Oilers vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Senators NHL game on October 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Oilers
3
2
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123OTT
Oilers
1 1 0 1 3
Senators
0 0 2 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Oilers
    100%
  • Senators
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Oilers
1 1 0 1 3
Senators
0 0 2 0 2
OT1 02:24 Power play - Goal scored by Jake Walman
OT1 02:18 Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 02:11 Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
OT1 01:27 Power play - Connor McDavid shot blocked by Nick Jensen
OT1 00:23 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 19:58 Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 17:51 Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 16:40 Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 14:08 Connor McDavid shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 11:40 Shot missed by Artem Zub
P3 11:35 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 10:39 Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:39 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:38 Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 10:27 Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 09:05 Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
P3 08:59 Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 08:07 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 07:56 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P3 07:50 Shot on goal by Oilers saved by Linus Ullmark
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 02:24
    Oilers won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  3. OT1 02:24
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Jake Walman
    3-2
  4. OT1 02:20
    Power play - Matt Savoie won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  5. OT1 02:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
  6. OT1 02:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
  7. OT1 01:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Connor McDavid shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  8. OT1 00:25
    Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  9. OT1 00:25
    Penalty to Tim Stutzle 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Evan Bouchard)
  10. OT1 00:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
  11. OT1 00:00
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  12. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  13. P3 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  14. P3 19:46
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
  15. P3 19:46
    Stoppage - Home Timeout
  16. P3 19:46
    Stoppage - Icing
  17. P3 19:27
    Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  18. P3 18:16
    Nick Cousins credited with hit on Darnell Nurse in offensive zone
  19. P3 17:53
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Noah Philp in defensive zone
  20. P3 17:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  21. P3 17:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Linus Ullmark
  22. P3 17:28
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
  23. P3 17:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  24. P3 16:42
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  25. P3 16:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  26. P3 16:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Linus Ullmark
  27. P3 16:02
    Giveaway by Lars Eller in offensive zone
  28. P3 15:55
    Giveaway by Darnell Nurse in defensive zone
  29. P3 14:08
    SHOT
    Connor McDavid shot blocked by Artem Zub
  30. P3 13:36
    Giveaway by Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  31. P3 13:31
    Giveaway by Isaac Howard in offensive zone
  32. P3 13:19
    Giveaway by Isaac Howard in neutral zone
  33. P3 13:04
    Giveaway by Fabian Zetterlund in offensive zone
  34. P3 12:20
    Noah Philp won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  35. P3 11:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  36. P3 11:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Stuart Skinner
  37. P3 10:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Linus Ullmark
  38. P3 10:39
    SHOT
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by teammate
  39. P3 10:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Linus Ullmark
  40. P3 10:27
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  41. P3 10:11
    Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Mattias Ekholm in neutral zone
  42. P3 10:05
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins credited with hit on Nick Jensen in defensive zone
  43. P3 10:01
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  44. P3 10:01
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  45. P3 09:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
  46. P3 09:02
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  47. P3 09:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  48. P3 08:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Linus Ullmark
  49. P3 08:09
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Trent Frederic in defensive zone
  50. P3 08:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  51. P3 08:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Linus Ullmark
  52. P3 07:56
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Michael Amadio
  53. P3 07:50
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  54. P3 07:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oilers saved by Linus Ullmark
  55. P3 07:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  56. P3 06:48
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
  57. P3 06:48
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  58. P3 06:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Olle Lycksell
  59. P3 06:16
    SHOT
    Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  60. P3 05:45
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Jack Roslovic
  61. P3 05:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Stuart Skinner
  62. P3 05:20
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  63. P3 04:05
    Giveaway by Darnell Nurse in defensive zone
  64. P3 03:10
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
  65. P3 03:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by Linus Ullmark
  66. P3 02:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by Linus Ullmark
  67. P3 02:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Jensen
  68. P3 01:49
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
  69. P3 01:48
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Thomas Chabot assisted by David Perron
    2-2
  70. P3 00:43
    SHOT
    Michael Amadio shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  71. P3 00:13
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  72. P3 00:12
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Cozens
    2-1
  73. P3 00:00
    Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
  74. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  75. P2 19:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Stuart Skinner
  76. P2 19:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
  77. P2 19:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Drake Batherson shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  78. P2 19:40
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  79. P2 19:40
    Penalty to Darnell Nurse 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Tim Stutzle)
  80. P2 19:16
    SHOT
    Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  81. P2 19:06
    Noah Philp won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  82. P2 19:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  83. P2 19:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Stuart Skinner
  84. P2 18:43
    Giveaway by Nick Cousins in offensive zone
  85. P2 18:36
    Giveaway by Jake Walman in defensive zone
  86. P2 17:54
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  87. P2 17:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
  88. P2 16:50
    Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  89. P2 16:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  90. P2 16:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Artem Zub
  91. P2 16:27
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  92. P2 16:27
    Penalty to Drake Batherson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  93. P2 16:21
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Noah Philp in offensive zone
  94. P2 16:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Stuart Skinner
  95. P2 16:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Stuart Skinner
  96. P2 15:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lars Eller
  97. P2 15:30
    SHOT
    Lars Eller shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  98. P2 15:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Stuart Skinner
  99. P2 15:19
    SHOT
    Ridly Greig shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  100. P2 14:45
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  101. P2 14:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  102. P2 14:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Stuart Skinner
  103. P2 14:00
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  104. P2 14:00
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  105. P2 13:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  106. P2 13:03
    SHOT
    Ridly Greig shot blocked by Ty Emberson
  107. P2 12:21
    Noah Philp won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  108. P2 12:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  109. P2 11:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Isaac Howard
  110. P2 11:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Linus Ullmark
  111. P2 10:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Senators
  112. P2 10:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  113. P2 10:07
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
  114. P2 10:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  115. P2 10:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Linus Ullmark
  116. P2 10:03
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
  117. P2 10:03
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  118. P2 08:52
    Giveaway by Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  119. P2 08:46
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
  120. P2 08:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  121. P2 08:43
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
  122. P2 08:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Stuart Skinner
  123. P2 08:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  124. P2 08:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lars Eller
  125. P2 08:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Olle Lycksell
  126. P2 07:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Stuart Skinner
  127. P2 06:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Stuart Skinner
  128. P2 06:11
    Giveaway by Mattias Ekholm in defensive zone
  129. P2 06:07
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  130. P2 06:07
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
  131. P2 06:07
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  132. P2 06:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Stuart Skinner
  133. P2 05:50
    Giveaway by David Tomasek in defensive zone
  134. P2 05:13
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against David Tomasek in neutral zone
  135. P2 05:13
    Stoppage - Offside
  136. P2 04:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  137. P2 04:50
    SHOT
    Drake Batherson shot blocked by Jake Walman
  138. P2 04:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Linus Ullmark
  139. P2 04:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikolas Matinpalo
  140. P2 03:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Olle Lycksell saved by Stuart Skinner
  141. P2 03:04
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Noah Philp in neutral zone
  142. P2 03:04
    Stoppage - Offside
  143. P2 02:38
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by David Perron
  144. P2 00:49
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  145. P2 00:48
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Isaac Howard
    1-0
  146. P2 00:36
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Linus Ullmark
  147. P2 00:00
    Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
  148. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  149. P1 19:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  150. P1 19:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Stuart Skinner
  151. P1 18:41
    Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
  152. P1 18:41
    Penalty to Isaac Howard 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Lars Eller)
  153. P1 18:08
    Giveaway by Trent Frederic in offensive zone
  154. P1 17:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Linus Ullmark
  155. P1 17:06
    Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Drake Batherson in neutral zone
  156. P1 16:31
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in neutral zone
  157. P1 16:31
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Connor McDavid assisted by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Leon Draisaitl
    1-0
  158. P1 16:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
  159. P1 15:51
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  160. P1 15:34
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Noah Philp in neutral zone
  161. P1 15:34
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  162. P1 14:54
    Michael Amadio credited with hit on Evan Bouchard in defensive zone
  163. P1 14:04
    SHOT
    Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Adam Henrique
  164. P1 13:05
    Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
  165. P1 12:35
    SHOT
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  166. P1 12:28
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
  167. P1 12:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  168. P1 12:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Stuart Skinner
  169. P1 12:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Stuart Skinner
  170. P1 11:02
    Takeaway by Mattias Ekholm in neutral zone
  171. P1 10:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Stuart Skinner
  172. P1 09:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
  173. P1 09:29
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Linus Ullmark
  174. P1 08:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  175. P1 08:17
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
  176. P1 07:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Matt Savoie
  177. P1 07:41
    Power play - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
  178. P1 07:41
    Penalty to Darnell Nurse 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Tim Stutzle)
  179. P1 07:41
    Penalty to Darnell Nurse 2 minutes for Misconduct
  180. P1 07:39
    SHOT
    Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Jake Walman
  181. P1 07:26
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  182. P1 07:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  183. P1 07:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Stuart Skinner
  184. P1 05:35
    SHOT
    Nikolas Matinpalo shot blocked by David Tomasek
  185. P1 05:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
  186. P1 05:30
    Giveaway by Stuart Skinner in defensive zone
  187. P1 04:19
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  188. P1 04:19
    Stoppage - Offside
  189. P1 03:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Linus Ullmark
  190. P1 03:20
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Artem Zub
  191. P1 02:58
    SHOT
    Lars Eller shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  192. P1 02:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trent Frederic saved by Linus Ullmark
  193. P1 02:08
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Noah Philp in neutral zone
  194. P1 02:08
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  195. P1 01:49
    Noah Philp won faceoff against Nick Cousins in neutral zone
  196. P1 01:49
    Stoppage - Offside
  197. P1 00:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Linus Ullmark
  198. P1 00:00
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  199. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Oilers
STATS
Senators
25Shots on Goal21
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
20Hits20
17 Shots Blocked 9
18Giveaways13
OilersEDM
SenatorsOTT
25Shots on Goal21
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins6
20Hits20
17 Shots Blocked 9
18Giveaways13

Oilers vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Senators
  • Date: Tuesday, October 21, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers -129, Senators +115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 54%
  • Senators: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 54%, while the Senators have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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