zone
  59. P2 16:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nils Lundkvist
  60. P2 16:00
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Oskar Back in neutral zone
  61. P2 15:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Hryckowian
  62. P2 15:30
    Stars won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  63. P2 14:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
  64. P2 13:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Jake Oettinger
  65. P2 12:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Bunting
  66. P2 11:46
    Josh Dunne won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in offensive zone
  67. P2 11:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  68. P2 11:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Colten Ellis
  69. P2 11:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jake Oettinger
  70. P2 10:24
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  71. P2 10:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Colten Ellis
  72. P2 09:49
    SHOT
    Radek Faksa shot blocked by teammate
  73. P2 09:44
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  74. P2 09:44
    Stoppage - Icing
  75. P2 09:19
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  76. P2 09:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  77. P2 08:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Myers saved by Colten Ellis
  78. P2 08:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Dunne
  79. P2 07:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Dunne
  80. P2 07:30
    Stars won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  81. P2 07:08
    SHOT
    Esa Lindell shot blocked by Zach Metsa
  82. P2 06:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Colten Ellis
  83. P2 04:24
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
  84. P2 04:07
    Power play - Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  85. P2 04:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  86. P2 03:31
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Zach Benson
  87. P2 02:24
    Penalty to Jordan Greenway 2 minutes for Interference
  88. P2 02:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  89. P2 01:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jake Oettinger
  90. P2 01:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Power
  91. P2 00:00
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Josh Dunne in neutral zone
  92. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  93. P1 19:01
    Giveaway by Mikko Rantanen in neutral zone
  94. P1 18:43
    Giveaway by Sam Steel in offensive zone
  95. P1 17:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Colten Ellis
  96. P1 17:30
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
  97. P1 17:23
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  98. P1 16:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Colten Ellis
  99. P1 15:35
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Josh Dunne in defensive zone
  100. P1 15:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Jake Oettinger
  101. P1 14:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Jack Quinn shot blocked by Oskar Back
  102. P1 13:33
    Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
  103. P1 13:33
    Penalty to Ilya Lyubushkin 2 minutes for Holding
  104. P1 13:33
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  105. P1 12:48
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
  106. P1 12:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Norris
  107. P1 11:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
  108. P1 11:38
    Josh Dunne won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
  109. P1 11:15
    SHOT
    Zach Metsa shot blocked by Radek Faksa
  110. P1 10:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  111. P1 10:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Josh Norris shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  112. P1 10:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  113. P1 09:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jake Oettinger
  114. P1 09:08
    Shorthanded - Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  115. P1 09:08
    Penalty to Radek Faksa 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Josh Norris)
  116. P1 09:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Jake Oettinger
  117. P1 09:00
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
  118. P1 08:19
    SHOT
    Jordan Greenway shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  119. P1 08:11
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in offensive zone
  120. P1 08:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Logan Stanley saved by Jake Oettinger
  121. P1 06:56
    SHOT
    Tanner Pearson shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  122. P1 06:53
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Sam Steel in offensive zone
  123. P1 06:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  124. P1 05:35
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in defensive zone
  125. P1 05:25
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  126. P1 05:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tanner Pearson
  127. P1 05:03
    Stoppage - Offside
  128. P1 04:39
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  129. P1 04:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
  130. P1 04:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jake Oettinger
  131. P1 03:57
    Stoppage - Offside
  132. P1 03:11
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
  133. P1 03:09
    SHOT
    Michael Kesselring shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  134. P1 02:42
    SHOT
    Justin Hryckowian shot blocked by Josh Norris
  135. P1 02:19
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  136. P1 02:18
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mavrik Bourque assisted by Esa Lindell and Ilya Lyubushkin
    1-0
  137. P1 01:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  138. P1 01:04
    Giveaway by Bowen Byram in defensive zone
  139. P1 00:43
    Giveaway by Oskar Back in offensive zone
  140. P1 00:16
    Josh Dunne credited with hit on Tyler Myers in offensive zone
  141. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Stars
STATS
Sabres
28Shots on Goal24
46% Faceoff Win % 54%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
21Hits23
14 Shots Blocked 14
12Giveaways13
StarsDAL
SabresBUF
28Shots on Goal24
46% Faceoff Win % 54%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
21Hits23
14 Shots Blocked 14
12Giveaways13

Stars vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Stars vs. Sabres
  • Date: Wednesday, April 15, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Stars 57¢, Sabres 44¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Stars: 53%
  • Sabres: 47%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 53%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Stars vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.