Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on April 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Capitals
4
0
Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena
TEAM123T
Capitals
1 2 1 4
Maple Leafs
0 0 0 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Capitals
    100%
  • Maple Leafs
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Capitals
1 2 1 4
Maple Leafs
0 0 0 0
P3 18:37 Power play - Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 18:30 Power play - Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 18:19 Power play - Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P3 16:46 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Logan Thompson
P3 14:00 Philippe Myers shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:25 Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P3 12:01 Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Joseph Woll
P3 11:29 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 10:52 Cole Hutson shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:02 Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Joseph Woll
P3 09:32 Simon Benoit shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 09:24 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Logan Thompson
P3 09:18 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Logan Thompson
P3 09:02 William Nylander shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P3 07:55 Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P3 06:26 Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 06:16 Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
P3 05:54 Jake McCabe shot blocked by teammate
P3 05:16 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Max Domi
P3 04:45 Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:00
    Power play - Takeaway by Nicholas Robertson in defensive zone
  3. P3 18:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
  4. P3 18:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  5. P3 18:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
  6. P3 18:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
  7. P3 18:17
    Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  8. P3 16:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Logan Thompson
  9. P3 16:10
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Bo Groulx in neutral zone
  10. P3 15:59
    Takeaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
  11. P3 15:35
    Giveaway by William Nylander in neutral zone
  12. P3 14:06
    Giveaway by Easton Cowan in offensive zone
  13. P3 14:00
    SHOT
    Philippe Myers shot blocked by teammate
  14. P3 13:06
    Giveaway by Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  15. P3 12:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Benoit
  16. P3 12:03
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
  17. P3 12:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Joseph Woll
  18. P3 11:41
    Max Domi won faceoff against Ilya Protas in defensive zone
  19. P3 11:41
    Stoppage - Icing
  20. P3 11:29
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  21. P3 10:52
    SHOT
    Cole Hutson shot blocked by teammate
  22. P3 10:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Joseph Woll
  23. P3 09:32
    SHOT
    Simon Benoit shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  24. P3 09:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Logan Thompson
  25. P3 09:20
    John Tavares won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  26. P3 09:20
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  27. P3 09:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Logan Thompson
  28. P3 09:04
    John Tavares won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  29. P3 09:02
    SHOT
    William Nylander shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  30. P3 08:59
    Giveaway by Ivan Miroshnichenko in neutral zone
  31. P3 08:10
    Giveaway by Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
  32. P3 08:03
    Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  33. P3 07:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
  34. P3 06:26
    SHOT
    Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  35. P3 06:19
    Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  36. P3 06:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  37. P3 06:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
  38. P3 05:54
    SHOT
    Jake McCabe shot blocked by teammate
  39. P3 05:16
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Max Domi
  40. P3 04:53
    Stoppage - Icing
  41. P3 04:45
    SHOT
    Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  42. P3 04:28
    Giveaway by Simon Benoit in offensive zone
  43. P3 04:25
    SHOT
    Easton Cowan shot blocked by Matt Roy
  44. P3 04:08
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  45. P3 04:08
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  46. P3 02:29
    SHOT
    Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Bo Groulx
  47. P3 01:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  48. P3 01:20
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Matt Roy
  49. P3 01:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  50. P3 01:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Logan Thompson
  51. P3 01:02
    Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Matthew Knies in neutral zone
  52. P3 00:45
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Matthew Knies
  53. P3 00:44
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
  54. P3 00:14
    SHOT
    Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by John Tavares
  55. P3 00:00
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  56. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  57. P2 19:31
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  58. P2 19:31
    Stoppage - Offside
  59. P2 18:37
    SHOT
    Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Max Domi
  60. P2 18:23
    Max Domi won faceoff against Ilya Protas in neutral zone
  61. P2 18:23
    Stoppage - Offside
  62. P2 18:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Logan Thompson
  63. P2 17:47
    Giveaway by John Tavares in defensive zone
  64. P2 16:30
    Shorthanded - Bo Groulx won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  65. P2 16:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  66. P2 15:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Joseph Woll
  67. P2 15:02
    Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  68. P2 13:55
    Max Domi won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
  69. P2 13:55
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  70. P2 13:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jacob Quillan
  71. P2 13:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Joseph Woll
  72. P2 13:36
    Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  73. P2 13:02
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  74. P2 12:59
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  75. P2 12:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Logan Thompson
  76. P2 12:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Logan Thompson
  77. P2 12:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Logan Thompson
  78. P2 11:54
    John Tavares won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  79. P2 11:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  80. P2 11:43
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  81. P2 11:22
    Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in defensive zone
  82. P2 10:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
  83. P2 10:13
    SHOT
    Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by teammate
  84. P2 10:10
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  85. P2 10:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  86. P2 09:47
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  87. P2 09:38
    Giveaway by Philippe Myers in defensive zone
  88. P2 09:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Joseph Woll
  89. P2 09:07
    John Tavares won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  90. P2 07:55
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Joseph Woll
  91. P2 06:56
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
  92. P2 06:44
    SHOT
    Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
  93. P2 05:56
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  94. P2 05:56
    Penalty to Ilya Protas 2 minutes for Hooking
  95. P2 05:38
    SHOT
    Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  96. P2 05:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  97. P2 04:46
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
  98. P2 04:39
    Ilya Protas won faceoff against Bo Groulx in defensive zone
  99. P2 03:46
    SHOT
    William Nylander shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
  100. P2 03:04
    Takeaway by Easton Cowan in offensive zone
  101. P2 02:53
    John Tavares won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  102. P2 02:13
    Giveaway by Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  103. P2 02:07
    SHOT
    Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  104. P2 01:37
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  105. P2 01:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Logan Thompson
  106. P2 01:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Capitals
  107. P2 01:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Joseph Woll
  108. P2 00:40
    Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  109. P2 00:00
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  110. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  111. P1 18:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
  112. P1 18:32
    Penalty to Ryan Leonard 2 minutes for Holding
  113. P1 18:32
    Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  114. P1 17:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  115. P1 17:03
    SHOT
    Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by William Nylander
  116. P1 17:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  117. P1 16:25
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  118. P1 15:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Logan Thompson
  119. P1 14:12
    Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
  120. P1 13:30
    Brandon Duhaime won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  121. P1 13:22
    John Tavares won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  122. P1 13:13
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
  123. P1 13:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  124. P1 12:04
    Max Domi won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
  125. P1 11:40
    Dakota Joshua won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  126. P1 11:40
    Stoppage - Offside
  127. P1 11:32
    SHOT
    Jake McCabe shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  128. P1 10:45
    Giveaway by Easton Cowan in offensive zone
  129. P1 10:26
    John Tavares won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  130. P1 10:26
    Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
  131. P1 10:20
    Giveaway by Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  132. P1 09:05
    Power play - Takeaway by Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  133. P1 08:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Joseph Woll
  134. P1 08:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Strome
  135. P1 07:53
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  136. P1 07:53
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  137. P1 07:53
    Penalty to Max Domi 4 minutes for High Sticking
  138. P1 07:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Joseph Woll
  139. P1 06:47
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  140. P1 05:33
    Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  141. P1 04:46
    Dakota Joshua won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  142. P1 04:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  143. P1 04:09
    Takeaway by Ryan Leonard in offensive zone
  144. P1 03:34
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  145. P1 03:31
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  146. P1 03:16
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  147. P1 03:16
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
  148. P1 02:34
    Capitals won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  149. P1 02:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Anthony Stolarz
  150. P1 02:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  151. P1 01:41
    Giveaway by Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  152. P1 00:35
    Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in defensive zone
  153. P1 00:34
    SHOT
    Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
  154. P1 00:17
    Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  155. P1 00:11
    John Tavares won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
  156. P1 00:11
    Stoppage - Icing
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Maple Leafs
20Shots on Goal21
35% Faceoff Win % 66%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
16Hits13
18 Shots Blocked 12
14Giveaways16
CapitalsWSH
Maple LeafsTOR
20Shots on Goal21
35% Faceoff Win % 66%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
16Hits13
18 Shots Blocked 12
14Giveaways16

Capitals vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Wednesday, April 8, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals 59¢, Maple Leafs 41¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 55%
  • Maple Leafs: 45%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 55%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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