Canadiens vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Sabres NHL game on January 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Canadiens
4
2
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123T
Canadiens
1 0 3 4
Sabres
0 2 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canadiens
    100%
  • Sabres
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Canadiens
1 0 3 4
Sabres
0 2 0 2
P3 19:47 Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 18:05 Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Phillip Danault
P3 16:34 Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 15:26 Shot missed by Zach Benson
P3 14:52 Jack Quinn shot blocked by Ivan Demidov
P3 14:43 Jason Zucker shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 14:09 Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:00 Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P3 13:59 Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:20 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 13:01 Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Kirby Dach
P3 11:33 Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 11:31 Bowen Byram shot blocked by teammate
P3 11:13 Owen Power shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 08:00 Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 04:12 Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P3 02:10 Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 01:15 Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 01:13 Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
P3 01:11 Shot missed by Noah Dobson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:58
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  3. P3 19:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Zucker
  4. P3 19:45
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  5. P3 19:22
    Stoppage - Icing
  6. P3 19:12
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  7. P3 18:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  8. P3 18:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Phillip Danault
  9. P3 17:26
    Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  10. P3 16:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jakub Dobes
  11. P3 16:24
    Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  12. P3 16:24
    Penalty to Kirby Dach 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Bowen Byram)
  13. P3 15:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Benson
  14. P3 14:52
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Ivan Demidov
  15. P3 14:43
    SHOT
    Jason Zucker shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  16. P3 14:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jakub Dobes
  17. P3 14:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  18. P3 13:59
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
  19. P3 13:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
  20. P3 13:01
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Kirby Dach
  21. P3 11:57
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  22. P3 11:49
    Giveaway by Jake Evans in neutral zone
  23. P3 11:39
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  24. P3 11:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jakub Dobes
  25. P3 11:31
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by teammate
  26. P3 11:13
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  27. P3 10:13
    Canadiens won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  28. P3 08:50
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  29. P3 08:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
  30. P3 07:48
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
  31. P3 07:48
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  32. P3 07:48
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
  33. P3 05:36
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  34. P3 05:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  35. P3 04:19
    Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Ivan Demidov in defensive zone
  36. P3 04:14
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  37. P3 04:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  38. P3 03:38
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  39. P3 02:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
  40. P3 01:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  41. P3 01:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  42. P3 01:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Dobson
  43. P3 00:44
    Juraj Slafkovský won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  44. P3 00:27
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  45. P3 00:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Alex Lyon
  46. P3 00:00
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  47. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  48. P2 19:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Alex Lyon
  49. P2 19:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lane Hutson
  50. P2 18:58
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  51. P2 18:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Noah Ostlund
  52. P2 18:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  53. P2 18:35
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
  54. P2 17:51
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Alex Lyon
  55. P2 17:47
    Power play - Giveaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
  56. P2 17:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Josh Doan
  57. P2 16:58
    Penalty to Lane Hutson 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Alex Tuch)
  58. P2 16:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
  59. P2 16:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Benson
  60. P2 14:21
    Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
  61. P2 14:21
    Penalty to Noah Dobson 2 minutes for High Sticking
  62. P2 14:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jakub Dobes
  63. P2 13:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Alex Lyon
  64. P2 12:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Dobson
  65. P2 12:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Doan
  66. P2 11:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Kapanen
  67. P2 11:00
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone
  68. P2 11:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  69. P2 10:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  70. P2 10:20
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  71. P2 10:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jakub Dobes
  72. P2 09:44
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  73. P2 09:30
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Owen Power
  74. P2 09:16
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  75. P2 09:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  76. P2 09:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Kesselring
  77. P2 08:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
  78. P2 07:36
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  79. P2 07:35
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  80. P2 07:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
  81. P2 06:22
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  82. P2 06:21
    SHOT
    Noah Ostlund shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
  83. P2 05:59
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in neutral zone
  84. P2 05:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
  85. P2 05:26
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  86. P2 05:26
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  87. P2 04:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Oliver Kapanen shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  88. P2 04:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
  89. P2 03:42
    Power play - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  90. P2 03:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  91. P2 03:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Alex Lyon
  92. P2 02:46
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  93. P2 02:46
    Penalty to Ryan McLeod 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Kaiden Guhle)
  94. P2 02:23
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  95. P2 01:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jakub Dobes
  96. P2 00:58
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  97. P2 00:30
    Power play - Takeaway by Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
  98. P2 00:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Owen Power
  99. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  100. P1 19:33
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Beck Malenstyn in offensive zone
  101. P1 19:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  102. P1 19:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  103. P1 19:07
    Penalty to Bowen Byram 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Nick Suzuki)
  104. P1 19:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Alex Lyon
  105. P1 17:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
  106. P1 17:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Doan
  107. P1 17:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
  108. P1 17:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
  109. P1 16:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Alex Lyon
  110. P1 16:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
  111. P1 15:59
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  112. P1 15:59
    Stoppage - Icing
  113. P1 15:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Alex Lyon
  114. P1 14:26
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  115. P1 12:06
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Alex Tuch in defensive zone
  116. P1 11:48
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  117. P1 11:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  118. P1 11:41
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
  119. P1 11:41
    Stoppage - Icing
  120. P1 11:20
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  121. P1 11:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  122. P1 10:24
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  123. P1 10:24
    Stoppage - Offside
  124. P1 10:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Alex Lyon
  125. P1 09:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Alex Lyon
  126. P1 09:47
    SHOT
    Josh Anderson shot blocked by teammate
  127. P1 08:18
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
  128. P1 07:32
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  129. P1 07:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  130. P1 07:11
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  131. P1 07:11
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  132. P1 06:18
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
  133. P1 06:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  134. P1 05:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  135. P1 05:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jakub Dobes
  136. P1 03:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jakub Dobes
  137. P1 03:33
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  138. P1 02:51
    Giveaway by Alex Tuch in offensive zone
  139. P1 02:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  140. P1 02:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Jakub Dobes
  141. P1 01:57
    Giveaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
  142. P1 01:22
    Noah Ostlund credited with hit on Juraj Slafkovský in neutral zone
  143. P1 01:09
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  144. P1 00:08
    Kirby Dach credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
  145. P1 00:00
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Sabres
31Shots on Goal38
70% Faceoff Win % 30%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
29Hits24
20 Shots Blocked 7
13Giveaways16
CanadiensMTL
SabresBUF
31Shots on Goal38
70% Faceoff Win % 30%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
29Hits24
20 Shots Blocked 7
13Giveaways16

Canadiens vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Sabres
  • Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +110, Sabres -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 46%
  • Sabres: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 46%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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