Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Lightning NHL game on March 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $119.99
FINAL
NHL
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NHL sport icon
NHL
Canadiens
4
1
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123T
Canadiens
1 1 2 4
Lightning
1 0 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canadiens
    100%
  • Lightning
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Canadiens
1 1 2 4
Lightning
1 0 0 1
P3 18:54 Goal scored by Nick Suzuki
P3 17:35 Power play - Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 16:56 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 16:20 Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 15:26 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:37 Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
P3 14:04 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 12:15 Shot missed by Lightning
P3 11:57 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:44 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 10:29 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 09:43 Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 07:40 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:11 Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
P3 07:02 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 06:39 Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:45 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 05:14 Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Jayden Struble
P3 04:33 Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:21 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:23
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Erik Cernak in defensive zone
  4. P3 19:23
    Penalty to Scott Sabourin 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Arber Xhekaj)
  5. P3 19:13
    Nick Paul credited with hit on Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
  6. P3 18:54
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nick Suzuki
    4-1
  7. P3 18:32
    Kaiden Guhle credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  8. P3 18:18
    Stoppage - High Stick
  9. P3 17:55
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  10. P3 17:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Corey Perry
  11. P3 17:27
    Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  12. P3 17:27
    Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Misconduct
  13. P3 16:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
  14. P3 16:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
  15. P3 15:54
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  16. P3 15:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jakub Dobes
  17. P3 15:11
    Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Erik Cernak in defensive zone
  18. P3 15:09
    Erik Cernak credited with hit on Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  19. P3 14:37
    SHOT
    Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
  20. P3 14:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
  21. P3 13:49
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  22. P3 12:35
    Takeaway by Jake Evans in offensive zone
  23. P3 12:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lightning
  24. P3 12:12
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  25. P3 12:00
    Erik Cernak credited with hit on Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
  26. P3 11:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  27. P3 11:44
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
  28. P3 10:50
    Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on J.J. Moser in neutral zone
  29. P3 10:31
    Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  30. P3 10:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  31. P3 10:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
  32. P3 10:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  33. P3 09:43
    SHOT
    Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  34. P3 07:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
  35. P3 07:33
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  36. P3 07:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
  37. P3 07:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jakub Dobes
  38. P3 06:52
    Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
  39. P3 06:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  40. P3 05:57
    Giveaway by Corey Perry in neutral zone
  41. P3 05:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jakub Dobes
  42. P3 05:14
    SHOT
    Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Jayden Struble
  43. P3 04:45
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  44. P3 04:45
    Penalty to Josh Anderson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  45. P3 04:45
    Penalty to Zachary Bolduc 2 minutes for Misconduct
  46. P3 04:45
    Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Misconduct
  47. P3 04:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  48. P3 03:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  49. P3 03:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
  50. P3 02:05
    SHOT
    Phillip Danault shot blocked by teammate
  51. P3 01:56
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
  52. P3 01:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  53. P3 01:52
    Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
  54. P3 01:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 01:12
    Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
  56. P3 00:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 00:00
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  58. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  59. P2 19:09
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  60. P2 19:09
    Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Cole Caufield)
  61. P2 18:31
    Ivan Demidov credited with hit on Brayden Point in offensive zone
  62. P2 18:00
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  63. P2 17:26
    Power play - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  64. P2 17:26
    Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
  65. P2 16:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
  66. P2 16:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
  67. P2 16:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
  68. P2 16:21
    Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
  69. P2 16:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Jake Evans
  70. P2 16:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  71. P2 15:35
    Penalty to Alex Newhook 2 minutes for Hooking
  72. P2 15:35
    Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  73. P2 14:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
  74. P2 12:49
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  75. P2 12:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  76. P2 12:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
  77. P2 12:09
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  78. P2 12:09
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  79. P2 11:54
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  80. P2 11:04
    SHOT
    Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
  81. P2 09:54
    SHOT
    Jayden Struble shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
  82. P2 09:52
    Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  83. P2 09:43
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
  84. P2 08:43
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
  85. P2 08:33
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  86. P2 08:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  87. P2 08:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
  88. P2 07:24
    SHOT
    Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Alex Newhook
  89. P2 07:18
    SHOT
    Corey Perry shot blocked by Jayden Struble
  90. P2 05:10
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  91. P2 05:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  92. P2 04:53
    SHOT
    Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
  93. P2 04:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Lilleberg
  94. P2 04:13
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  95. P2 04:13
    Stoppage - Offside
  96. P2 04:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  97. P2 02:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
  98. P2 01:28
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  99. P2 00:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  100. P2 00:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  101. P2 00:22
    Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
  102. P2 00:18
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  103. P2 00:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jayden Struble saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  104. P2 00:00
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  105. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  106. P1 18:09
    Giveaway by Mike Matheson in defensive zone
  107. P1 17:36
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  108. P1 16:50
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  109. P1 16:50
    Stoppage - Offside
  110. P1 16:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jakub Dobes
  111. P1 15:31
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  112. P1 15:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  113. P1 15:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  114. P1 14:34
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  115. P1 13:47
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  116. P1 13:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  117. P1 13:41
    Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  118. P1 13:15
    Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Alex Newhook in defensive zone
  119. P1 12:46
    Power play - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Gage Goncalves in neutral zone
  120. P1 12:25
    Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  121. P1 12:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  122. P1 11:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  123. P1 11:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Lane Hutson
  124. P1 11:03
    Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Lane Hutson)
  125. P1 10:25
    Penalty to Jake Guentzel 2 minutes for Hooking
  126. P1 10:25
    Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  127. P1 09:55
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  128. P1 09:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
  129. P1 09:19
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Jake Evans
  130. P1 09:05
    Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
  131. P1 08:44
    Canadiens won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  132. P1 07:22
    Scott Sabourin credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
  133. P1 07:19
    Brendan Gallagher credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in neutral zone
  134. P1 07:00
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  135. P1 06:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  136. P1 06:02
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  137. P1 05:47
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Corey Perry in defensive zone
  138. P1 05:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  139. P1 05:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jakub Dobes
  140. P1 04:06
    Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
  141. P1 04:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
  142. P1 04:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
  143. P1 03:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
  144. P1 03:06
    Penalty to Jayden Struble 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Pontus Holmberg)
  145. P1 02:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jakub Dobes
  146. P1 02:13
    SHOT
    Ivan Demidov shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  147. P1 01:54
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  148. P1 01:32
    SHOT
    Cole Caufield shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
  149. P1 01:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  150. P1 01:16
    Stoppage - Icing
  151. P1 01:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  152. P1 00:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  153. P1 00:30
    Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Jayden Struble in defensive zone
  154. P1 00:00
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  155. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Lightning
23Shots on Goal37
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
32Penalty Infraction Mins30
23Hits21
17 Shots Blocked 9
9Giveaways17
CanadiensMTL
LightningTB
23Shots on Goal37
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
32Penalty Infraction Mins30
23Hits21
17 Shots Blocked 9
9Giveaways17

Canadiens vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Lightning
  • Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens 39¢, Lightning 61¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 40%
  • Lightning: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 40%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.