Panthers vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Panthers vs. Capitals NHL game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
NHL
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NHL sport icon
NHL
Panthers
5
2
Capital One Arena
Capitals
Capital One Arena
TEAM123T
Panthers
1 2 2 5
Capitals
0 2 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Panthers
    100%
  • Capitals
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Panthers
1 2 2 5
Capitals
0 2 0 2
P3 19:27 Goal scored by Carter Verhaeghe assisted by Sam Bennett and A.J. Greer (Empty Net)
P3 18:55 Shot on goal by Panthers saved by Logan Thompson
P3 16:16 Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 14:45 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Anton Lundell
P3 14:25 Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
P3 14:06 Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Logan Thompson
P3 12:31 Ivan Miroshnichenko shot blocked by Aaron Ekblad
P3 11:35 Shot missed by Jeff Petry
P3 11:06 Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 10:14 Power play - Shot missed by Sam Bennett
P3 09:45 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 09:27 Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Logan Thompson
P3 09:08 Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Logan Thompson
P3 07:21 Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Logan Thompson
P3 07:09 Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by teammate
P3 02:18 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Daniil Tarasov
P3 02:05 Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Uvis Balinskis
P3 00:20 Aaron Ekblad shot blocked by teammate
P2 19:32 Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Ivan Miroshnichenko
P2 19:12 Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Daniil Tarasov
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:27
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Carter Verhaeghe assisted by Sam Bennett and A.J. Greer (Empty Net)
    5-2
  3. P3 19:26
    Brett Leason won faceoff against Luke Kunin in neutral zone
  4. P3 18:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Panthers saved by Logan Thompson
  5. P3 18:35
    Giveaway by Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  6. P3 17:26
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
  7. P3 17:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  8. P3 16:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Daniil Tarasov
  9. P3 15:37
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
  10. P3 15:37
    Stoppage - Icing
  11. P3 14:45
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Anton Lundell
  12. P3 14:29
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
  13. P3 14:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  14. P3 14:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Logan Thompson
  15. P3 13:52
    Sam Bennett won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  16. P3 12:35
    Anton Lundell won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  17. P3 12:31
    SHOT
    Ivan Miroshnichenko shot blocked by Aaron Ekblad
  18. P3 11:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jeff Petry
  19. P3 11:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Daniil Tarasov
  20. P3 10:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Sam Bennett
  21. P3 09:45
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Daniil Tarasov
  22. P3 09:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Logan Thompson
  23. P3 09:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  24. P3 09:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Logan Thompson
  25. P3 08:30
    Panthers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  26. P3 07:54
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
  27. P3 07:54
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  28. P3 07:23
    Sam Bennett won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  29. P3 07:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Logan Thompson
  30. P3 07:11
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Anton Lundell in offensive zone
  31. P3 07:09
    SHOT
    Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by teammate
  32. P3 04:16
    Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Sandis Vilmanis in neutral zone
  33. P3 04:04
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
  34. P3 04:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  35. P3 03:00
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  36. P3 02:37
    Giveaway by Sam Reinhart in defensive zone
  37. P3 02:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Daniil Tarasov
  38. P3 02:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Uvis Balinskis
  39. P3 01:33
    Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  40. P3 00:23
    Panthers won faceoff against Capitals in defensive zone
  41. P3 00:22
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in offensive zone
  42. P3 00:20
    SHOT
    Aaron Ekblad shot blocked by teammate
  43. P3 00:17
    Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  44. P3 00:00
    Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  45. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  46. P2 19:32
    SHOT
    Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Ivan Miroshnichenko
  47. P2 19:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Daniil Tarasov
  48. P2 16:35
    Anton Lundell won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
  49. P2 16:28
    Anton Lundell won faceoff against Ethen Frank in defensive zone
  50. P2 16:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Daniil Tarasov
  51. P2 15:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gustav Forsling
  52. P2 15:16
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
  53. P2 15:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Uvis Balinskis
  54. P2 14:31
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  55. P2 13:41
    Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Uvis Balinskis in offensive zone
  56. P2 13:35
    SHOT
    Matt Roy shot blocked by Sam Bennett
  57. P2 13:32
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
  58. P2 13:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
  59. P2 13:12
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  60. P2 13:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Capitals
  61. P2 12:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  62. P2 11:50
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sam Reinhart in neutral zone
  63. P2 11:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ethen Frank
  64. P2 11:40
    Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  65. P2 11:38
    SHOT
    Carter Verhaeghe shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  66. P2 11:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Niko Mikkola
  67. P2 10:46
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sam Bennett in offensive zone
  68. P2 10:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Daniil Tarasov
  69. P2 10:19
    SHOT
    Sam Bennett shot blocked by teammate
  70. P2 10:04
    Sam Bennett won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  71. P2 09:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Daniil Tarasov
  72. P2 09:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  73. P2 08:42
    Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  74. P2 08:11
    Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  75. P2 08:02
    SHOT
    Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Uvis Balinskis
  76. P2 07:51
    Brandon Duhaime won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
  77. P2 07:51
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  78. P2 06:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Logan Thompson
  79. P2 05:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  80. P2 04:36
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Luke Kunin in defensive zone
  81. P2 04:26
    Panthers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  82. P2 03:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Miroshnichenko
  83. P2 03:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anton Lundell saved by Logan Thompson
  84. P2 02:40
    SHOT
    Matt Roy shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
  85. P2 02:15
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in defensive zone
  86. P2 02:04
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
  87. P2 01:32
    Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  88. P2 01:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  89. P2 01:14
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
  90. P2 01:14
    Penalty to Nic Dowd 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Sam Bennett)
  91. P2 01:03
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
  92. P2 01:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  93. P2 00:00
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Anton Lundell in neutral zone
  94. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  95. P1 19:28
    Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  96. P1 19:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ethen Frank
  97. P1 18:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by A.J. Greer
  98. P1 18:51
    Panthers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  99. P1 18:51
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  100. P1 18:23
    Evan Rodrigues won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  101. P1 17:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  102. P1 16:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Luke Kunin saved by Logan Thompson
  103. P1 15:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  104. P1 15:22
    SHOT
    Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Niko Mikkola
  105. P1 15:20
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  106. P1 15:17
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Eetu Luostarinen
  107. P1 14:30
    Panthers won faceoff against Capitals in defensive zone
  108. P1 14:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Daniil Tarasov
  109. P1 13:23
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Evan Rodrigues in neutral zone
  110. P1 13:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by A.J. Greer
  111. P1 13:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Daniil Tarasov
  112. P1 12:48
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Connor McMichael
    0-1
  113. P1 12:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Roy
  114. P1 11:50
    Panthers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  115. P1 11:17
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mackie Samoskevich in defensive zone
  116. P1 11:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tobias Bjornfot saved by Logan Thompson
  117. P1 09:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Eetu Luostarinen saved by Logan Thompson
  118. P1 09:48
    SHOT
    Gustav Forsling shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  119. P1 09:18
    Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  120. P1 09:18
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  121. P1 07:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Carter Verhaeghe saved by Logan Thompson
  122. P1 07:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  123. P1 05:49
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Luke Kunin in offensive zone
  124. P1 05:39
    Giveaway by Niko Mikkola in defensive zone
  125. P1 05:18
    SHOT
    Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Nic Dowd
  126. P1 04:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Niko Mikkola
  127. P1 03:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Eetu Luostarinen
  128. P1 03:38
    Anton Lundell won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  129. P1 03:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  130. P1 03:18
    Luke Kunin won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
  131. P1 03:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  132. P1 02:48
    Jeff Petry credited with hit on Ivan Miroshnichenko in offensive zone
  133. P1 02:43
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mackie Samoskevich in defensive zone
  134. P1 02:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Bennett
  135. P1 02:33
    Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
  136. P1 02:04
    A.J. Greer credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
  137. P1 01:42
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Sam Bennett in defensive zone
  138. P1 01:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Reinhart
  139. P1 01:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anton Lundell
  140. P1 00:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Reinhart saved by Logan Thompson
  141. P1 00:26
    Giveaway by Ryan Leonard in offensive zone
  142. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Panthers
STATS
Capitals
31Shots on Goal24
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
23Hits29
8 Shots Blocked 18
15Giveaways20
PanthersFLA
CapitalsWSH
31Shots on Goal24
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
23Hits29
8 Shots Blocked 18
15Giveaways20

Panthers vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Panthers vs. Capitals
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Panthers +140, Capitals -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Panthers: 45%
  • Capitals: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Panthers a win probability of 45%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Panthers in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Panthers vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.