Red Wings vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Wings vs. Lightning NHL game on April 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Don't guess. Join Dimers Pro to unlock the bets worth making.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Red Wings
3
4
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123OTT
Red Wings
1 0 2 0 3
Lightning
1 2 0 1 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Wings
    0%
  • Lightning
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Red Wings
1 0 2 0 3
Lightning
1 2 0 1 4
P3 18:13 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 15:45 Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P3 14:25 Declan Carlile shot blocked by James van Riemsdyk
P3 12:30 Shot missed by David Perron
P3 11:54 Power play - Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:36 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:18 Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 09:04 Patrick Kane shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P3 08:50 Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:16 Shot missed by Andrew Copp
P3 06:31 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Carter Mazur
P3 04:19 Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 02:52 Justin Faulk shot blocked by teammate
P3 01:57 Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
P3 01:26 Declan Carlile shot blocked by teammate
P3 01:08 Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:58 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Cam Talbot
P2 16:50 Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 15:47 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Cam Talbot
P2 15:23 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Cam Talbot
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 00:00
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  3. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  4. P3 19:54
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  5. P3 19:27
    Nick Paul won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  6. P3 18:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  7. P3 18:11
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  8. P3 18:11
    Stoppage - Icing
  9. P3 16:49
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Marco Kasper in neutral zone
  10. P3 15:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Cernak
  11. P3 15:16
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  12. P3 14:25
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by James van Riemsdyk
  13. P3 13:57
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Conor Geekie in defensive zone
  14. P3 12:50
    Brayden Point won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  15. P3 12:44
    Giveaway by Axel Sandin-Pellikka in offensive zone
  16. P3 12:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by David Perron
  17. P3 11:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  18. P3 10:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  19. P3 10:28
    Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  20. P3 10:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  21. P3 10:18
    SHOT
    Axel Sandin-Pellikka shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  22. P3 09:04
    SHOT
    Patrick Kane shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  23. P3 08:50
    SHOT
    Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by teammate
  24. P3 08:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Copp
  25. P3 06:31
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Carter Mazur
  26. P3 06:13
    Giveaway by Erik Cernak in offensive zone
  27. P3 05:22
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  28. P3 05:22
    Stoppage - Offside
  29. P3 04:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Corey Perry
  30. P3 03:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  31. P3 02:56
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  32. P3 02:52
    SHOT
    Justin Faulk shot blocked by teammate
  33. P3 02:37
    Stoppage - Offside
  34. P3 01:57
    SHOT
    Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
  35. P3 01:47
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
  36. P3 01:26
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by teammate
  37. P3 01:09
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  38. P3 01:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  39. P3 00:00
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  40. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  41. P2 19:52
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  42. P2 18:18
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  43. P2 18:18
    Stoppage - Offside
  44. P2 17:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Cam Talbot
  45. P2 16:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 16:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  47. P2 16:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  48. P2 16:09
    Michael Brandsegg-Nygård credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
  49. P2 15:53
    Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  50. P2 15:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Cam Talbot
  51. P2 15:26
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
  52. P2 15:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Cam Talbot
  53. P2 14:46
    Takeaway by Alex DeBrincat in offensive zone
  54. P2 14:28
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  55. P2 14:25
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by Albert Johansson
  56. P2 13:04
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Conor Geekie in offensive zone
  57. P2 13:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  58. P2 12:33
    Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
  59. P2 12:19
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  60. P2 12:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
  61. P2 11:08
    Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  62. P2 11:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
  63. P2 10:34
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  64. P2 10:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Cam Talbot
  65. P2 09:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
  66. P2 09:19
    Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  67. P2 08:32
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  68. P2 08:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  69. P2 07:26
    Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
  70. P2 07:10
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  71. P2 07:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  72. P2 06:45
    SHOT
    Michael Brandsegg-Nygård shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  73. P2 05:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  74. P2 04:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  75. P2 04:36
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  76. P2 04:36
    Penalty to J.J. Moser 2 minutes for Tripping
  77. P2 03:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Cam Talbot
  78. P2 03:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  79. P2 02:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  80. P2 01:08
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  81. P2 01:08
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  82. P2 00:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  83. P2 00:11
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in offensive zone
  84. P2 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  85. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  86. P1 18:22
    Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Albert Johansson in offensive zone
  87. P1 18:02
    SHOT
    J.T. Compher shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  88. P1 17:47
    Nick Paul won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  89. P1 17:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Albert Johansson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  90. P1 17:42
    Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
  91. P1 17:05
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  92. P1 17:05
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Conor Geekie assisted by Oliver Bjorkstrand and Scott Sabourin
    1-1
  93. P1 16:38
    SHOT
    Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Scott Sabourin
  94. P1 16:37
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Conor Geekie in offensive zone
  95. P1 16:22
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Conor Geekie in defensive zone
  96. P1 15:30
    Brayden Point won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
  97. P1 15:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Edvinsson
  98. P1 14:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Chiarot
  99. P1 14:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  100. P1 13:20
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  101. P1 13:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  102. P1 12:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Cam Talbot
  103. P1 11:44
    SHOT
    Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by Nick Paul
  104. P1 11:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
  105. P1 11:04
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  106. P1 11:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  107. P1 10:32
    Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Michael Brandsegg-Nygård in defensive zone
  108. P1 10:26
    Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  109. P1 10:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  110. P1 09:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  111. P1 08:23
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  112. P1 08:22
    Power play - Alex DeBrincat won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  113. P1 08:22
    Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Carter Mazur)
  114. P1 08:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Cam Talbot
  115. P1 07:31
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  116. P1 07:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Cam Talbot
  117. P1 07:13
    Red Wings won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  118. P1 07:07
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  119. P1 06:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
  120. P1 06:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Edvinsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  121. P1 06:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
  122. P1 05:58
    Marco Kasper credited with hit on Declan Carlile in offensive zone
  123. P1 05:31
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Conor Geekie in neutral zone
  124. P1 05:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  125. P1 04:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  126. P1 04:08
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  127. P1 03:30
    Takeaway by Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
  128. P1 02:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Cam Talbot
  129. P1 02:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  130. P1 02:14
    Scott Sabourin credited with hit on Marco Kasper in offensive zone
  131. P1 02:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  132. P1 01:54
    Giveaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
  133. P1 01:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  134. P1 01:14
    Giveaway by Moritz Seider in offensive zone
  135. P1 00:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  136. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Red Wings
STATS
Lightning
30Shots on Goal22
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins6
12Hits12
10 Shots Blocked 15
10Giveaways16
Red WingsDET
LightningTB
30Shots on Goal22
59% Faceoff Win % 41%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins6
12Hits12
10 Shots Blocked 15
10Giveaways16

Red Wings vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Wings vs. Lightning
  • Date: Monday, April 13, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Wings +170, Lightning 63¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Wings: 37%
  • Lightning: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Wings a win probability of 37%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Wings vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.