Capitals vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Oilers NHL game on January 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Capitals
5
6
Rogers Place
Oilers
Rogers Place
TEAM123OTT
Capitals
1 2 2 0 5
Oilers
1 1 3 1 6
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Capitals
    0%
  • Oilers
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Capitals
1 2 2 0 5
Oilers
1 1 3 1 6
OT1 00:46 Goal scored by Connor McDavid
OT1 00:25 Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 19:32 Goal scored by Zach Hyman
P3 19:19 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 18:31 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Nic Dowd
P3 18:27 Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
P3 15:20 Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 15:03 John Carlson shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 13:54 Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 12:58 Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 11:08 Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 10:32 Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P3 09:26 Shot missed by Curtis Lazar
P3 08:58 Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 08:31 Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P3 08:22 Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 07:35 Matt Roy shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:40 Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Strome assisted by Jakob Chychrun
P3 06:05 Shorthanded - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 03:28 Shot missed by Isaac Howard
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 00:47
    Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  3. OT1 00:46
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Connor McDavid
    5-6
  4. OT1 00:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
  5. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  6. P3 19:46
    Curtis Lazar credited with hit on Matt Roy in offensive zone
  7. P3 19:32
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Zach Hyman
    5-5
  8. P3 19:28
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Trent Frederic in neutral zone
  9. P3 19:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Charlie Lindgren
  10. P3 18:31
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Nic Dowd
  11. P3 18:27
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
  12. P3 16:28
    Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  13. P3 15:20
    SHOT
    Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
  14. P3 15:09
    Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  15. P3 15:03
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  16. P3 13:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  17. P3 13:36
    Shorthanded - Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  18. P3 12:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Tristan Jarry
  19. P3 12:27
    Takeaway by Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
  20. P3 11:39
    Justin Sourdif credited with hit on Vasily Podkolzin in defensive zone
  21. P3 11:11
    Vasily Podkolzin won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
  22. P3 11:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Charlie Lindgren
  23. P3 11:00
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  24. P3 11:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  25. P3 10:40
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  26. P3 10:34
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  27. P3 10:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  28. P3 10:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Strome
  29. P3 10:15
    Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  30. P3 10:15
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  31. P3 09:29
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  32. P3 09:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  33. P3 09:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Curtis Lazar
  34. P3 08:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  35. P3 08:33
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
  36. P3 08:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Strome
  37. P3 08:24
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
  38. P3 08:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
  39. P3 07:35
    SHOT
    Matt Roy shot blocked by teammate
  40. P3 07:34
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
  41. P3 07:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  42. P3 06:48
    Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  43. P3 06:40
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in neutral zone
  44. P3 06:40
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Strome assisted by Jakob Chychrun
    4-3
  45. P3 06:05
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
  46. P3 05:37
    Giveaway by John Carlson in neutral zone
  47. P3 04:30
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  48. P3 03:58
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Matt Savoie in offensive zone
  49. P3 03:54
    Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  50. P3 03:47
    Takeaway by Jake Walman in defensive zone
  51. P3 03:38
    Giveaway by Tristan Jarry in defensive zone
  52. P3 03:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Isaac Howard
  53. P3 02:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
  54. P3 02:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
  55. P3 01:29
    Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in defensive zone
  56. P3 01:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
  57. P3 00:54
    Power play - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  58. P3 00:54
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  59. P3 00:08
    Power play - Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  60. P3 00:00
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  61. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  62. P2 19:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Charlie Lindgren
  63. P2 18:57
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  64. P2 17:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Charlie Lindgren
  65. P2 17:26
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  66. P2 17:26
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  67. P2 17:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Charlie Lindgren
  68. P2 16:11
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  69. P2 14:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Duhaime saved by Tristan Jarry
  70. P2 14:29
    Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  71. P2 14:27
    SHOT
    Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Spencer Stastney
  72. P2 13:39
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  73. P2 12:20
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  74. P2 12:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  75. P2 11:53
    Giveaway by Alex Ovechkin in offensive zone
  76. P2 11:49
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  77. P2 11:48
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
  78. P2 11:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  79. P2 11:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Connor Ingram
  80. P2 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  81. P2 10:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McMichael
  82. P2 09:37
    SHOT
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by teammate
  83. P2 09:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Carlson
  84. P2 08:43
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by Connor McDavid
  85. P2 08:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Connor Ingram
  86. P2 08:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  87. P2 08:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Connor Ingram
  88. P2 08:11
    Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  89. P2 08:11
    Stoppage - Icing
  90. P2 06:58
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  91. P2 06:58
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  92. P2 06:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
  93. P2 06:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Charlie Lindgren
  94. P2 06:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Charlie Lindgren
  95. P2 05:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Zach Hyman shot blocked by John Carlson
  96. P2 05:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Zach Hyman
  97. P2 04:36
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  98. P2 04:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Savoie
  99. P2 04:13
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  100. P2 04:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Charlie Lindgren
  101. P2 02:26
    Shorthanded - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  102. P2 02:26
    Stoppage - Offside
  103. P2 00:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Connor Ingram
  104. P2 00:51
    SHOT
    Matt Roy shot blocked by Leon Draisaitl
  105. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  106. P1 19:53
    SHOT
    Ty Emberson shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  107. P1 19:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Trent Frederic
  108. P1 19:34
    Trent Frederic won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  109. P1 19:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  110. P1 19:12
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  111. P1 18:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
  112. P1 17:32
    Capitals won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  113. P1 17:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Charlie Lindgren
  114. P1 15:53
    Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
  115. P1 15:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  116. P1 14:30
    Capitals won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  117. P1 14:29
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
  118. P1 14:18
    SHOT
    Trent Frederic shot blocked by Ryan Leonard
  119. P1 13:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
  120. P1 12:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Charlie Lindgren
  121. P1 12:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Charlie Lindgren
  122. P1 10:39
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  123. P1 09:41
    Takeaway by Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
  124. P1 08:12
    Mattias Ekholm credited with hit on Ethen Frank in defensive zone
  125. P1 07:36
    Curtis Lazar credited with hit on Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  126. P1 06:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Isaac Howard saved by Charlie Lindgren
  127. P1 06:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Savoie
  128. P1 05:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Charlie Lindgren
  129. P1 03:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  130. P1 03:14
    Penalty to Vasily Podkolzin 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Martin Fehervary)
  131. P1 02:43
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  132. P1 01:58
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
  133. P1 01:56
    SHOT
    Spencer Stastney shot blocked by Alex Ovechkin
  134. P1 01:23
    Giveaway by Ryan Leonard in offensive zone
  135. P1 00:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  136. P1 00:38
    Giveaway by Vasily Podkolzin in defensive zone
  137. P1 00:33
    SHOT
    Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Ty Emberson
  138. P1 00:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Carlson
  139. P1 00:00
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Oilers
27Shots on Goal40
49% Faceoff Win % 51%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
12Penalty Infraction Mins10
8Hits11
17 Shots Blocked 18
16Giveaways21
CapitalsWSH
OilersEDM
27Shots on Goal40
49% Faceoff Win % 51%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
12Penalty Infraction Mins10
8Hits11
17 Shots Blocked 18
16Giveaways21

Capitals vs. Oilers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Oilers
  • Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Place

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals +158, Oilers -175

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 41%
  • Oilers: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 41%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Oilers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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