Capitals vs. Golden Knights Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Golden Knights NHL game on March 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Don't guess. Join Dimers Pro to unlock the bets worth making.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Capitals
5
4
T-Mobile Arena
Golden Knights
T-Mobile Arena
TEAM123OTT
Capitals
1 2 1 0 5
Golden Knights
0 3 1 0 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Capitals
    100%
  • Golden Knights
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Capitals
1 2 1 0 5
Golden Knights
0 3 1 0 4
OT1 03:18 Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Adin Hill
OT1 02:10 Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Adin Hill
OT1 01:29 Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Adin Hill
P3 18:33 Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 17:24 Mitch Marner shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:05 Shot missed by Jack Eichel
P3 16:32 Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 16:09 Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Logan Thompson
P3 15:28 Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Adin Hill
P3 14:29 Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
P3 13:56 Connor McMichael shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P3 12:02 Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P3 10:32 Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Adin Hill
P3 08:54 Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Strome assisted by Cole Hutson and Alex Ovechkin
P3 07:53 Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
P3 07:32 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Adin Hill
P3 07:08 Power play - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Adin Hill
P3 07:07 Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:29 Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
P3 06:16 Power play - Shea Theodore shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
Play by Play
  1. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  2. SO
    Shootout attempt by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Logan Thompson
  3. SO
    Shootout attempt missed by Pierre-Luc Dubois
  4. SO
    Shootout attempt by Rasmus Andersson saved by Logan Thompson
  5. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Dylan Strome on Adin Hill
  6. OT1 04:35
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  7. OT1 04:35
    Penalty to Noah Hanifin 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Justin Sourdif)
  8. OT1 04:04
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
  9. OT1 04:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  10. OT1 03:49
    Giveaway by Mark Stone in defensive zone
  11. OT1 03:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  12. OT1 03:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Adin Hill
  13. OT1 02:12
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Brett Howden in offensive zone
  14. OT1 02:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Adin Hill
  15. OT1 01:31
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Shea Theodore in offensive zone
  16. OT1 01:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Adin Hill
  17. OT1 01:02
    Takeaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
  18. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  19. P3 18:42
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  20. P3 18:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  21. P3 18:33
    SHOT
    Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  22. P3 17:24
    SHOT
    Mitch Marner shot blocked by teammate
  23. P3 17:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  24. P3 17:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Eichel
  25. P3 16:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Logan Thompson
  26. P3 16:09
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
  27. P3 16:09
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  28. P3 16:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Logan Thompson
  29. P3 15:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Adin Hill
  30. P3 15:18
    Pavel Dorofeyev credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
  31. P3 14:29
    SHOT
    Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Keegan Kolesar
  32. P3 13:56
    SHOT
    Connor McMichael shot blocked by Shea Theodore
  33. P3 13:50
    Giveaway by Reilly Smith in offensive zone
  34. P3 13:06
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
  35. P3 12:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
  36. P3 11:46
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
  37. P3 11:38
    Giveaway by Keegan Kolesar in neutral zone
  38. P3 11:00
    Giveaway by Reilly Smith in neutral zone
  39. P3 10:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Adin Hill
  40. P3 10:15
    Tom Wilson credited with hit on Mark Stone in defensive zone
  41. P3 09:13
    Giveaway by Brett Howden in offensive zone
  42. P3 09:09
    Hendrix Lapierre credited with hit on Pavel Dorofeyev in neutral zone
  43. P3 08:54
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
  44. P3 08:54
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Strome assisted by Cole Hutson and Alex Ovechkin
    4-4
  45. P3 08:40
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  46. P3 08:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  47. P3 07:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  48. P3 07:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Adin Hill
  49. P3 07:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Adin Hill
  50. P3 07:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by teammate
  51. P3 06:58
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  52. P3 06:58
    Penalty to Mitch Marner 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Connor McMichael)
  53. P3 06:58
    Capitals won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  54. P3 06:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
  55. P3 06:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shea Theodore shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
  56. P3 05:02
    Shorthanded - Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
  57. P3 05:02
    Stoppage - Offside
  58. P3 04:36
    Penalty to Dylan Strome 4 minutes for High Sticking
  59. P3 04:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shea Theodore
  60. P3 04:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mitch Marner
  61. P3 03:13
    SHOT
    Capitals shot blocked by teammate
  62. P3 01:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Logan Thompson
  63. P3 00:53
    Tom Wilson credited with hit on Rasmus Andersson in neutral zone
  64. P3 00:45
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
  65. P3 00:45
    Stoppage - Icing
  66. P3 00:31
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  67. P3 00:31
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Mitch Marner
    3-4
  68. P3 00:00
    Shorthanded - Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
  69. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  70. P2 19:53
    Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Cole Smith)
  71. P2 19:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Smith saved by Logan Thompson
  72. P2 19:44
    SHOT
    Cole Smith shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  73. P2 19:39
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
  74. P2 19:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mitch Marner
  75. P2 19:09
    Capitals won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  76. P2 17:00
    Giveaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  77. P2 16:56
    Brett Howden credited with hit on Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  78. P2 16:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
  79. P2 15:09
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Colton Sissons saved by Logan Thompson
  80. P2 14:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
  81. P2 14:49
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
  82. P2 14:49
    Penalty to Keegan Kolesar 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Dylan Strome)
  83. P2 14:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Logan Thompson
  84. P2 14:14
    Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Ryan Leonard in defensive zone
  85. P2 13:29
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
  86. P2 13:18
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Brett Howden in neutral zone
  87. P2 12:42
    Stoppage - Icing
  88. P2 12:33
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  89. P2 12:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  90. P2 12:07
    Brett Howden won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
  91. P2 11:03
    Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  92. P2 10:38
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  93. P2 10:19
    Capitals won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  94. P2 10:19
    Stoppage - Offside
  95. P2 10:12
    Shorthanded - Noah Hanifin credited with hit on Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  96. P2 08:50
    SHOT
    Keegan Kolesar shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  97. P2 08:41
    SHOT
    Cole Smith shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  98. P2 07:23
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  99. P2 07:15
    Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Jeremy Lauzon in offensive zone
  100. P2 06:49
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  101. P2 06:15
    Tomas Hertl credited with hit on Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  102. P2 06:05
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  103. P2 05:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Colton Sissons
  104. P2 03:50
    Power play - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  105. P2 03:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  106. P2 03:29
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  107. P2 03:10
    Capitals won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  108. P2 01:55
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  109. P2 01:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Dylan Strome shot blocked by Colton Sissons
  110. P2 01:31
    Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  111. P2 01:31
    Penalty to Brett Howden 2 minutes for Holding
  112. P2 01:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
  113. P2 01:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shea Theodore
  114. P2 00:41
    Giveaway by Rasmus Andersson in offensive zone
  115. P2 00:17
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  116. P2 00:00
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  117. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  118. P1 19:55
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  119. P1 19:55
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  120. P1 19:23
    SHOT
    Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
  121. P1 18:59
    Capitals won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  122. P1 18:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Eichel
  123. P1 18:50
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  124. P1 18:13
    Cole Smith credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
  125. P1 18:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Logan Thompson
  126. P1 17:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  127. P1 17:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Logan Thompson
  128. P1 17:39
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  129. P1 16:56
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  130. P1 16:13
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
  131. P1 16:13
    Stoppage - Icing
  132. P1 15:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Logan Thompson
  133. P1 15:05
    Takeaway by Colton Sissons in offensive zone
  134. P1 14:52
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  135. P1 14:52
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  136. P1 13:24
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
  137. P1 13:24
    Stoppage - Offside
  138. P1 12:47
    Capitals won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  139. P1 11:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Golden Knights
  140. P1 11:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jeremy Lauzon
  141. P1 11:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Adin Hill
  142. P1 10:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
  143. P1 08:26
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
  144. P1 07:00
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
  145. P1 06:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  146. P1 06:06
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  147. P1 06:06
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Hendrix Lapierre
    1-0
  148. P1 05:09
    Takeaway by Cole Hutson in defensive zone
  149. P1 04:59
    Giveaway by Cole Hutson in defensive zone
  150. P1 04:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Adin Hill
  151. P1 04:38
    SHOT
    Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Cole Smith
  152. P1 02:57
    SHOT
    Ivan Barbashev shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  153. P1 02:56
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  154. P1 02:42
    Brandon Duhaime won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
  155. P1 02:42
    Stoppage - High Stick
  156. P1 00:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Logan Thompson
  157. P1 00:42
    SHOT
    Mark Stone shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  158. P1 00:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Strome
  159. P1 00:00
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Golden Knights
21Shots on Goal29
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
6/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins12
18Hits15
13 Shots Blocked 11
20Giveaways20
CapitalsWSH
Golden KnightsVGK
21Shots on Goal29
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
6/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins12
18Hits15
13 Shots Blocked 11
20Giveaways20

Capitals vs. Golden Knights: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Golden Knights
  • Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Golden Knights favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals +140, Golden Knights 58¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 44%
  • Golden Knights: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 44%, while the Golden Knights have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at T-Mobile Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Golden Knights predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.