Maple Leafs vs. Flames Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Flames NHL game on February 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Maple Leafs
4
2
Scotiabank Saddledome
Flames
Scotiabank Saddledome
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
1 2 1 4
Flames
0 2 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Maple Leafs
    100%
  • Flames
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
1 2 1 4
Flames
0 2 0 2
P3 19:08 Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P3 18:25 Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
P3 18:08 MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
P3 17:25 Adam Klapka shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 16:15 Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Joseph Woll
P3 15:55 Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 14:12 Shot on goal by Adam Klapka saved by Joseph Woll
P3 13:56 Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Joseph Woll
P3 12:33 Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P3 11:15 Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Joseph Woll
P3 10:07 Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Joseph Woll
P3 07:35 Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 07:33 Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 07:24 Mikael Backlund shot blocked by Bobby McMann
P3 06:48 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 06:16 Matvei Gridin shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 05:52 Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Joseph Woll
P3 05:36 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 05:13 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 04:55 Shot missed by Simon Benoit
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:35
    John Tavares won faceoff against Connor Zary in neutral zone
  3. P3 19:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
  4. P3 18:53
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  5. P3 18:46
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  6. P3 18:25
    SHOT
    Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
  7. P3 18:08
    SHOT
    MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
  8. P3 17:25
    SHOT
    Adam Klapka shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  9. P3 16:27
    John Tavares won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
  10. P3 16:17
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  11. P3 16:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Joseph Woll
  12. P3 15:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Coronato
  13. P3 15:15
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  14. P3 15:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  15. P3 14:35
    Takeaway by Joel Farabee in defensive zone
  16. P3 14:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Klapka saved by Joseph Woll
  17. P3 14:11
    Takeaway by Nicholas Robertson in defensive zone
  18. P3 13:58
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Joel Farabee in defensive zone
  19. P3 13:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  20. P3 13:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Bahl saved by Joseph Woll
  21. P3 12:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
  22. P3 12:10
    John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  23. P3 12:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  24. P3 11:18
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  25. P3 11:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Joseph Woll
  26. P3 11:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  27. P3 10:08
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  28. P3 10:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Joseph Woll
  29. P3 07:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  30. P3 07:33
    SHOT
    Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  31. P3 07:24
    SHOT
    Mikael Backlund shot blocked by Bobby McMann
  32. P3 06:50
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  33. P3 06:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Dustin Wolf
  34. P3 06:16
    SHOT
    Matvei Gridin shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  35. P3 05:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Joseph Woll
  36. P3 05:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Dustin Wolf
  37. P3 05:15
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  38. P3 05:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Dustin Wolf
  39. P3 04:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Benoit
  40. P3 04:27
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  41. P3 04:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  42. P3 03:55
    SHOT
    William Nylander shot blocked by Joel Farabee
  43. P3 03:17
    SHOT
    Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Philippe Myers
  44. P3 02:42
    Adam Klapka won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  45. P3 02:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  46. P3 01:33
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  47. P3 01:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jonathan Huberdeau
  48. P3 01:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Joseph Woll
  49. P3 00:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matvei Gridin
  50. P3 00:34
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  51. P3 00:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
  52. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  53. P2 19:35
    Power play - Giveaway by MacKenzie Weegar in offensive zone
  54. P2 19:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Joseph Woll
  55. P2 18:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
  56. P2 17:46
    Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  57. P2 17:46
    Penalty to Matthew Knies 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Joel Hanley)
  58. P2 17:13
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  59. P2 17:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Philippe Myers saved by Dustin Wolf
  60. P2 15:51
    Kevin Bahl credited with hit on Max Domi in neutral zone
  61. P2 15:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by Joseph Woll
  62. P2 15:35
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  63. P2 15:35
    SHOT
    Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  64. P2 14:15
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  65. P2 14:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Joseph Woll
  66. P2 13:58
    SHOT
    Matt Coronato shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  67. P2 13:48
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
  68. P2 13:33
    John Tavares won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
  69. P2 13:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  70. P2 13:15
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nazem Kadri assisted by Joel Farabee and Joel Hanley
    3-1
  71. P2 12:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  72. P2 11:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Coronato
  73. P2 10:29
    SHOT
    Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Matvei Gridin
  74. P2 09:10
    Connor Zary won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  75. P2 09:06
    SHOT
    Auston Matthews shot blocked by teammate
  76. P2 09:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf
  77. P2 08:32
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
  78. P2 08:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  79. P2 08:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Dustin Wolf
  80. P2 08:11
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
  81. P2 08:11
    Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Misconduct
  82. P2 07:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Joseph Woll
  83. P2 07:53
    Max Domi won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  84. P2 07:51
    SHOT
    Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Adam Klapka
  85. P2 07:29
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Klapka in neutral zone
  86. P2 07:17
    Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
  87. P2 07:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  88. P2 06:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by William Nylander
  89. P2 06:37
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  90. P2 06:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Dustin Wolf
  91. P2 03:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Dustin Wolf
  92. P2 02:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Joel Farabee
  93. P2 02:23
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  94. P2 02:20
    SHOT
    Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Auston Matthews
  95. P2 02:06
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  96. P2 02:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Joseph Woll
  97. P2 01:20
    SHOT
    Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
  98. P2 00:43
    Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
  99. P2 00:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
  100. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  101. P1 18:48
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by teammate
  102. P1 18:45
    John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  103. P1 18:45
    Stoppage - Icing
  104. P1 16:55
    Martin Pospisil credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
  105. P1 16:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
  106. P1 15:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Lomberg
  107. P1 12:56
    John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  108. P1 12:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  109. P1 12:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Dustin Wolf
  110. P1 10:43
    Giveaway by Matias Maccelli in offensive zone
  111. P1 10:05
    Simon Benoit credited with hit on Connor Zary in defensive zone
  112. P1 09:48
    SHOT
    Yan Kuznetsov shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
  113. P1 08:52
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  114. P1 08:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Dustin Wolf
  115. P1 08:14
    Giveaway by Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  116. P1 08:00
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  117. P1 07:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Joseph Woll
  118. P1 06:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
  119. P1 06:15
    Martin Pospisil won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  120. P1 05:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Zary saved by Joseph Woll
  121. P1 05:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Joseph Woll
  122. P1 04:08
    SHOT
    Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Morgan Frost
  123. P1 03:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
  124. P1 03:30
    SHOT
    Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by teammate
  125. P1 03:12
    SHOT
    Morgan Frost shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  126. P1 03:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by MacKenzie Weegar
  127. P1 02:17
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Klapka in neutral zone
  128. P1 02:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Zary
  129. P1 01:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
  130. P1 01:34
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
  131. P1 01:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  132. P1 00:35
    GOAL
    Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by John Tavares
    1-0
  133. P1 00:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Joseph Woll
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Flames
22Shots on Goal30
62% Faceoff Win % 38%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins2
14Hits20
27 Shots Blocked 17
15Giveaways18
Maple LeafsTOR
FlamesCGY
22Shots on Goal30
62% Faceoff Win % 38%
0/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins2
14Hits20
27 Shots Blocked 17
15Giveaways18

Maple Leafs vs. Flames: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Flames
  • Date: Monday, February 2, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -120, Flames +105

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 50%
  • Flames: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 50%, while the Flames have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Flames predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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