Golden Knights vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Sabres NHL game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Golden Knights
2
3
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 2 0 2
Sabres
1 2 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Golden Knights
    0%
  • Sabres
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 2 0 2
Sabres
1 2 0 3
P3 19:40 Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Alex Lyon
P3 18:42 Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P3 17:27 Keegan Kolesar shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 16:38 Shot missed by Kaedan Korczak
P3 14:53 Shot missed by Shea Theodore
P3 14:14 Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Akira Schmid
P3 13:53 Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 12:05 Shea Theodore shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P3 08:34 Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
P3 08:10 Reilly Smith shot blocked by Owen Power
P3 07:51 Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
P3 07:12 Shot on goal by Jeremy Lauzon saved by Alex Lyon
P3 05:40 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 05:34 Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Akira Schmid
P3 03:12 Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Akira Schmid
P3 02:52 Shea Theodore shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
P3 02:43 Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Zach Metsa
P3 02:04 Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 00:43 Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P2 19:27 Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Alex Lyon
  3. P3 19:11
    Stoppage - Icing - Visitor Timeout
  4. P3 19:11
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:56
    Tomas Hertl credited with hit on Bowen Byram in offensive zone
  6. P3 18:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shea Theodore
  7. P3 17:27
    SHOT
    Keegan Kolesar shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
  8. P3 17:14
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  9. P3 16:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kaedan Korczak
  10. P3 15:30
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  11. P3 15:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  12. P3 15:16
    Stoppage - Icing
  13. P3 14:58
    Giveaway by Bowen Byram in defensive zone
  14. P3 14:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shea Theodore
  15. P3 14:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Akira Schmid
  16. P3 13:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  17. P3 13:19
    Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
  18. P3 12:50
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
  19. P3 12:14
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  20. P3 12:05
    SHOT
    Shea Theodore shot blocked by Alex Tuch
  21. P3 11:06
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
  22. P3 11:00
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  23. P3 11:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  24. P3 10:54
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  25. P3 10:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  26. P3 09:31
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  27. P3 09:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  28. P3 08:34
    SHOT
    Rasmus Andersson shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
  29. P3 08:32
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  30. P3 08:15
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  31. P3 08:10
    SHOT
    Reilly Smith shot blocked by Owen Power
  32. P3 07:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
  33. P3 07:15
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  34. P3 07:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jeremy Lauzon saved by Alex Lyon
  35. P3 07:00
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  36. P3 05:40
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
  37. P3 05:36
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  38. P3 05:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Akira Schmid
  39. P3 03:34
    Takeaway by Owen Power in defensive zone
  40. P3 03:21
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  41. P3 03:14
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
  42. P3 03:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  43. P3 03:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Akira Schmid
  44. P3 03:08
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  45. P3 03:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  46. P3 02:52
    SHOT
    Shea Theodore shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
  47. P3 02:43
    SHOT
    Tomas Hertl shot blocked by Zach Metsa
  48. P3 02:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Zucker
  49. P3 00:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  50. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  51. P2 19:39
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Colton Sissons in defensive zone
  52. P2 19:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  53. P2 19:29
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  54. P2 19:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  55. P2 19:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
  56. P2 18:46
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Mitch Marner in neutral zone
  57. P2 18:46
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  58. P2 17:41
    SHOT
    Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Owen Power
  59. P2 17:38
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  60. P2 17:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Akira Schmid
  61. P2 16:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
  62. P2 15:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Alex Lyon
  63. P2 15:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Keegan Kolesar
  64. P2 14:48
    SHOT
    Alex Tuch shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
  65. P2 13:58
    Giveaway by Reilly Smith in neutral zone
  66. P2 13:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Akira Schmid
  67. P2 13:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Alex Lyon
  68. P2 13:05
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  69. P2 11:36
    Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
  70. P2 10:42
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  71. P2 10:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Akira Schmid
  72. P2 09:36
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  73. P2 08:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Alex Lyon
  74. P2 08:26
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Pavel Dorofeyev
    2-3
  75. P2 07:59
    SHOT
    Josh Norris shot blocked by teammate
  76. P2 07:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Akira Schmid
  77. P2 06:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shea Theodore
  78. P2 06:24
    SHOT
    Cole Reinhardt shot blocked by Owen Power
  79. P2 06:14
    SHOT
    Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Owen Power
  80. P2 05:52
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
  81. P2 05:44
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
  82. P2 05:12
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  83. P2 05:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
  84. P2 04:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Reilly Smith
  85. P2 04:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Alex Lyon
  86. P2 04:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Akira Schmid
  87. P2 04:15
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  88. P2 04:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Akira Schmid
  89. P2 03:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Akira Schmid
  90. P2 03:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Barbashev saved by Alex Lyon
  91. P2 03:14
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  92. P2 03:13
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  93. P2 02:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Akira Schmid
  94. P2 02:01
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by teammate
  95. P2 01:41
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  96. P2 01:41
    Stoppage - Offside
  97. P2 00:46
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
  98. P2 00:44
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Owen Power
    0-2
  99. P2 00:40
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  100. P2 00:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  101. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  102. P1 19:55
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Colton Sissons
  103. P1 19:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  104. P1 19:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Akira Schmid
  105. P1 19:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Akira Schmid
  106. P1 17:50
    Giveaway by Alex Lyon in defensive zone
  107. P1 16:52
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Raphael Lavoie in offensive zone
  108. P1 16:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  109. P1 16:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Alex Lyon
  110. P1 16:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  111. P1 16:08
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  112. P1 16:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  113. P1 14:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Alex Lyon
  114. P1 14:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
  115. P1 13:42
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Ivan Barbashev in defensive zone
  116. P1 13:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  117. P1 12:26
    Giveaway by Josh Norris in offensive zone
  118. P1 11:25
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  119. P1 11:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  120. P1 10:02
    Keegan Kolesar credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
  121. P1 08:47
    Shorthanded - Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Ivan Barbashev in neutral zone
  122. P1 08:47
    Stoppage - Offside
  123. P1 08:32
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Akira Schmid
  124. P1 07:39
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  125. P1 07:39
    Penalty to Alex Tuch 2 minutes for Misconduct
  126. P1 07:30
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  127. P1 07:30
    Stoppage
  128. P1 06:29
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  129. P1 05:26
    SHOT
    Tyson Kozak shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  130. P1 05:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  131. P1 04:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Keegan Kolesar
  132. P1 04:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
  133. P1 04:02
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
  134. P1 04:02
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jason Zucker assisted by Ryan McLeod and Rasmus Dahlin
    0-1
  135. P1 03:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Akira Schmid
  136. P1 03:51
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  137. P1 03:46
    Colton Sissons credited with hit on Josh Norris in defensive zone
  138. P1 03:36
    Brayden McNabb credited with hit on Michael Kesselring in defensive zone
  139. P1 03:30
    Stoppage - Offside
  140. P1 02:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  141. P1 01:59
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  142. P1 01:59
    Stoppage - Icing
  143. P1 01:09
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
  144. P1 01:09
    Stoppage - Offside
  145. P1 00:46
    Giveaway by Josh Doan in defensive zone
  146. P1 00:21
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by teammate
  147. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Golden Knights
STATS
Sabres
29Shots on Goal28
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
28Hits15
10 Shots Blocked 10
14Giveaways15
Golden KnightsVGK
SabresBUF
29Shots on Goal28
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
28Hits15
10 Shots Blocked 10
14Giveaways15

Golden Knights vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Golden Knights vs. Sabres
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights +123, Sabres -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Golden Knights: 45%
  • Sabres: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 45%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Golden Knights in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Golden Knights vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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