Penguins vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Kings NHL game on October 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Penguins
4
2
Crypto.com Arena
Kings
Crypto.com Arena
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 2 2 4
Kings
2 0 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    100%
  • Kings
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 2 2 4
Kings
2 0 0 2
P3 19:57 Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 19:30 Goal scored by Sidney Crosby assisted by Parker Wotherspoon and Erik Karlsson (Empty Net)
P3 19:30 Goal scored by Sidney Crosby
P3 19:14 Shot on goal by Adrian Kempe saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:39 Shot on goal by Adrian Kempe saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:30 Shot missed by Kevin Fiala
P3 17:58 Kevin Fiala shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 17:15 Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 17:13 Kevin Fiala shot blocked by Caleb Jones
P3 17:08 Quinton Byfield shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
P3 16:17 Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 15:50 Power play - Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
P3 15:15 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 14:04 Shot missed by Alex Laferriere
P3 12:54 Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 12:44 Alex Turcotte shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 12:00 Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 11:10 Shot on goal by Quinton Byfield saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 10:11 Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 08:54 Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Anton Forsberg
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Anton Forsberg
  3. P3 19:30
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Sidney Crosby assisted by Parker Wotherspoon and Erik Karlsson (Empty Net)
    4-2
  4. P3 19:30
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Alex Laferriere in neutral zone
  5. P3 19:30
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Sidney Crosby
    4-2
  6. P3 19:16
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in defensive zone
  7. P3 19:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  8. P3 19:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adrian Kempe saved by Arturs Silovs
  9. P3 18:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adrian Kempe saved by Arturs Silovs
  10. P3 18:35
    Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  11. P3 18:35
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  12. P3 18:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Fiala
  13. P3 17:58
    SHOT
    Kevin Fiala shot blocked by Kris Letang
  14. P3 17:15
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Alex Laferriere in defensive zone
  15. P3 17:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Anton Forsberg
  16. P3 17:15
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  17. P3 17:13
    SHOT
    Kevin Fiala shot blocked by Caleb Jones
  18. P3 17:08
    SHOT
    Quinton Byfield shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
  19. P3 16:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
  20. P3 15:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Justin Brazeau
  21. P3 15:17
    Power play - Thomas Novak won faceoff against Trevor Moore in defensive zone
  22. P3 15:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  23. P3 15:15
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Arturs Silovs
  24. P3 14:19
    Shorthanded - Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  25. P3 14:19
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  26. P3 14:19
    Penalty to Adrian Kempe 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Harrison Brunicke)
  27. P3 14:19
    Penguins won faceoff against Kings in neutral zone
  28. P3 14:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Laferriere
  29. P3 12:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Anton Forsberg
  30. P3 12:44
    SHOT
    Alex Turcotte shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  31. P3 12:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Arturs Silovs
  32. P3 11:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Quinton Byfield saved by Arturs Silovs
  33. P3 10:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Arturs Silovs
  34. P3 09:28
    Alex Laferriere credited with hit on Ryan Shea in neutral zone
  35. P3 09:24
    Alex Laferriere won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  36. P3 09:24
    Stoppage - Offside
  37. P3 08:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Anton Forsberg
  38. P3 08:08
    Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  39. P3 08:08
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  40. P3 07:35
    Evgeni Malkin credited with hit on Mikey Anderson in offensive zone
  41. P3 07:19
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Anthony Mantha in defensive zone
  42. P3 07:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  43. P3 07:04
    SHOT
    Alex Turcotte shot blocked by teammate
  44. P3 07:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Turcotte
  45. P3 06:50
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in neutral zone
  46. P3 06:48
    GOAL
    Shorthanded - Goal scored by Rickard Rakell
    3-2
  47. P3 06:46
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Drew Doughty
  48. P3 06:21
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Anton Forsberg
  49. P3 05:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Kevin Fiala
  50. P3 05:07
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Ryan Shea in defensive zone
  51. P3 05:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  52. P3 04:58
    Power play - Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  53. P3 04:58
    Penalty to Sidney Crosby 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Quinton Byfield)
  54. P3 04:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drew Doughty saved by Arturs Silovs
  55. P3 03:14
    Parker Wotherspoon credited with hit on Adrian Kempe in defensive zone
  56. P3 03:04
    Drew Doughty credited with hit on Philip Tomasino in defensive zone
  57. P3 02:44
    Alex Laferriere credited with hit on Filip Hallander in defensive zone
  58. P3 02:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Philip Tomasino
  59. P3 02:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  60. P3 02:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cody Ceci
  61. P3 02:07
    SHOT
    Mikey Anderson shot blocked by Anthony Mantha
  62. P3 02:01
    SHOT
    Warren Foegele shot blocked by teammate
  63. P3 01:31
    Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in offensive zone
  64. P3 01:30
    Giveaway by Drew Doughty in defensive zone
  65. P3 01:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drew Doughty saved by Arturs Silovs
  66. P3 00:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kris Letang
  67. P3 00:22
    SHOT
    Joel Edmundson shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  68. P3 00:17
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Adrian Kempe in defensive zone
  69. P3 00:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  70. P3 00:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adrian Kempe saved by Arturs Silovs
  71. P3 00:00
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  72. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  73. P2 19:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Anton Forsberg
  74. P2 19:32
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Alex Laferriere in neutral zone
  75. P2 19:32
    Stoppage - Offside
  76. P2 18:53
    Jeff Malott credited with hit on Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
  77. P2 18:38
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in defensive zone
  78. P2 18:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  79. P2 18:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Quinton Byfield saved by Arturs Silovs
  80. P2 18:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Quinton Byfield
  81. P2 17:47
    Power play - Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Filip Hallander in defensive zone
  82. P2 17:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  83. P2 17:45
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Anton Forsberg
  84. P2 17:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Drew Doughty shot blocked by Caleb Jones
  85. P2 16:20
    Power play - Giveaway by Kevin Fiala in offensive zone
  86. P2 16:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Adrian Kempe
  87. P2 16:11
    Power play - Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  88. P2 15:42
    SHOT
    Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Quinton Byfield
  89. P2 15:14
    Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  90. P2 15:14
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  91. P2 13:58
    SHOT
    Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  92. P2 13:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Arturs Silovs
  93. P2 12:52
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in offensive zone
  94. P2 12:52
    SHOT
    Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Adrian Kempe
  95. P2 12:52
    Stoppage - Icing
  96. P2 12:39
    SHOT
    Mikey Anderson shot blocked by Justin Brazeau
  97. P2 11:24
    Blake Lizotte credited with hit on Joel Edmundson in offensive zone
  98. P2 11:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Filip Hallander
  99. P2 11:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Filip Hallander saved by Anton Forsberg
  100. P2 11:01
    SHOT
    Noel Acciari shot blocked by Adrian Kempe
  101. P2 10:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Anton Forsberg
  102. P2 10:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Turcotte
  103. P2 09:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Arturs Silovs
  104. P2 08:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kevin Fiala saved by Arturs Silovs
  105. P2 08:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Quinton Byfield saved by Arturs Silovs
  106. P2 08:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Quinton Byfield
  107. P2 08:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Quinton Byfield saved by Arturs Silovs
  108. P2 08:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Anton Forsberg
  109. P2 07:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
  110. P2 07:18
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Samuel Helenius in neutral zone
  111. P2 07:18
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Connor Dewar
    2-2
  112. P2 07:10
    Alex Laferriere credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone
  113. P2 06:46
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in defensive zone
  114. P2 06:46
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  115. P2 06:37
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
  116. P2 06:37
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin
    1-2
  117. P2 05:48
    Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  118. P2 05:48
    Penalty to Quinton Byfield 2 minutes for Misconduct
  119. P2 05:48
    Stoppage - Offside
  120. P2 05:22
    SHOT
    Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
  121. P2 05:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adrian Kempe saved by Arturs Silovs
  122. P2 04:39
    Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in neutral zone
  123. P2 04:13
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Samuel Helenius
  124. P2 03:34
    SHOT
    Connor Dewar shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
  125. P2 03:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Shea saved by Anton Forsberg
  126. P2 03:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Anton Forsberg
  127. P2 02:09
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  128. P2 02:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  129. P2 02:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Philip Tomasino
  130. P2 01:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Fiala
  131. P2 01:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Quinton Byfield saved by Arturs Silovs
  132. P2 00:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Arturs Silovs
  133. P2 00:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Edmundson saved by Arturs Silovs
  134. P2 00:00
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  135. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  136. P1 19:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Anton Forsberg
  137. P1 19:54
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  138. P1 19:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  139. P1 18:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kris Letang
  140. P1 18:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Anton Forsberg
  141. P1 18:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Anton Forsberg
  142. P1 18:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Arturs Silovs
  143. P1 18:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Edmundson saved by Arturs Silovs
  144. P1 16:42
    Warren Foegele credited with hit on Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
  145. P1 16:39
    Giveaway by Trevor Moore in defensive zone
  146. P1 16:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brian Dumoulin saved by Arturs Silovs
  147. P1 16:17
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  148. P1 16:17
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  149. P1 15:57
    Samuel Helenius won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  150. P1 15:57
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  151. P1 15:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adrian Kempe
  152. P1 15:38
    Adrian Kempe won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  153. P1 15:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  154. P1 15:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drew Doughty saved by Arturs Silovs
  155. P1 15:25
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  156. P1 15:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  157. P1 15:17
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  158. P1 15:17
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  159. P1 15:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Armia saved by Arturs Silovs
  160. P1 14:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Anton Forsberg
  161. P1 14:09
    SHOT
    Noel Acciari shot blocked by Mikey Anderson
  162. P1 13:49
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
  163. P1 13:49
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  164. P1 11:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Shea
  165. P1 11:44
    Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in offensive zone
  166. P1 11:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Lizotte saved by Anton Forsberg
  167. P1 11:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Trevor Moore
  168. P1 10:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Anton Forsberg
  169. P1 09:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  170. P1 09:16
    Penguins won faceoff against Kings in neutral zone
  171. P1 09:04
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  172. P1 09:04
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Kevin Fiala
    0-2
  173. P1 09:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Quinton Byfield saved by Arturs Silovs
  174. P1 07:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noel Acciari
  175. P1 07:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Anton Forsberg
  176. P1 07:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Anton Forsberg
  177. P1 07:12
    SHOT
    Brian Dumoulin shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
  178. P1 06:36
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  179. P1 06:36
    Stoppage - Icing
  180. P1 06:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Harrison Brunicke
  181. P1 04:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Joel Armia
  182. P1 04:24
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in neutral zone
  183. P1 04:24
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Warren Foegele
    0-1
  184. P1 04:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Arturs Silovs
  185. P1 04:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Turcotte saved by Arturs Silovs
  186. P1 03:45
    SHOT
    Filip Hallander shot blocked by Joel Edmundson
  187. P1 03:22
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Joel Edmundson
  188. P1 03:20
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  189. P1 03:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  190. P1 02:03
    Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  191. P1 02:03
    Stoppage - Offside
  192. P1 01:52
    Samuel Helenius credited with hit on Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  193. P1 01:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drew Doughty saved by Arturs Silovs
  194. P1 01:42
    Alex Laferriere won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  195. P1 01:42
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  196. P1 01:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Arturs Silovs
  197. P1 01:03
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Warren Foegele in neutral zone
  198. P1 01:03
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  199. P1 00:00
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
  200. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Kings
26Shots on Goal32
39% Faceoff Win % 61%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
13Hits23
15 Shots Blocked 10
15Giveaways16
PenguinsPIT
KingsLA
26Shots on Goal32
39% Faceoff Win % 61%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
13Hits23
15 Shots Blocked 10
15Giveaways16

Penguins vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Kings
  • Date: Thursday, October 16, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Kings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +170, Kings -200

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 37%
  • Kings: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 37%, while the Kings have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Kings are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Crypto.com Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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