Islanders vs. Ducks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Ducks NHL game on March 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Islanders
1
5
Honda Center
Ducks
Honda Center
TEAM123T
Islanders
1 0 0 1
Ducks
3 0 2 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Islanders
    0%
  • Ducks
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
1 0 0 1
Ducks
3 0 2 5
P3 18:52 Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Ville Husso
P3 17:43 Shot missed by Ross Johnston
P3 17:39 Shot missed by Olen Zellweger
P3 16:05 Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
P3 15:49 Goal scored by Frank Vatrano assisted by Jacob Trouba
P3 15:21 Shot missed by Frank Vatrano
P3 14:43 Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Ville Husso
P3 14:16 Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Ville Husso
P3 14:09 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Jeffrey Viel
P3 13:57 Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P3 12:49 Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Ville Husso
P3 12:06 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
P3 12:00 Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
P3 11:28 Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P3 10:50 Tim Washe shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
P3 10:15 Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by David Rittich
P3 10:00 Mason McTavish shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 08:00 Power play - Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
P3 07:20 Shot on goal by Radko Gudas saved by David Rittich
P3 06:58 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ville Husso
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:16
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  3. P3 19:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  4. P3 18:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  5. P3 18:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Ville Husso
  6. P3 18:35
    Mason McTavish won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
  7. P3 18:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  8. P3 17:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ross Johnston
  9. P3 17:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Olen Zellweger
  10. P3 17:08
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
  11. P3 17:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  12. P3 17:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  13. P3 16:44
    Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
  14. P3 16:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
  15. P3 15:49
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Frank Vatrano assisted by Jacob Trouba
    1-5
  16. P3 15:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Frank Vatrano
  17. P3 14:46
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
  18. P3 14:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Ville Husso
  19. P3 14:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Ville Husso
  20. P3 14:09
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Jeffrey Viel
  21. P3 13:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  22. P3 13:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  23. P3 12:51
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
  24. P3 12:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  25. P3 12:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Ville Husso
  26. P3 12:06
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
  27. P3 12:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
  28. P3 11:44
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in offensive zone
  29. P3 11:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
  30. P3 11:10
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  31. P3 10:50
    SHOT
    Tim Washe shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
  32. P3 10:17
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Tim Washe in defensive zone
  33. P3 10:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by David Rittich
  34. P3 10:00
    SHOT
    Mason McTavish shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  35. P3 09:25
    Islanders won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
  36. P3 08:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
  37. P3 07:57
    Power play - Cutter Gauthier won faceoff against Simon Holmstrom in offensive zone
  38. P3 07:57
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
  39. P3 07:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Radko Gudas saved by David Rittich
  40. P3 06:59
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
  41. P3 06:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ville Husso
  42. P3 06:05
    Cutter Gauthier won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in offensive zone
  43. P3 06:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pavel Mintyukov
  44. P3 06:01
    SHOT
    Ian Moore shot blocked by teammate
  45. P3 04:39
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
  46. P3 04:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  47. P3 04:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Radko Gudas saved by David Rittich
  48. P3 03:40
    Mason McTavish won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  49. P3 03:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  50. P3 02:11
    Islanders won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
  51. P3 02:11
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan Poehling
    1-4
  52. P3 01:57
    Stoppage - Icing
  53. P3 01:40
    Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
  54. P3 00:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ville Husso
  55. P3 00:00
    Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  56. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  57. P2 19:54
    Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Mason McTavish in neutral zone
  58. P2 19:54
    Islanders won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
  59. P2 19:46
    Giveaway by Tony DeAngelo in neutral zone
  60. P2 19:31
    Shorthanded - Tim Washe won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  61. P2 19:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  62. P2 18:28
    Shorthanded - Tim Washe won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  63. P2 18:28
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  64. P2 17:43
    Power play - Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
  65. P2 17:43
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  66. P2 17:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by David Rittich
  67. P2 17:00
    Chris Kreider credited with hit on Carson Soucy in defensive zone
  68. P2 16:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle MacLean saved by Ville Husso
  69. P2 16:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Boqvist saved by Ville Husso
  70. P2 14:50
    Shorthanded - Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in defensive zone
  71. P2 14:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  72. P2 14:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Ville Husso
  73. P2 13:31
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
  74. P2 12:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Frank Vatrano
  75. P2 12:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ian Moore
  76. P2 11:03
    Ross Johnston credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in offensive zone
  77. P2 10:05
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mason McTavish in neutral zone
  78. P2 10:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  79. P2 09:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
  80. P2 08:48
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
  81. P2 08:24
    SHOT
    Alex Killorn shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  82. P2 08:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mason McTavish
  83. P2 07:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cutter Gauthier saved by David Rittich
  84. P2 06:48
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
  85. P2 06:19
    SHOT
    Anders Lee shot blocked by Radko Gudas
  86. P2 05:54
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  87. P2 05:39
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  88. P2 04:59
    SHOT
    Jacob Trouba shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
  89. P2 04:17
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
  90. P2 04:10
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Pavel Mintyukov
  91. P2 03:37
    Bo Horvat credited with hit on Olen Zellweger in offensive zone
  92. P2 03:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
  93. P2 02:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Ville Husso
  94. P2 01:49
    Power play - Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
  95. P2 01:25
    Power play - Giveaway by Simon Holmstrom in offensive zone
  96. P2 01:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Ville Husso
  97. P2 00:08
    Giveaway by Chris Kreider in neutral zone
  98. P2 00:00
    Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  99. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  100. P1 19:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Frank Vatrano saved by David Rittich
  101. P1 18:40
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
  102. P1 18:39
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Beckett Sennecke
    1-3
  103. P1 18:20
    SHOT
    Pavel Mintyukov shot blocked by Carson Soucy
  104. P1 17:44
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mason McTavish in offensive zone
  105. P1 17:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  106. P1 17:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Ville Husso
  107. P1 16:42
    Ross Johnston credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
  108. P1 16:35
    Marc Gatcomb credited with hit on Jackson LaCombe in offensive zone
  109. P1 16:05
    Tim Washe won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  110. P1 16:05
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Cutter Gauthier assisted by Leo Carlsson and Chris Kreider
    1-2
  111. P1 15:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ville Husso
  112. P1 15:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Frank Vatrano
  113. P1 15:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ian Moore saved by David Rittich
  114. P1 14:50
    SHOT
    Ryan Poehling shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
  115. P1 14:30
    Islanders won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
  116. P1 14:30
    Stoppage - Player Equipment
  117. P1 14:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Ville Husso
  118. P1 13:23
    Jackson LaCombe credited with hit on Adam Boqvist in defensive zone
  119. P1 13:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by David Rittich
  120. P1 12:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
  121. P1 12:14
    Power play - Cutter Gauthier won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  122. P1 12:14
    Penalty to Tony DeAngelo 2 minutes for Misconduct
  123. P1 12:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Poehling
  124. P1 11:57
    SHOT
    Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Ryan Strome
  125. P1 11:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Ville Husso
  126. P1 11:30
    Islanders won faceoff against Ducks in offensive zone
  127. P1 11:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  128. P1 11:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Ville Husso
  129. P1 10:59
    Jeffrey Viel credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
  130. P1 10:44
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Tim Washe in defensive zone
  131. P1 10:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  132. P1 10:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tim Washe
  133. P1 10:02
    SHOT
    Olen Zellweger shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  134. P1 09:50
    SHOT
    Olen Zellweger shot blocked by teammate
  135. P1 09:39
    SHOT
    Mason McTavish shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  136. P1 09:28
    Marc Gatcomb credited with hit on Radko Gudas in neutral zone
  137. P1 08:47
    Giveaway by Adam Pelech in neutral zone
  138. P1 08:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Ville Husso
  139. P1 08:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Ville Husso
  140. P1 08:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ville Husso
  141. P1 08:05
    Islanders won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
  142. P1 08:02
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Ryan Poehling
  143. P1 08:00
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
  144. P1 07:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jackson LaCombe
  145. P1 06:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by David Rittich
  146. P1 04:58
    Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  147. P1 04:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Ville Husso
  148. P1 04:48
    Power play - Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
  149. P1 04:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
  150. P1 04:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  151. P1 03:49
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
  152. P1 03:27
    Penalty to Mason McTavish 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Ondrej Palat)
  153. P1 02:53
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Adam Boqvist in defensive zone
  154. P1 01:49
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat credited with hit on Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
  155. P1 01:40
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ville Husso
  156. P1 01:00
    Power play - Cutter Gauthier won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  157. P1 01:00
    Penalty to Matthew Schaefer 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Mason McTavish)
  158. P1 00:49
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Mason McTavish in defensive zone
  159. P1 00:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  160. P1 00:33
    Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  161. P1 00:27
    Bo Horvat credited with hit on Jackson LaCombe in offensive zone
  162. P1 00:16
    Cutter Gauthier won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  163. P1 00:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  164. P1 00:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by David Rittich
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Ducks
43Shots on Goal26
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins8
19Hits28
16 Shots Blocked 13
18Giveaways16
IslandersNYI
DucksANA
43Shots on Goal26
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins8
19Hits28
16 Shots Blocked 13
18Giveaways16

Islanders vs. Ducks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Ducks
  • Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Honda Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Islanders favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders -115, Ducks +105

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 52%
  • Ducks: 48%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 52%, while the Ducks have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Ducks in the NHL game at Honda Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Ducks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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