Islanders vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Senators NHL game on October 18, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Islanders
5
4
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 3 2 5
Senators
1 3 0 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Islanders
    100%
  • Senators
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 3 2 5
Senators
1 3 0 4
P3 19:42 Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin
P3 19:17 Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 18:57 Goal scored by Anders Lee assisted by Jean-Gabriel Pageau and Scott Mayfield
P3 17:40 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 17:38 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 17:15 Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:11 Drake Batherson shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 15:58 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 15:45 Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P3 14:28 Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:58 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 12:31 Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:15 Shot on goal by Senators saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:08 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 10:09 Kyle Palmieri shot blocked by Nick Jensen
P3 10:00 Nick Jensen shot blocked by Kyle Palmieri
P3 09:33 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 09:08 Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P3 09:03 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 08:38 Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Ilya Sorokin
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:54
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  3. P3 19:54
    Stoppage - Offside
  4. P3 19:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jonathan Drouin
  5. P3 19:17
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  6. P3 18:57
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  7. P3 18:57
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Anders Lee assisted by Jean-Gabriel Pageau and Scott Mayfield
    5-4
  8. P3 18:11
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  9. P3 18:11
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  10. P3 17:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
  11. P3 17:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  12. P3 17:15
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by teammate
  13. P3 16:50
    Giveaway by Michael Amadio in neutral zone
  14. P3 16:41
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  15. P3 16:41
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  16. P3 16:11
    SHOT
    Drake Batherson shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
  17. P3 15:58
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
  18. P3 15:45
    SHOT
    Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
  19. P3 15:10
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  20. P3 15:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  21. P3 14:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Linus Ullmark
  22. P3 13:03
    Giveaway by Nick Jensen in defensive zone
  23. P3 12:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Linus Ullmark
  24. P3 12:33
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  25. P3 12:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  26. P3 12:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Sorokin
  27. P3 12:27
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  28. P3 12:27
    Stoppage
  29. P3 12:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Senators saved by Ilya Sorokin
  30. P3 12:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Ilya Sorokin
  31. P3 11:02
    Giveaway by Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  32. P3 10:59
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  33. P3 10:09
    SHOT
    Kyle Palmieri shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  34. P3 10:00
    SHOT
    Nick Jensen shot blocked by Kyle Palmieri
  35. P3 09:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
  36. P3 09:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Pelech
  37. P3 09:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  38. P3 08:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Ilya Sorokin
  39. P3 08:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Cousins
  40. P3 08:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Islanders
  41. P3 08:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Ilya Sorokin
  42. P3 07:48
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
  43. P3 07:13
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in neutral zone
  44. P3 07:13
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  45. P3 07:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Linus Ullmark
  46. P3 06:06
    Tyler Kleven credited with hit on Max Shabanov in defensive zone
  47. P3 06:00
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  48. P3 06:00
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Kyle Palmieri assisted by Mathew Barzal and Adam Pelech
    4-4
  49. P3 05:32
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  50. P3 05:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Linus Ullmark
  51. P3 05:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  52. P3 05:12
    Takeaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
  53. P3 04:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle MacLean saved by Linus Ullmark
  54. P3 04:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
  55. P3 03:01
    Power play - Takeaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
  56. P3 02:23
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  57. P3 01:59
    Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  58. P3 01:59
    Penalty to Fabian Zetterlund 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Tony DeAngelo)
  59. P3 00:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  60. P3 00:09
    Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Ryan Pulock in offensive zone
  61. P3 00:00
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  62. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  63. P2 19:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  64. P2 19:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Ilya Sorokin
  65. P2 18:47
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
  66. P2 18:46
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Dylan Cozens assisted by Tim Stutzle
    3-4
  67. P2 18:40
    Takeaway by Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  68. P2 18:07
    SHOT
    Drake Batherson shot blocked by teammate
  69. P2 17:45
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  70. P2 17:45
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Max Shabanov
    3-3
  71. P2 16:46
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  72. P2 16:08
    SHOT
    Bo Horvat shot blocked by Dylan Cozens
  73. P2 15:03
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by teammate
  74. P2 14:52
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  75. P2 14:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  76. P2 14:50
    SHOT
    Casey Cizikas shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  77. P2 14:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Sorokin
  78. P2 14:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Sorokin
  79. P2 14:27
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
  80. P2 14:25
    Power play - Lars Eller won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  81. P2 14:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  82. P2 14:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Ilya Sorokin
  83. P2 14:12
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
  84. P2 14:10
    Power play - Giveaway by Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  85. P2 14:07
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Scott Mayfield in defensive zone
  86. P2 14:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shane Pinto shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
  87. P2 13:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Sorokin
  88. P2 13:53
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  89. P2 13:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  90. P2 13:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Ilya Sorokin
  91. P2 13:42
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Linus Ullmark
  92. P2 12:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  93. P2 12:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
  94. P2 12:41
    Power play - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  95. P2 12:41
    Stoppage - Icing
  96. P2 12:11
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  97. P2 11:55
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
  98. P2 11:41
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  99. P2 11:37
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  100. P2 11:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  101. P2 11:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Ilya Sorokin
  102. P2 11:23
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  103. P2 11:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  104. P2 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Linus Ullmark
  105. P2 11:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
  106. P2 10:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Sorokin
  107. P2 09:57
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  108. P2 09:55
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Bo Horvat assisted by Ryan Pulock and Anders Lee
    2-2
  109. P2 09:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  110. P2 09:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Linus Ullmark
  111. P2 08:16
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  112. P2 08:16
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  113. P2 08:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  114. P2 08:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  115. P2 07:43
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  116. P2 07:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Ilya Sorokin
  117. P2 07:11
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
  118. P2 07:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Linus Ullmark
  119. P2 06:50
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
  120. P2 06:50
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Emil Heineman assisted by Scott Mayfield
    1-2
  121. P2 06:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Linus Ullmark
  122. P2 06:19
    SHOT
    Nick Jensen shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  123. P2 06:05
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  124. P2 06:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Ilya Sorokin
  125. P2 05:32
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  126. P2 05:30
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Shane Pinto
    0-2
  127. P2 05:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  128. P2 04:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
  129. P2 04:20
    SHOT
    Arthur Kaliyev shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  130. P2 03:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Linus Ullmark
  131. P2 03:04
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  132. P2 03:04
    Stoppage - Icing
  133. P2 02:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Linus Ullmark
  134. P2 02:44
    SHOT
    Lars Eller shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
  135. P2 02:01
    Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Kyle MacLean in neutral zone
  136. P2 01:35
    Giveaway by Anthony Duclair in defensive zone
  137. P2 01:04
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  138. P2 01:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  139. P2 01:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Sorokin
  140. P2 00:44
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  141. P2 00:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  142. P2 00:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Ilya Sorokin
  143. P2 00:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Ilya Sorokin
  144. P2 00:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Shabanov
  145. P2 00:23
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
  146. P2 00:00
    Power play - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  147. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  148. P1 19:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  149. P1 19:46
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Senators shot blocked by teammate
  150. P1 19:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
  151. P1 18:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Kyle Palmieri
  152. P1 18:29
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  153. P1 18:29
    Penalty to Artem Zub 2 minutes for Hooking
  154. P1 18:22
    Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  155. P1 18:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  156. P1 18:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Linus Ullmark
  157. P1 17:58
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  158. P1 17:23
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  159. P1 17:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  160. P1 17:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Ilya Sorokin
  161. P1 17:01
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  162. P1 16:59
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by David Perron assisted by Thomas Chabot
    0-1
  163. P1 16:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  164. P1 15:26
    Power play - Giveaway by Drake Batherson in offensive zone
  165. P1 15:04
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  166. P1 15:04
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  167. P1 15:04
    Penalty to Emil Heineman 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Claude Giroux)
  168. P1 14:43
    SHOT
    Shane Pinto shot blocked by Adam Boqvist
  169. P1 14:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Sorokin
  170. P1 13:45
    SHOT
    Nick Cousins shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  171. P1 13:11
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  172. P1 12:43
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  173. P1 12:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  174. P1 12:28
    SHOT
    Claude Giroux shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  175. P1 12:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Ilya Sorokin
  176. P1 11:54
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  177. P1 11:54
    Stoppage - Icing
  178. P1 11:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  179. P1 10:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kyle Palmieri
  180. P1 10:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Ilya Sorokin
  181. P1 10:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  182. P1 09:45
    Giveaway by Nick Cousins in defensive zone
  183. P1 09:38
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  184. P1 09:38
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  185. P1 09:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Linus Ullmark
  186. P1 09:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
  187. P1 08:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Linus Ullmark
  188. P1 07:44
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  189. P1 07:44
    Stoppage - Icing
  190. P1 06:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  191. P1 06:07
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  192. P1 06:07
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  193. P1 05:47
    Giveaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  194. P1 05:42
    Giveaway by Tyler Kleven in defensive zone
  195. P1 05:31
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  196. P1 05:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  197. P1 05:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Ilya Sorokin
  198. P1 05:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Ilya Sorokin
  199. P1 05:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Arthur Kaliyev saved by Ilya Sorokin
  200. P1 03:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  201. P1 03:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  202. P1 03:08
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  203. P1 03:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  204. P1 03:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Ilya Sorokin
  205. P1 02:48
    SHOT
    Adam Boqvist shot blocked by Nick Cousins
  206. P1 02:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Boqvist
  207. P1 02:19
    Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  208. P1 02:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  209. P1 01:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Linus Ullmark
  210. P1 01:50
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  211. P1 01:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  212. P1 01:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Linus Ullmark
  213. P1 01:33
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Anders Lee in defensive zone
  214. P1 01:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  215. P1 01:30
    SHOT
    Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Drake Batherson
  216. P1 01:26
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  217. P1 01:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  218. P1 00:26
    SHOT
    Kyle Palmieri shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  219. P1 00:15
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  220. P1 00:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  221. P1 00:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Linus Ullmark
  222. P1 00:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
  223. P1 00:05
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  224. P1 00:05
    Stoppage - Icing
  225. P1 00:00
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
  226. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Senators
23Shots on Goal33
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
28Hits29
19 Shots Blocked 9
13Giveaways22
IslandersNYI
SenatorsOTT
23Shots on Goal33
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
28Hits29
19 Shots Blocked 9
13Giveaways22

Islanders vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Senators
  • Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders +120, Senators -140

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 45%
  • Senators: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 45%, while the Senators have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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