Golden Knights vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Senators NHL game on January 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Golden Knights
1
7
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 0 1 1
Senators
1 3 3 7
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Golden Knights
    0%
  • Senators
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
0 0 1 1
Senators
1 3 3 7
P3 18:33 Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Adin Hill
P3 17:50 Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Adin Hill
P3 16:53 Shot missed by Mark Stone
P3 15:05 Goal scored by Rasmus Andersson assisted by Tomas Hertl and Jonas Rondbjerg
P3 14:21 Shot on goal by Ben Hutton saved by Mads Sogaard
P3 14:03 Ben Hutton shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 13:00 Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Adin Hill
P3 11:06 Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Adin Hill
P3 11:04 Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:49 Power play - Shot missed by Ridly Greig
P3 08:11 Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Adin Hill
P3 07:49 Power play - Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Adin Hill
P3 06:05 Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P3 05:54 Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 05:52 Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Mads Sogaard
P3 05:00 Jordan Spence shot blocked by Cole Reinhardt
P3 03:46 Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Adin Hill
P3 03:07 Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Mads Sogaard
P3 01:59 Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Adin Hill
P3 00:16 Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:39
    Giveaway by Lars Eller in offensive zone
  3. P3 18:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Adin Hill
  4. P3 17:53
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Tanner Laczynski in neutral zone
  5. P3 17:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Adin Hill
  6. P3 16:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mark Stone
  7. P3 15:05
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  8. P3 15:05
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Rasmus Andersson assisted by Tomas Hertl and Jonas Rondbjerg
    1-7
  9. P3 14:52
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
  10. P3 14:23
    Tanner Laczynski won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  11. P3 14:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  12. P3 14:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Hutton saved by Mads Sogaard
  13. P3 14:03
    SHOT
    Ben Hutton shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  14. P3 13:04
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  15. P3 13:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. P3 13:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Adin Hill
  17. P3 12:10
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  18. P3 11:11
    Giveaway by Reilly Smith in defensive zone
  19. P3 11:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Adin Hill
  20. P3 11:04
    SHOT
    Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by teammate
  21. P3 10:55
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  22. P3 09:48
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Tanner Laczynski in defensive zone
  23. P3 08:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  24. P3 08:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Adin Hill
  25. P3 07:50
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  26. P3 07:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Adin Hill
  27. P3 07:27
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  28. P3 07:19
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  29. P3 07:19
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  30. P3 06:09
    Nick Cousins credited with hit on Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  31. P3 06:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  32. P3 05:54
    SHOT
    Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  33. P3 05:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Mads Sogaard
  34. P3 05:00
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Cole Reinhardt
  35. P3 04:57
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Tanner Laczynski in offensive zone
  36. P3 04:06
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
  37. P3 03:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Adin Hill
  38. P3 03:09
    Mark Stone won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  39. P3 03:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  40. P3 03:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Mads Sogaard
  41. P3 02:05
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Tanner Laczynski in neutral zone
  42. P3 02:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  43. P3 01:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Adin Hill
  44. P3 01:08
    Giveaway by Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  45. P3 00:56
    Giveaway by Jeremy Lauzon in neutral zone
  46. P3 00:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Andersson
  47. P3 00:00
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  48. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  49. P2 19:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Adin Hill
  50. P2 18:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Adin Hill
  51. P2 17:50
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  52. P2 17:50
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Stephen Halliday assisted by Tim Stutzle and Claude Giroux
    0-4
  53. P2 16:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Adin Hill
  54. P2 16:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
  55. P2 16:10
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  56. P2 15:58
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  57. P2 15:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
  58. P2 15:45
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Shea Theodore
  59. P2 15:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Mads Sogaard
  60. P2 14:51
    SHOT
    Jeremy Lauzon shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  61. P2 14:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jeremy Lauzon saved by Mads Sogaard
  62. P2 14:27
    SHOT
    Jeremy Lauzon shot blocked by teammate
  63. P2 14:25
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  64. P2 14:02
    Giveaway by Mads Sogaard in defensive zone
  65. P2 13:39
    Mitch Marner credited with hit on Artem Zub in offensive zone
  66. P2 13:36
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  67. P2 13:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  68. P2 12:46
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by teammate
  69. P2 12:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Adin Hill
  70. P2 12:26
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  71. P2 12:23
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
  72. P2 12:20
    SHOT
    Cole Reinhardt shot blocked by teammate
  73. P2 11:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Stephen Halliday
  74. P2 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Claude Giroux
  75. P2 10:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Adin Hill
  76. P2 09:52
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
  77. P2 09:42
    SHOT
    Ridly Greig shot blocked by Mitch Marner
  78. P2 09:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Adin Hill
  79. P2 08:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Adin Hill
  80. P2 08:00
    SHOT
    Stephen Halliday shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  81. P2 07:02
    Giveaway by Mark Stone in neutral zone
  82. P2 06:43
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
  83. P2 06:40
    SHOT
    Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
  84. P2 06:07
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Claude Giroux in neutral zone
  85. P2 06:07
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jordan Spence assisted by Tyler Kleven and Brady Tkachuk
    0-3
  86. P2 06:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Adin Hill
  87. P2 05:51
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  88. P2 05:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  89. P2 05:10
    Giveaway by Stephen Halliday in offensive zone
  90. P2 04:19
    SHOT
    Shane Pinto shot blocked by Mark Stone
  91. P2 02:49
    Takeaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  92. P2 02:09
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Reilly Smith in defensive zone
  93. P2 02:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  94. P2 01:58
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
  95. P2 01:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jack Eichel
  96. P2 01:28
    Shorthanded - Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  97. P2 00:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mark Stone
  98. P2 00:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Mads Sogaard
  99. P2 00:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Mads Sogaard
  100. P2 00:00
    Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  101. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  102. P1 19:59
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  103. P1 19:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  104. P1 19:46
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  105. P1 18:55
    Shorthanded - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
  106. P1 16:58
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  107. P1 16:58
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  108. P1 16:28
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  109. P1 16:24
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  110. P1 16:23
    Reilly Smith won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  111. P1 15:11
    Takeaway by Mark Stone in defensive zone
  112. P1 15:06
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Ivan Barbashev
  113. P1 14:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  114. P1 13:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Hutton saved by Mads Sogaard
  115. P1 12:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Reilly Smith saved by Mads Sogaard
  116. P1 11:55
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Ivan Barbashev
  117. P1 10:42
    SHOT
    Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  118. P1 10:20
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Drake Batherson in offensive zone
  119. P1 09:25
    Tanner Laczynski won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  120. P1 08:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  121. P1 07:06
    Giveaway by Nick Cousins in offensive zone
  122. P1 07:06
    Giveaway by Rasmus Andersson in defensive zone
  123. P1 06:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Cousins
  124. P1 06:42
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  125. P1 06:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  126. P1 06:12
    SHOT
    Shea Theodore shot blocked by Stephen Halliday
  127. P1 06:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Mads Sogaard
  128. P1 05:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
  129. P1 05:43
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  130. P1 05:38
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Ben Hutton
  131. P1 05:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Adin Hill
  132. P1 04:49
    SHOT
    Drake Batherson shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
  133. P1 04:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  134. P1 04:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Adin Hill
  135. P1 02:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Claude Giroux
  136. P1 02:20
    Jordan Spence credited with hit on Jonas Rondbjerg in neutral zone
  137. P1 01:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Mads Sogaard
  138. P1 01:36
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  139. P1 01:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mitch Marner
  140. P1 01:25
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  141. P1 01:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Adin Hill
  142. P1 00:00
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  143. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Golden Knights
STATS
Senators
20Shots on Goal31
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
20Hits34
16 Shots Blocked 19
14Giveaways10
Golden KnightsVGK
SenatorsOTT
20Shots on Goal31
55% Faceoff Win % 45%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
20Hits34
16 Shots Blocked 19
14Giveaways10

Golden Knights vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Golden Knights vs. Senators
  • Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Golden Knights favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights -145, Senators +126

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Golden Knights: 55%
  • Senators: 45%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 55%, while the Senators have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Golden Knights vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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