Bruins vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bruins vs. Lightning NHL game on February 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Bruins
5
6
Raymond James Stadium
Lightning
Raymond James Stadium
TEAM123OTT
Bruins
3 2 0 0 5
Lightning
1 3 1 0 6
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Bruins
    0%
  • Lightning
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Bruins
3 2 0 0 5
Lightning
1 3 1 0 6
OT1 04:58 Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jeremy Swayman
OT1 04:27 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
OT1 04:07 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jeremy Swayman
OT1 03:59 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jeremy Swayman
OT1 03:13 Shot missed by Fraser Minten
OT1 02:10 Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jeremy Swayman
OT1 02:02 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
OT1 01:54 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
OT1 01:24 Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
OT1 00:40 Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 19:28 Shot on goal by Hampus Lindholm saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:56 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 17:42 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Marat Khusnutdinov
P3 16:11 Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jeremy Swayman
P3 15:36 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Morgan Geekie
P3 14:59 Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
P3 14:16 Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:04 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Matthew Poitras
P3 11:50 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Ryan McDonagh and Erik Cernak
P3 11:12 Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jeremy Swayman
Play by Play
  1. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  2. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Jake Guentzel on Jeremy Swayman
  3. SO
    Shootout attempt by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
  4. SO
    Shootout attempt by Gage Goncalves saved by Jeremy Swayman
  5. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  6. OT1 04:59
    Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  7. OT1 04:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jeremy Swayman
  8. OT1 04:35
    Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
  9. OT1 04:35
    Stoppage - Home Timeout
  10. OT1 04:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  11. OT1 04:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
  12. OT1 04:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jeremy Swayman
  13. OT1 04:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  14. OT1 03:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jeremy Swayman
  15. OT1 03:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  16. OT1 03:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Fraser Minten
  17. OT1 02:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jeremy Swayman
  18. OT1 02:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  19. OT1 01:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  20. OT1 01:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  21. OT1 00:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  22. OT1 00:18
    Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
  23. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  24. P3 19:54
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Morgan Geekie in offensive zone
  25. P3 19:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hampus Lindholm saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  26. P3 17:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Jeremy Swayman
  27. P3 17:42
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Marat Khusnutdinov
  28. P3 17:21
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
  29. P3 16:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jeremy Swayman
  30. P3 15:36
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Morgan Geekie
  31. P3 15:01
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Marat Khusnutdinov in defensive zone
  32. P3 14:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tanner Jeannot
  33. P3 14:53
    Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  34. P3 14:53
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  35. P3 14:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Pastrnak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  36. P3 13:04
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Matthew Poitras
  37. P3 11:50
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Ryan McDonagh and Erik Cernak
    5-5
  38. P3 11:14
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
  39. P3 11:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jeremy Swayman
  40. P3 10:20
    Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
  41. P3 09:44
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  42. P3 09:20
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  43. P3 08:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  44. P3 08:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Eyssimont
  45. P3 06:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marat Khusnutdinov
  46. P3 05:42
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Matthew Poitras
  47. P3 05:33
    Dominic James won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
  48. P3 05:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jeremy Swayman
  49. P3 04:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jeremy Swayman
  50. P3 02:04
    Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  51. P3 01:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  52. P3 00:38
    Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  53. P3 00:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  54. P3 00:00
    Fraser Minten won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  55. P2 19:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jeremy Swayman
  56. P2 19:56
    Stoppage - Icing
  57. P2 19:17
    Fraser Minten won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  58. P2 19:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
  59. P2 18:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  60. P2 18:25
    Penalty to Michael Eyssimont 2 minutes for Misconduct
  61. P2 18:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Andrew Peeke
  62. P2 17:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm
  63. P2 16:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
  64. P2 16:13
    Shorthanded - Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  65. P2 15:49
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Darren Raddysh
    5-3
  66. P2 15:45
    Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  67. P2 15:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  68. P2 15:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
  69. P2 15:10
    Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
  70. P2 15:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  71. P2 15:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  72. P2 14:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jeremy Swayman
  73. P2 14:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  74. P2 14:16
    Penalty to Tanner Jeannot 2 minutes for Interference
  75. P2 14:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  76. P2 14:03
    Power play - Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
  77. P2 13:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Crozier
  78. P2 13:37
    Fraser Minten won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  79. P2 12:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mark Kastelic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  80. P2 12:38
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mark Kastelic in offensive zone
  81. P2 11:55
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Fraser Minten saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  82. P2 11:01
    Sean Kuraly won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  83. P2 11:01
    Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Misconduct
  84. P2 11:01
    Penalty to Jeremy Swayman 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Andrei Vasilevskiy)
  85. P2 10:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jeremy Swayman
  86. P2 10:28
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in neutral zone
  87. P2 10:28
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  88. P2 10:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
  89. P2 09:07
    Shorthanded - Marat Khusnutdinov won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
  90. P2 09:07
    Penalty to Charlie McAvoy 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Pontus Holmberg)
  91. P2 08:53
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
  92. P2 08:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Jeannot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  93. P2 08:18
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Morgan Geekie assisted by David Pastrnak and Marat Khusnutdinov
    5-1
  94. P2 07:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jeremy Swayman
  95. P2 07:42
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Marat Khusnutdinov in offensive zone
  96. P2 07:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Jeremy Swayman
  97. P2 05:52
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Fraser Minten in defensive zone
  98. P2 05:15
    SHOT
    Dominic James shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
  99. P2 04:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  100. P2 04:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  101. P2 03:14
    Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Fraser Minten in offensive zone
  102. P2 02:22
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in neutral zone
  103. P2 01:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jeremy Swayman
  104. P2 01:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  105. P2 01:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Jeremy Swayman
  106. P2 01:35
    Mark Kastelic won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  107. P2 01:15
    Takeaway by Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
  108. P2 00:00
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
  109. P1 19:36
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Fraser Minten
  110. P1 19:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  111. P1 18:36
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in neutral zone
  112. P1 18:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jeremy Swayman
  113. P1 18:23
    Matthew Poitras won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
  114. P1 18:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Poitras saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  115. P1 18:03
    Matthew Poitras won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  116. P1 17:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Charlie McAvoy saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  117. P1 16:55
    Power play - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  118. P1 15:34
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Morgan Geekie assisted by Jonathan Aspirot
    2-1
  119. P1 15:05
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm
  120. P1 14:15
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm
  121. P1 14:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  122. P1 14:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Zadorov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  123. P1 13:38
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Sean Kuraly in offensive zone
  124. P1 13:38
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Rink Repair
  125. P1 13:18
    Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
  126. P1 12:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hampus Lindholm saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  127. P1 11:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Kuraly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  128. P1 11:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  129. P1 09:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt
  130. P1 07:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Geekie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  131. P1 07:48
    Bruins won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  132. P1 07:25
    SHOT
    David Pastrnak shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  133. P1 07:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  134. P1 07:12
    Morgan Geekie won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  135. P1 07:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  136. P1 06:48
    Stoppage - Net Dislodged Defensive Skater
  137. P1 05:08
    Marat Khusnutdinov won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  138. P1 05:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jeremy Swayman
  139. P1 05:02
    Penalty to Viktor Arvidsson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Ryan McDonagh)
  140. P1 04:57
    Power play - Fraser Minten won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  141. P1 03:28
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Marat Khusnutdinov in offensive zone
  142. P1 03:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  143. P1 02:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Viktor Arvidsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  144. P1 02:19
    Stoppage - Icing
  145. P1 00:11
    Marat Khusnutdinov won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  146. P1 00:00
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Fraser Minten in neutral zone
  147. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Bruins
STATS
Lightning
34Shots on Goal46
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 8/3
25Penalty Infraction Mins15
20Hits22
19 Shots Blocked 12
14Giveaways19
BruinsBOS
LightningTB
34Shots on Goal46
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 8/3
25Penalty Infraction Mins15
20Hits22
19 Shots Blocked 12
14Giveaways19

Bruins vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Bruins vs. Lightning
  • Date: Sunday, February 1, 2026
  • Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Raymond James Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Bruins +185, Lightning -210

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Bruins: 37%
  • Lightning: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bruins a win probability of 37%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Bruins in the NHL game at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Bruins vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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