Stars vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on April 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Don't guess. Join Dimers Pro to unlock the bets worth making.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Stars
6
5
Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena
TEAM123T
Stars
0 3 3 6
Maple Leafs
3 0 2 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Stars
    100%
  • Maple Leafs
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Stars
0 3 3 6
Maple Leafs
3 0 2 5
P3 18:45 William Nylander shot blocked by Matt Duchene
P3 16:43 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 16:18 Matthew Knies shot blocked by Tyler Myers
P3 15:39 Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 15:12 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 13:32 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 12:58 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 11:02 Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 10:31 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 09:56 Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 09:36 Goal scored by Arttu Hyry
P3 08:41 Shot on goal by William Villeneuve saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 08:17 Power play - Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston assisted by Mikko Rantanen and Thomas Harley
P3 07:19 Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 06:02 Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 04:57 Shot missed by Esa Lindell
P3 04:19 Goal scored by Nicholas Robertson assisted by Troy Stecher and Matthew Knies
P3 03:23 Shot on goal by Tyler Myers saved by Artur Akhtyamov
P3 02:53 Shot missed by Jamie Benn
P3 02:08 Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Artur Akhtyamov
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:59
    John Tavares won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
  3. P3 18:47
    Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  4. P3 18:45
    SHOT
    William Nylander shot blocked by Matt Duchene
  5. P3 18:17
    Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  6. P3 17:29
    Giveaway by Matias Maccelli in offensive zone
  7. P3 16:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Casey DeSmith
  8. P3 16:18
    SHOT
    Matthew Knies shot blocked by Tyler Myers
  9. P3 15:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  10. P3 15:12
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  11. P3 15:11
    Stoppage - Icing
  12. P3 14:52
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  13. P3 13:40
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  14. P3 13:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
  15. P3 13:11
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  16. P3 12:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Casey DeSmith
  17. P3 12:44
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
  18. P3 12:44
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  19. P3 11:40
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  20. P3 11:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
  21. P3 10:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Casey DeSmith
  22. P3 09:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  23. P3 09:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  24. P3 09:36
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Arttu Hyry
    5-5
  25. P3 08:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Villeneuve saved by Casey DeSmith
  26. P3 08:18
    John Tavares won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  27. P3 08:17
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston assisted by Mikko Rantanen and Thomas Harley
    4-5
  28. P3 07:21
    Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Luke Haymes in offensive zone
  29. P3 07:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  30. P3 06:40
    Shorthanded - Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  31. P3 06:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  32. P3 06:37
    Power play - Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  33. P3 06:33
    Matias Maccelli credited with hit on Radek Faksa in neutral zone
  34. P3 06:17
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
  35. P3 06:04
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in defensive zone
  36. P3 06:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  37. P3 04:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Esa Lindell
  38. P3 04:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  39. P3 04:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  40. P3 04:19
    Max Domi won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  41. P3 04:19
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nicholas Robertson assisted by Troy Stecher and Matthew Knies
    3-5
  42. P3 03:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Myers saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  43. P3 02:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Benn
  44. P3 02:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  45. P3 02:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  46. P3 01:39
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Max Domi assisted by William Nylander and Matthew Knies
    3-4
  47. P3 00:43
    Max Domi won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
  48. P3 00:41
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  49. P3 00:00
    Shorthanded - John Tavares won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
  50. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  51. P2 19:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  52. P2 19:01
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Casey DeSmith
  53. P2 18:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  54. P2 18:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  55. P2 17:07
    Giveaway by Easton Cowan in neutral zone
  56. P2 15:53
    Giveaway by Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
  57. P2 15:41
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Luke Haymes in offensive zone
  58. P2 15:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  59. P2 15:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  60. P2 14:57
    Oskar Back won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
  61. P2 14:19
    SHOT
    William Nylander shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  62. P2 13:18
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  63. P2 12:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Harley
  64. P2 12:31
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
  65. P2 12:20
    Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  66. P2 11:53
    Giveaway by Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
  67. P2 11:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Casey DeSmith
  68. P2 11:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexander Petrovic
  69. P2 11:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Arttu Hyry saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  70. P2 10:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arttu Hyry
  71. P2 10:35
    Max Domi won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
  72. P2 10:35
    Stoppage - Icing
  73. P2 09:29
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  74. P2 09:29
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jason Robertson
    3-3
  75. P2 09:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  76. P2 08:27
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
  77. P2 08:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Quillan saved by Casey DeSmith
  78. P2 08:20
    Giveaway by Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  79. P2 07:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Casey DeSmith
  80. P2 06:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Casey DeSmith
  81. P2 06:06
    Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  82. P2 06:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Casey DeSmith
  83. P2 05:39
    Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  84. P2 05:31
    Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  85. P2 05:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  86. P2 05:14
    Giveaway by Thomas Harley in offensive zone
  87. P2 04:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  88. P2 04:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  89. P2 04:11
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
  90. P2 03:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  91. P2 03:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake McCabe
  92. P2 03:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  93. P2 02:22
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
  94. P2 02:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Luke Haymes saved by Casey DeSmith
  95. P2 02:07
    Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  96. P2 00:52
    Max Domi won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
  97. P2 00:52
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mavrik Bourque
    1-3
  98. P2 00:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  99. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  100. P1 17:51
    Giveaway by Alexander Petrovic in defensive zone
  101. P1 17:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Petrovic saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  102. P1 16:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  103. P1 15:51
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Luke Haymes in neutral zone
  104. P1 15:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by William Nylander
  105. P1 15:13
    SHOT
    Colin Blackwell shot blocked by William Villeneuve
  106. P1 14:52
    Max Domi won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
  107. P1 14:52
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  108. P1 14:35
    Max Domi won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
  109. P1 12:59
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
  110. P1 12:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  111. P1 12:04
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  112. P1 11:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Casey DeSmith
  113. P1 11:07
    Stars won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  114. P1 11:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  115. P1 10:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Kyle Capobianco shot blocked by Luke Haymes
  116. P1 09:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Jason Robertson shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  117. P1 08:19
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  118. P1 07:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
  119. P1 06:12
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  120. P1 04:20
    SHOT
    Simon Benoit shot blocked by Tyler Myers
  121. P1 03:53
    SHOT
    Esa Lindell shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  122. P1 03:38
    Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
  123. P1 03:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Artur Akhtyamov
  124. P1 02:14
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
  125. P1 01:35
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  126. P1 01:20
    SHOT
    Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Tyler Myers
  127. P1 01:09
    Penalty to Arttu Hyry 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Troy Stecher)
  128. P1 00:39
    SHOT
    Kyle Capobianco shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  129. P1 00:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Casey DeSmith
  130. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Stars
STATS
Maple Leafs
32Shots on Goal27
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
11Hits27
11 Shots Blocked 10
18Giveaways13
StarsDAL
Maple LeafsTOR
32Shots on Goal27
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
11Hits27
11 Shots Blocked 10
18Giveaways13

Stars vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Stars vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Monday, April 13, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Stars 64¢, Maple Leafs 36¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Stars: 61%
  • Maple Leafs: 39%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 61%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 39%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Stars vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.