Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on January 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Avalanche
4
1
Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena
TEAM123T
Avalanche
2 1 1 4
Maple Leafs
0 0 1 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Avalanche
    100%
  • Maple Leafs
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Avalanche
2 1 1 4
Maple Leafs
0 0 1 1
P3 19:09 Shot on goal by Taylor Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P3 16:43 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 16:36 Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P3 16:32 Cale Makar shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 16:23 Cale Makar shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 15:44 Martin Necas shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P3 14:59 Matias Maccelli shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:46 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 13:20 Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P3 13:16 Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
P3 12:56 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 12:18 Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 10:48 Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 08:36 Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 08:06 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 06:03 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 05:55 Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Josh Manson
P3 03:44 Shot missed by Parker Kelly
P3 03:29 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
P3 01:47 Jack Drury shot blocked by Simon Benoit
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Taylor Makar saved by Joseph Woll
  3. P3 18:58
    Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  4. P3 18:25
    Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
  5. P3 18:25
    Sam Malinski won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
  6. P3 18:22
    Zakhar Bardakov won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
  7. P3 17:41
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  8. P3 17:17
    Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  9. P3 16:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  10. P3 16:40
    John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  11. P3 16:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  12. P3 16:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  13. P3 16:34
    Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  14. P3 16:32
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Auston Matthews
  15. P3 16:23
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Auston Matthews
  16. P3 15:44
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Matthew Knies
  17. P3 14:59
    SHOT
    Matias Maccelli shot blocked by teammate
  18. P3 14:56
    John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  19. P3 14:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  20. P3 13:36
    Jacob Quillan credited with hit on Victor Olofsson in offensive zone
  21. P3 13:27
    Jake McCabe credited with hit on Martin Necas in defensive zone
  22. P3 13:23
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  23. P3 13:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  24. P3 13:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
  25. P3 13:18
    Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  26. P3 13:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
  27. P3 13:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  28. P3 12:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
  29. P3 12:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  30. P3 10:48
    SHOT
    Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  31. P3 08:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  32. P3 08:07
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  33. P3 08:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  34. P3 08:03
    Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  35. P3 07:52
    Stoppage - Icing
  36. P3 07:39
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Parker Kelly in neutral zone
  37. P3 06:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  38. P3 05:57
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  39. P3 05:55
    SHOT
    Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Josh Manson
  40. P3 04:39
    Matias Maccelli credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in defensive zone
  41. P3 03:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Parker Kelly
  42. P3 03:38
    Joel Kiviranta credited with hit on Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
  43. P3 03:31
    Zakhar Bardakov won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  44. P3 03:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Joseph Woll
  45. P3 02:46
    Josh Manson credited with hit on Bobby McMann in defensive zone
  46. P3 02:27
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Maple Leafs in defensive zone
  47. P3 02:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  48. P3 02:21
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Parker Kelly in offensive zone
  49. P3 01:47
    SHOT
    Jack Drury shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  50. P3 01:42
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
  51. P3 01:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Ahcan saved by Joseph Woll
  52. P3 00:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Joseph Woll
  53. P3 00:35
    SHOT
    Victor Olofsson shot blocked by teammate
  54. P3 00:00
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  55. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  56. P2 19:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
  57. P2 18:53
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  58. P2 17:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Joseph Woll
  59. P2 17:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
  60. P2 17:09
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  61. P2 16:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
  62. P2 15:51
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  63. P2 15:43
    Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  64. P2 15:05
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  65. P2 15:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Joseph Woll
  66. P2 15:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Joseph Woll
  67. P2 14:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Joseph Woll
  68. P2 13:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artturi Lehkonen
  69. P2 12:59
    John Tavares won faceoff against Parker Kelly in offensive zone
  70. P2 12:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  71. P2 12:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Joseph Woll
  72. P2 12:19
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Scott Laughton in defensive zone
  73. P2 12:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  74. P2 11:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  75. P2 10:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Joseph Woll
  76. P2 10:38
    SHOT
    Jack Ahcan shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  77. P2 10:03
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  78. P2 10:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  79. P2 10:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Ahcan saved by Joseph Woll
  80. P2 08:56
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Zakhar Bardakov in defensive zone
  81. P2 08:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  82. P2 07:51
    John Tavares won faceoff against Jack Drury in defensive zone
  83. P2 07:13
    Josh Manson credited with hit on Simon Benoit in neutral zone
  84. P2 06:49
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  85. P2 06:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  86. P2 06:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
  87. P2 06:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  88. P2 05:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  89. P2 05:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  90. P2 05:13
    Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  91. P2 05:06
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  92. P2 04:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
  93. P2 03:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Joseph Woll
  94. P2 02:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
  95. P2 02:37
    SHOT
    Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Josh Manson
  96. P2 01:57
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  97. P2 01:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  98. P2 01:20
    Bobby McMann credited with hit on Josh Manson in offensive zone
  99. P2 01:04
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  100. P2 01:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Joseph Woll
  101. P2 00:53
    Josh Manson won faceoff against Maple Leafs in defensive zone
  102. P2 00:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  103. P2 00:10
    SHOT
    Auston Matthews shot blocked by Cale Makar
  104. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  105. P1 19:45
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  106. P1 19:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Joseph Woll
  107. P1 18:59
    John Tavares won faceoff against Zakhar Bardakov in defensive zone
  108. P1 18:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Joseph Woll
  109. P1 18:26
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Scott Laughton
  110. P1 18:17
    Avalanche won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  111. P1 18:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Cale Makar shot blocked by Nicolas Roy
  112. P1 18:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Joseph Woll
  113. P1 16:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
  114. P1 16:36
    Penalty to Simon Benoit 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Josh Manson)
  115. P1 16:00
    Martin Necas credited with hit on Jake McCabe in defensive zone
  116. P1 15:22
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  117. P1 15:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  118. P1 15:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  119. P1 14:18
    SHOT
    Simon Benoit shot blocked by Brock Nelson
  120. P1 13:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Joseph Woll
  121. P1 12:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
  122. P1 11:47
    Shorthanded - Jack Drury won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
  123. P1 11:47
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  124. P1 11:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  125. P1 11:26
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  126. P1 11:22
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  127. P1 11:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
  128. P1 11:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
  129. P1 10:34
    Penalty to Artturi Lehkonen 2 minutes for Slashing
  130. P1 10:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  131. P1 10:02
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  132. P1 08:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Manson
  133. P1 08:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  134. P1 07:31
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  135. P1 07:30
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brock Nelson assisted by Artturi Lehkonen and Valeri Nichushkin
    2-0
  136. P1 07:07
    John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  137. P1 07:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  138. P1 07:03
    SHOT
    Joel Kiviranta shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
  139. P1 06:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Kelly saved by Joseph Woll
  140. P1 06:19
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  141. P1 06:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  142. P1 06:01
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Maple Leafs in offensive zone
  143. P1 05:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Malinski saved by Joseph Woll
  144. P1 05:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Avalanche saved by Joseph Woll
  145. P1 05:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  146. P1 04:44
    Valeri Nichushkin credited with hit on Simon Benoit in defensive zone
  147. P1 04:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Benoit
  148. P1 04:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  149. P1 03:09
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Parker Kelly in offensive zone
  150. P1 03:09
    Stoppage - Icing
  151. P1 02:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Penalty Benches
  152. P1 02:43
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Parker Kelly in defensive zone
  153. P1 02:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Joseph Woll
  154. P1 02:39
    SHOT
    Taylor Makar shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  155. P1 01:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Troy Stecher
  156. P1 01:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
  157. P1 00:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  158. P1 00:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Laughton
  159. P1 00:16
    Stoppage - Icing
  160. P1 00:09
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  161. P1 00:04
    Giveaway by Oliver Ekman-Larsson in neutral zone
  162. P1 00:00
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
Stats
Avalanche
STATS
Maple Leafs
37Shots on Goal33
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
14Hits28
8 Shots Blocked 16
17Giveaways14
AvalancheCOL
Maple LeafsTOR
37Shots on Goal33
44% Faceoff Win % 56%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
14Hits28
8 Shots Blocked 16
17Giveaways14

Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
  • Time: 1:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Avalanche -170, Maple Leafs +150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Avalanche: 60%
  • Maple Leafs: 40%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 60%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 40%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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