Canadiens vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Islanders NHL game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Canadiens
4
1
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
TEAM123T
Canadiens
0 3 1 4
Islanders
0 0 1 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canadiens
    100%
  • Islanders
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Canadiens
0 3 1 4
Islanders
0 0 1 1
P3 19:44 Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
P3 19:38 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 19:05 Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 18:01 Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 17:18 Shot missed by Jake Evans
P3 16:47 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jayden Struble
P3 15:23 Shot missed by Kirby Dach
P3 15:08 Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 14:53 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 14:07 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Jake Evans
P3 13:53 Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P3 12:48 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:52 Shot missed by David Reinbacher
P3 10:25 Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
P3 09:52 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 08:39 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 08:37 Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
P3 06:34 Anders Lee shot blocked by David Reinbacher
P3 06:27 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 04:25 Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  3. P3 19:38
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  4. P3 19:35
    Canadiens won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  5. P3 19:08
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  6. P3 19:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Jacob Fowler
  7. P3 18:05
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  8. P3 18:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  9. P3 17:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Evans
  10. P3 16:54
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  11. P3 16:47
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jayden Struble
  12. P3 15:43
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  13. P3 15:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  14. P3 15:24
    Canadiens won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  15. P3 15:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kirby Dach
  16. P3 15:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  17. P3 15:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Jacob Fowler
  18. P3 14:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jacob Fowler
  19. P3 14:07
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Jake Evans
  20. P3 14:02
    Canadiens won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  21. P3 14:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  22. P3 13:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
  23. P3 13:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  24. P3 12:48
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
  25. P3 12:41
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  26. P3 12:10
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  27. P3 12:10
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  28. P3 10:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by David Reinbacher
  29. P3 10:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
  30. P3 09:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jacob Fowler
  31. P3 08:45
    Anders Lee won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  32. P3 08:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jacob Fowler
  33. P3 08:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
  34. P3 07:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  35. P3 06:34
    SHOT
    Anders Lee shot blocked by David Reinbacher
  36. P3 06:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jacob Fowler
  37. P3 06:09
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  38. P3 04:50
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  39. P3 04:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
  40. P3 04:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
  41. P3 03:39
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  42. P3 03:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  43. P3 03:09
    SHOT
    Alex Newhook shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
  44. P3 01:53
    Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  45. P3 01:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
  46. P3 00:44
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by teammate
  47. P3 00:00
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  48. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  49. P2 19:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jacob Fowler
  50. P2 18:44
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  51. P2 18:44
    Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen
  52. P2 17:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Jacob Fowler
  53. P2 17:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
  54. P2 16:51
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Alex Newhook assisted by Zachary Bolduc and Arber Xhekaj
    3-0
  55. P2 16:24
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  56. P2 15:56
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Simon Holmstrom in neutral zone
  57. P2 15:56
    Arber Xhekaj won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in neutral zone
  58. P2 15:34
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  59. P2 15:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  60. P2 14:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Anderson
  61. P2 13:29
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Zachary Bolduc in neutral zone
  62. P2 13:29
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  63. P2 13:02
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  64. P2 12:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Ilya Sorokin
  65. P2 12:22
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
  66. P2 11:18
    Giveaway by Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  67. P2 11:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  68. P2 10:49
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
  69. P2 10:47
    SHOT
    Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by teammate
  70. P2 10:08
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  71. P2 10:08
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  72. P2 09:37
    SHOT
    Carson Soucy shot blocked by Kirby Dach
  73. P2 09:30
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  74. P2 07:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ilya Sorokin
  75. P2 06:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Jacob Fowler
  76. P2 06:11
    Canadiens won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  77. P2 06:11
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  78. P2 05:34
    SHOT
    Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
  79. P2 05:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  80. P2 05:17
    SHOT
    Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  81. P2 04:18
    Jayden Struble credited with hit on Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
  82. P2 04:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jacob Fowler
  83. P2 03:23
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  84. P2 03:10
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  85. P2 02:39
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  86. P2 02:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
  87. P2 01:24
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anders Lee
  88. P2 00:37
    Takeaway by Kaiden Guhle in defensive zone
  89. P2 00:00
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  90. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  91. P1 19:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jayden Struble saved by Ilya Sorokin
  92. P1 18:23
    Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
  93. P1 18:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  94. P1 17:42
    Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Adam Pelech in offensive zone
  95. P1 16:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anders Lee
  96. P1 16:29
    SHOT
    Bo Horvat shot blocked by Jake Evans
  97. P1 15:42
    Canadiens won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  98. P1 15:28
    Takeaway by Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
  99. P1 14:27
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  100. P1 14:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  101. P1 14:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  102. P1 13:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  103. P1 13:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ilya Sorokin
  104. P1 13:01
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  105. P1 12:40
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  106. P1 12:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  107. P1 11:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  108. P1 11:29
    Canadiens won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  109. P1 11:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Newhook
  110. P1 10:28
    Jayden Struble credited with hit on Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  111. P1 09:33
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  112. P1 09:33
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  113. P1 09:22
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
  114. P1 09:22
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  115. P1 09:17
    SHOT
    Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  116. P1 08:58
    SHOT
    Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
  117. P1 08:25
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  118. P1 08:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  119. P1 07:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Jacob Fowler
  120. P1 06:53
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  121. P1 06:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
  122. P1 06:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  123. P1 05:06
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Ilya Sorokin
  124. P1 04:07
    Penalty to Josh Anderson 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Carson Soucy)
  125. P1 03:31
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  126. P1 03:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jacob Fowler
  127. P1 02:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  128. P1 01:13
    Jayden Struble credited with hit on Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  129. P1 00:40
    SHOT
    Cole Caufield shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  130. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Islanders
22Shots on Goal31
47% Faceoff Win % 53%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
23Hits16
13 Shots Blocked 11
12Giveaways9
CanadiensMTL
IslandersNYI
22Shots on Goal31
47% Faceoff Win % 53%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
23Hits16
13 Shots Blocked 11
12Giveaways9

Canadiens vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Islanders
  • Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Islanders favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens 46¢, Islanders -114

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 51%
  • Islanders: 49%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 51%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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