Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Panthers vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Panthers
6
2
Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena
TEAM123T
Panthers
2 1 3 6
Maple Leafs
0 2 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Panthers
    100%
  • Maple Leafs
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Panthers
2 1 3 6
Maple Leafs
0 2 0 2
P3 19:26 Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Tobias Bjornfot
P3 18:34 Shot missed by Cole Reinhardt
P3 17:41 Shot missed by Noah Gregor
P3 17:29 Max Domi shot blocked by Tobias Bjornfot
P3 16:26 Shot on goal by Wilmer Skoog saved by Joseph Woll
P3 13:06 Max Domi shot blocked by Wilmer Skoog
P3 13:03 Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 12:47 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 10:46 Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 10:16 Shot on goal by Cole Schwindt saved by Joseph Woll
P3 07:50 Luke Haymes shot blocked by Nolan Foote
P3 06:07 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 05:42 Shot on goal by Mike Benning saved by Joseph Woll
P3 03:56 Donovan Sebrango shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 03:48 Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Joseph Woll
P3 02:06 Shot on goal by Ludvig Jansson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 01:37 Shot on goal by Cole Schwindt saved by Joseph Woll
P3 00:36 Shot missed by Gustav Forsling
P2 19:06 Shot on goal by Jesper Boqvist saved by Joseph Woll
P2 18:40 Shot missed by William Nylander
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:26
    SHOT
    Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Tobias Bjornfot
  3. P3 18:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Reinhardt
  4. P3 18:06
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Luke Kunin in neutral zone
  5. P3 17:45
    John Tavares won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in offensive zone
  6. P3 17:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Gregor
  7. P3 17:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  8. P3 17:29
    SHOT
    Max Domi shot blocked by Tobias Bjornfot
  9. P3 16:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wilmer Skoog saved by Joseph Woll
  10. P3 15:56
    Cole Schwindt won faceoff against Luke Haymes in neutral zone
  11. P3 15:20
    John Tavares won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in offensive zone
  12. P3 13:13
    Giveaway by Marek Alscher in defensive zone
  13. P3 13:06
    SHOT
    Max Domi shot blocked by Wilmer Skoog
  14. P3 13:05
    William Nylander won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in offensive zone
  15. P3 13:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Daniil Tarasov
  16. P3 12:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  17. P3 12:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Daniil Tarasov
  18. P3 11:22
    Luke Kunin credited with hit on Matias Maccelli in defensive zone
  19. P3 10:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  20. P3 10:46
    Giveaway by Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
  21. P3 10:31
    John Tavares won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in offensive zone
  22. P3 10:31
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  23. P3 10:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Schwindt saved by Joseph Woll
  24. P3 09:53
    Stoppage - Icing
  25. P3 08:07
    Easton Cowan credited with hit on Mike Benning in offensive zone
  26. P3 07:50
    SHOT
    Luke Haymes shot blocked by Nolan Foote
  27. P3 06:20
    Cole Schwindt won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  28. P3 06:20
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  29. P3 06:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Daniil Tarasov
  30. P3 05:44
    John Tavares won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
  31. P3 05:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Benning saved by Joseph Woll
  32. P3 05:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  33. P3 04:16
    Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Jesper Boqvist in neutral zone
  34. P3 04:13
    Cole Schwindt won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  35. P3 03:56
    SHOT
    Donovan Sebrango shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  36. P3 03:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Joseph Woll
  37. P3 02:14
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
  38. P3 02:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  39. P3 02:07
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Noah Gregor in defensive zone
  40. P3 02:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ludvig Jansson saved by Joseph Woll
  41. P3 01:48
    Panthers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  42. P3 01:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Schwindt saved by Joseph Woll
  43. P3 00:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gustav Forsling
  44. P3 00:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  45. P3 00:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
  46. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  47. P2 19:07
    Cole Schwindt won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
  48. P2 19:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jesper Boqvist saved by Joseph Woll
  49. P2 18:40
    John Tavares won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in offensive zone
  50. P2 18:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by William Nylander
  51. P2 18:21
    Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  52. P2 18:05
    Cole Reinhardt credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
  53. P2 18:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vinnie Hinostroza saved by Joseph Woll
  54. P2 17:35
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  55. P2 17:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Domi
  56. P2 17:24
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  57. P2 17:16
    Luke Kunin won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
  58. P2 16:06
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
  59. P2 15:23
    SHOT
    Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Michael Pezzetta
  60. P2 14:34
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
  61. P2 13:16
    Max Domi won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
  62. P2 13:11
    SHOT
    Simon Benoit shot blocked by Luke Kunin
  63. P2 11:27
    Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Donovan Sebrango in offensive zone
  64. P2 10:55
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in neutral zone
  65. P2 10:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Daniil Tarasov
  66. P2 10:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Daniil Tarasov
  67. P2 10:34
    Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  68. P2 10:34
    Penalty to Nolan Foote 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by William Villeneuve)
  69. P2 10:13
    Tomas Nosek won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  70. P2 08:59
    Cole Reinhardt credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
  71. P2 08:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vinnie Hinostroza
  72. P2 08:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mackie Samoskevich saved by Joseph Woll
  73. P2 07:38
    Max Domi won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in defensive zone
  74. P2 07:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Joseph Woll
  75. P2 07:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Pezzetta saved by Daniil Tarasov
  76. P2 06:09
    SHOT
    William Villeneuve shot blocked by Wilmer Skoog
  77. P2 05:47
    Cole Schwindt won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  78. P2 05:45
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Vinnie Hinostroza
  79. P2 04:37
    SHOT
    Easton Cowan shot blocked by teammate
  80. P2 04:04
    Tomas Nosek won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
  81. P2 02:55
    SHOT
    Eetu Luostarinen shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  82. P2 02:53
    SHOT
    A.J. Greer shot blocked by William Villeneuve
  83. P2 01:58
    Luke Haymes credited with hit on Tobias Bjornfot in offensive zone
  84. P2 01:32
    Luke Kunin won faceoff against Luke Haymes in neutral zone
  85. P2 01:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Schwindt saved by Joseph Woll
  86. P2 01:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wilmer Skoog saved by Joseph Woll
  87. P2 00:32
    Max Domi won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in offensive zone
  88. P2 00:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  89. P2 00:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
  90. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  91. P1 19:55
    Max Domi won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in offensive zone
  92. P1 19:55
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  93. P1 18:54
    Luke Kunin won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  94. P1 18:54
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  95. P1 17:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nolan Foote saved by Joseph Woll
  96. P1 16:46
    SHOT
    Eetu Luostarinen shot blocked by William Nylander
  97. P1 16:21
    Panthers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  98. P1 16:21
    Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
  99. P1 16:14
    SHOT
    Simon Benoit shot blocked by Cole Reinhardt
  100. P1 16:01
    Luke Haymes won faceoff against Luke Kunin in offensive zone
  101. P1 15:25
    Takeaway by Easton Cowan in offensive zone
  102. P1 15:13
    Giveaway by Vinnie Hinostroza in defensive zone
  103. P1 15:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Pezzetta
  104. P1 14:21
    John Tavares won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
  105. P1 14:21
    Stoppage - Icing
  106. P1 13:47
    John Tavares won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in neutral zone
  107. P1 13:41
    John Tavares won faceoff against Jesper Boqvist in offensive zone
  108. P1 13:41
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  109. P1 13:25
    SHOT
    Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  110. P1 13:23
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  111. P1 13:17
    Eetu Luostarinen won faceoff against Luke Haymes in offensive zone
  112. P1 13:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  113. P1 13:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by A.J. Greer
  114. P1 12:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Donovan Sebrango
  115. P1 11:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Joseph Woll
  116. P1 10:54
    Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in defensive zone
  117. P1 10:33
    Cole Schwindt credited with hit on Matias Maccelli in defensive zone
  118. P1 10:29
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Wilmer Skoog
  119. P1 10:26
    Panthers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  120. P1 10:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Quillan saved by Daniil Tarasov
  121. P1 09:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marek Alscher
  122. P1 09:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Daniil Tarasov
  123. P1 08:30
    Cole Reinhardt credited with hit on William Villeneuve in defensive zone
  124. P1 08:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  125. P1 08:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  126. P1 08:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Troy Stecher
  127. P1 08:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  128. P1 07:50
    Matias Maccelli credited with hit on Donovan Sebrango in offensive zone
  129. P1 07:36
    John Tavares won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
  130. P1 07:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by A.J. Greer saved by Joseph Woll
  131. P1 07:13
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Daniil Tarasov
  132. P1 06:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cole Schwindt
  133. P1 05:32
    Shorthanded - Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Eetu Luostarinen in neutral zone
  134. P1 04:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Daniil Tarasov
  135. P1 04:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Panthers
  136. P1 03:58
    Max Domi won faceoff against Tomas Nosek in defensive zone
  137. P1 03:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Schwindt saved by Joseph Woll
  138. P1 02:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mackie Samoskevich
  139. P1 02:04
    SHOT
    Ludvig Jansson shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
  140. P1 01:36
    Nolan Foote credited with hit on William Villeneuve in offensive zone
  141. P1 01:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tomas Nosek
  142. P1 00:30
    John Tavares won faceoff against Cole Schwindt in offensive zone
  143. P1 00:23
    Cole Schwindt won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  144. P1 00:20
    SHOT
    Mackie Samoskevich shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  145. P1 00:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Stats
Panthers
STATS
Maple Leafs
25Shots on Goal19
36% Faceoff Win % 64%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/1
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
23Hits26
15 Shots Blocked 14
11Giveaways12
PanthersFLA
Maple LeafsTOR
25Shots on Goal19
36% Faceoff Win % 64%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/1
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
23Hits26
15 Shots Blocked 14
11Giveaways12

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Panthers 41¢, Maple Leafs 59¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Panthers: 47%
  • Maple Leafs: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Panthers a win probability of 47%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Panthers in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Panthers vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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