Penguins vs. Bruins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Bruins NHL game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Penguins
1
2
TD Garden
Bruins
TD Garden
TEAM123T
Penguins
1 0 0 1
Bruins
2 0 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    0%
  • Bruins
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
1 0 0 1
Bruins
2 0 0 2
P3 19:08 Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
P3 18:08 Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
P3 17:14 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 16:07 Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
P3 16:05 Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Fraser Minten
P3 15:36 Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 13:21 Shot missed by Mason Lohrei
P3 13:03 Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:18 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 10:58 Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
P3 10:06 Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 09:46 Shot on goal by Marat Khusnutdinov saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 09:18 Shot missed by Jonathan Aspirot
P3 07:16 Shot missed by Charlie McAvoy
P3 05:47 Bryan Rust shot blocked by Mark Kastelic
P3 05:15 Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 03:48 Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 03:26 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 01:49 Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 01:19 Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:50
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  3. P3 19:49
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
  4. P3 19:11
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
  5. P3 19:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
  6. P3 19:04
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  7. P3 18:50
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  8. P3 18:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  9. P3 18:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
  10. P3 17:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  11. P3 16:12
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  12. P3 16:07
    SHOT
    Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
  13. P3 16:05
    SHOT
    Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by Fraser Minten
  14. P3 15:38
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Fraser Minten in offensive zone
  15. P3 15:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. P3 15:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jeremy Swayman
  17. P3 14:46
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  18. P3 14:39
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  19. P3 14:39
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  20. P3 13:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mason Lohrei
  21. P3 13:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Stuart Skinner
  22. P3 12:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Jeremy Swayman
  23. P3 11:32
    Penguins won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
  24. P3 11:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  25. P3 10:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mark Kastelic
  26. P3 10:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Stuart Skinner
  27. P3 09:55
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in neutral zone
  28. P3 09:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Marat Khusnutdinov saved by Stuart Skinner
  29. P3 09:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jonathan Aspirot
  30. P3 07:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charlie McAvoy
  31. P3 06:51
    Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
  32. P3 06:51
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  33. P3 06:17
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
  34. P3 06:17
    Stoppage - Icing
  35. P3 06:08
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
  36. P3 05:47
    SHOT
    Bryan Rust shot blocked by Mark Kastelic
  37. P3 05:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Jeremy Swayman
  38. P3 03:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Shea
  39. P3 03:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  40. P3 01:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Jeremy Swayman
  41. P3 01:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
  42. P3 01:15
    Penalty to Casey Mittelstadt 2 minutes for Misconduct
  43. P3 01:15
    Penguins won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
  44. P3 01:00
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by teammate
  45. P3 00:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Jeremy Swayman
  46. P3 00:00
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in neutral zone
  47. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  48. P2 19:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Pavel Zacha
  49. P2 18:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  50. P2 18:25
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone
  51. P2 18:25
    Penalty to Anthony Mantha 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Jonathan Aspirot)
  52. P2 17:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Stuart Skinner
  53. P2 17:22
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
  54. P2 17:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Stuart Skinner
  55. P2 16:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  56. P2 15:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Stuart Skinner
  57. P2 15:45
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Marat Khusnutdinov
  58. P2 15:34
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  59. P2 15:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  60. P2 15:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Jeremy Swayman
  61. P2 14:30
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in defensive zone
  62. P2 14:30
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  63. P2 14:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mark Kastelic saved by Stuart Skinner
  64. P2 13:56
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
  65. P2 13:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  66. P2 13:48
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
  67. P2 13:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  68. P2 13:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  69. P2 13:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Fraser Minten
  70. P2 11:55
    Fraser Minten won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  71. P2 11:22
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Jeremy Swayman
  72. P2 10:34
    Penalty to Yegor Chinakhov 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Mason Lohrei)
  73. P2 10:34
    Penguins won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
  74. P2 10:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
  75. P2 10:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Jeremy Swayman
  76. P2 09:34
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
  77. P2 09:03
    SHOT
    Jonathan Aspirot shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  78. P2 08:51
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  79. P2 08:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  80. P2 08:26
    Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  81. P2 07:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hampus Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
  82. P2 07:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Jeremy Swayman
  83. P2 06:29
    SHOT
    Morgan Geekie shot blocked by Kevin Hayes
  84. P2 06:08
    Fraser Minten won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
  85. P2 06:08
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  86. P2 06:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  87. P2 05:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  88. P2 05:09
    SHOT
    Samuel Girard shot blocked by teammate
  89. P2 03:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Jeremy Swayman
  90. P2 03:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  91. P2 03:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mason Lohrei saved by Stuart Skinner
  92. P2 03:07
    SHOT
    Michael Eyssimont shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  93. P2 01:58
    Pavel Zacha won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  94. P2 01:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Jeremy Swayman
  95. P2 01:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Peeke
  96. P2 01:12
    Elias Lindholm won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  97. P2 01:03
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in offensive zone
  98. P2 01:03
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  99. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  100. P1 18:59
    Shorthanded - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  101. P1 18:59
    Stoppage - Offside
  102. P1 18:40
    Shorthanded - Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
  103. P1 17:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Stuart Skinner
  104. P1 17:17
    SHOT
    Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  105. P1 16:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt
  106. P1 16:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Hampus Lindholm
  107. P1 16:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Mason Lohrei shot blocked by Kris Letang
  108. P1 14:32
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Jeremy Swayman
  109. P1 14:06
    Ryan Shea won faceoff against Elias Lindholm in defensive zone
  110. P1 14:00
    SHOT
    Charlie McAvoy shot blocked by Kevin Hayes
  111. P1 13:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  112. P1 13:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Stuart Skinner
  113. P1 12:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Jeremy Swayman
  114. P1 12:37
    SHOT
    Pavel Zacha shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  115. P1 12:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Viktor Arvidsson
  116. P1 12:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
  117. P1 12:01
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
  118. P1 11:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Jeremy Swayman
  119. P1 11:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Jeremy Swayman
  120. P1 10:44
    SHOT
    Jonathan Aspirot shot blocked by Kris Letang
  121. P1 10:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Stuart Skinner
  122. P1 10:25
    SHOT
    Samuel Girard shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
  123. P1 07:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  124. P1 06:50
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Marat Khusnutdinov
  125. P1 06:09
    SHOT
    Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Connor Dewar
  126. P1 06:01
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Casey Mittelstadt assisted by Nikita Zadorov and Pavel Zacha
    1-2
  127. P1 06:00
    Penguins won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
  128. P1 05:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt
  129. P1 05:58
    SHOT
    Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  130. P1 05:36
    Penguins won faceoff against Pavel Zacha in offensive zone
  131. P1 05:29
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Mark Kastelic
  132. P1 05:21
    Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  133. P1 05:21
    Stoppage - Icing
  134. P1 05:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
  135. P1 04:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charlie McAvoy saved by Stuart Skinner
  136. P1 04:35
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Fraser Minten in defensive zone
  137. P1 04:35
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  138. P1 02:33
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
  139. P1 02:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Mantha
  140. P1 02:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Penguins
  141. P1 00:42
    Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Bruins in neutral zone
  142. P1 00:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  143. P1 00:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Elias Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
  144. P1 00:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hampus Lindholm saved by Stuart Skinner
  145. P1 00:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Marat Khusnutdinov saved by Stuart Skinner
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Bruins
35Shots on Goal28
33% Faceoff Win % 67%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins8
24Hits23
23 Shots Blocked 12
12Giveaways17
PenguinsPIT
BruinsBOS
35Shots on Goal28
33% Faceoff Win % 67%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins8
24Hits23
23 Shots Blocked 12
12Giveaways17

Penguins vs. Bruins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Bruins
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TD Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Bruins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +104, Bruins -118

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 49%
  • Bruins: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 49%, while the Bruins have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Bruins are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at TD Garden on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Bruins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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