Islanders vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Sabres NHL game on March 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Islanders
3
4
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 1 2 3
Sabres
1 0 3 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Islanders
    0%
  • Sabres
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 1 2 3
Sabres
1 0 3 4
P3 19:58 Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 19:50 Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 19:20 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 19:13 Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 18:48 Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 18:19 Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 17:30 Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 17:23 Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:10 Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Carson Soucy
P3 14:51 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 13:53 Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 13:09 Power play - Shot on goal by Adam Boqvist saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:08 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 10:46 Power play - Shot missed by Adam Boqvist
P3 10:06 Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 09:24 Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 08:21 Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Logan Stanley
P3 06:47 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 06:10 Shot missed by Bowen Byram
P3 06:00 Shot missed by Josh Doan
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:59
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  3. P3 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  4. P3 19:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  5. P3 19:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  6. P3 19:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  7. P3 18:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Ilya Sorokin
  8. P3 18:31
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  9. P3 18:31
    Stoppage - High Stick
  10. P3 18:23
    Stoppage - Icing
  11. P3 18:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
  12. P3 18:17
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  13. P3 18:06
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  14. P3 17:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  15. P3 17:25
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  16. P3 17:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  17. P3 17:23
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
  18. P3 16:59
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  19. P3 16:10
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Carson Soucy
  20. P3 14:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  21. P3 13:53
    SHOT
    Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  22. P3 13:39
    Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  23. P3 13:24
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  24. P3 13:11
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  25. P3 13:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  26. P3 13:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Adam Boqvist saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  27. P3 12:08
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  28. P3 10:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Adam Boqvist
  29. P3 10:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  30. P3 09:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  31. P3 08:45
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  32. P3 08:45
    Penalty to Josh Norris 2 minutes for Misconduct
  33. P3 08:45
    Penalty to Scott Mayfield 2 minutes for Misconduct
  34. P3 08:21
    SHOT
    Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Logan Stanley
  35. P3 06:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  36. P3 06:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  37. P3 06:06
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  38. P3 06:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Doan
  39. P3 05:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  40. P3 04:44
    Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  41. P3 04:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  42. P3 04:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  43. P3 04:22
    SHOT
    Zach Metsa shot blocked by teammate
  44. P3 04:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Metsa saved by Ilya Sorokin
  45. P3 04:07
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  46. P3 02:40
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
  47. P3 01:28
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  48. P3 01:10
    SHOT
    Alex Tuch shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
  49. P3 00:32
    Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  50. P3 00:01
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  51. P3 00:01
    Penalty to Sam Carrick 5 minutes for Fighting
  52. P3 00:01
    Penalty to Anders Lee 2 minutes for Misconduct
  53. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  54. P2 19:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  55. P2 18:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Ilya Sorokin
  56. P2 18:19
    Peyton Krebs credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
  57. P2 18:13
    Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  58. P2 17:57
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  59. P2 17:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
  60. P2 17:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  61. P2 17:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Calum Ritchie shot blocked by Owen Power
  62. P2 17:41
    Penalty to Mattias Samuelsson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  63. P2 17:24
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  64. P2 16:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  65. P2 16:13
    Giveaway by Josh Doan in defensive zone
  66. P2 15:07
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  67. P2 15:07
    Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
  68. P2 13:41
    SHOT
    Bo Horvat shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
  69. P2 12:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Ilya Sorokin
  70. P2 12:32
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by teammate
  71. P2 12:03
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  72. P2 11:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
  73. P2 11:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ondrej Palat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  74. P2 10:04
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  75. P2 10:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  76. P2 09:51
    SHOT
    Jason Zucker shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  77. P2 09:08
    Giveaway by Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  78. P2 08:58
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  79. P2 08:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
  80. P2 08:11
    Power play - Sam Carrick credited with hit on Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  81. P2 07:58
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Sam Carrick in neutral zone
  82. P2 07:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  83. P2 07:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Logan Stanley
  84. P2 06:34
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  85. P2 06:25
    Giveaway by Owen Power in offensive zone
  86. P2 06:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  87. P2 05:15
    Beck Malenstyn credited with hit on Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  88. P2 04:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  89. P2 04:37
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by teammate
  90. P2 04:30
    Stoppage - Icing
  91. P2 04:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  92. P2 03:26
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  93. P2 02:49
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  94. P2 02:18
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
  95. P2 01:51
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Sam Carrick in neutral zone
  96. P2 01:11
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  97. P2 00:38
    Alex Tuch credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
  98. P2 00:25
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  99. P2 00:00
    Stoppage - Rink Repair
  100. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  101. P1 19:51
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
  102. P1 19:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  103. P1 19:48
    Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  104. P1 19:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  105. P1 19:21
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  106. P1 18:51
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Owen Power
  107. P1 18:38
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  108. P1 18:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  109. P1 17:37
    Josh Doan credited with hit on Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
  110. P1 16:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Ilya Sorokin
  111. P1 15:54
    Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  112. P1 15:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  113. P1 15:46
    Alex Tuch credited with hit on Adam Pelech in offensive zone
  114. P1 14:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Carrick
  115. P1 14:19
    Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  116. P1 14:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  117. P1 13:58
    Penalty to Adam Pelech 2 minutes for Misconduct
  118. P1 13:58
    Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  119. P1 13:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  120. P1 11:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Ilya Sorokin
  121. P1 11:37
    Beck Malenstyn credited with hit on Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  122. P1 11:13
    Sam Carrick credited with hit on Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  123. P1 11:02
    Sam Carrick won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  124. P1 11:02
    Stoppage
  125. P1 10:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  126. P1 09:46
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
  127. P1 09:45
    Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  128. P1 09:45
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  129. P1 09:26
    Stoppage - Offside
  130. P1 09:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Ilya Sorokin
  131. P1 08:53
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  132. P1 08:40
    SHOT
    Zach Benson shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
  133. P1 07:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  134. P1 07:12
    Giveaway by Kyle MacLean in neutral zone
  135. P1 06:48
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  136. P1 05:42
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone
  137. P1 04:57
    Anders Lee credited with hit on Logan Stanley in offensive zone
  138. P1 03:53
    Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  139. P1 03:46
    Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  140. P1 03:27
    Power play - Brayden Schenn credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
  141. P1 03:01
    Shorthanded - Beck Malenstyn credited with hit on Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  142. P1 02:37
    Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  143. P1 02:37
    Stoppage - Offside
  144. P1 01:52
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Sam Carrick in offensive zone
  145. P1 01:31
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  146. P1 01:13
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  147. P1 01:00
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  148. P1 00:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  149. P1 00:41
    Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  150. P1 00:10
    Josh Norris credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
  151. P1 00:07
    Marc Gatcomb credited with hit on Bowen Byram in neutral zone
  152. P1 00:00
    Islanders won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Sabres
28Shots on Goal33
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
15Penalty Infraction Mins13
26Hits25
10 Shots Blocked 15
12Giveaways19
IslandersNYI
SabresBUF
28Shots on Goal33
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
15Penalty Infraction Mins13
26Hits25
10 Shots Blocked 15
12Giveaways19

Islanders vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Sabres
  • Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders 39¢, Sabres 61¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 40%
  • Sabres: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 40%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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