Canadiens vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Senators NHL game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Canadiens
6
5
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123OTT
Canadiens
2 1 2 1 6
Senators
0 4 1 0 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canadiens
    100%
  • Senators
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Canadiens
2 1 2 1 6
Senators
0 4 1 0 5
OT1 00:33 Goal scored by Cole Caufield assisted by Lane Hutson
OT1 00:28 Shot missed by Senators
P3 19:59 Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P3 19:52 Mike Matheson shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 18:21 Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 13:37 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 13:36 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 11:49 Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P3 11:33 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 11:31 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 11:22 Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:42 Shot missed by Nick Jensen
P3 10:17 Jordan Spence shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
P3 08:15 Shot missed by Lars Eller
P3 07:55 Goal scored by Jake Sanderson assisted by Ridly Greig
P3 07:47 Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Ridly Greig
P3 06:22 Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Leevi Merilainen
P3 05:46 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P3 04:24 Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P3 04:22 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Leevi Merilainen
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 00:33
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Cole Caufield assisted by Lane Hutson
    6-5
  3. OT1 00:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Senators
  4. P3 19:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
  5. P3 19:52
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  6. P3 19:36
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  7. P3 19:36
    Stoppage - Offside
  8. P3 18:23
    Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  9. P3 18:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Samuel Montembeault
  10. P3 16:41
    Canadiens won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  11. P3 15:36
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  12. P3 15:32
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  13. P3 15:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  14. P3 15:24
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  15. P3 15:24
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  16. P3 15:20
    Canadiens won faceoff against Senators in offensive zone
  17. P3 15:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  18. P3 15:01
    Canadiens won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  19. P3 15:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  20. P3 14:28
    Canadiens won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  21. P3 13:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
  22. P3 13:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
  23. P3 12:37
    Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Michael Amadio in offensive zone
  24. P3 12:33
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
  25. P3 12:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  26. P3 12:25
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
  27. P3 12:25
    Stoppage - Icing
  28. P3 11:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  29. P3 11:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
  30. P3 11:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Samuel Montembeault
  31. P3 11:22
    SHOT
    Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by teammate
  32. P3 10:58
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  33. P3 10:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Jensen
  34. P3 10:37
    Fabian Zetterlund credited with hit on Arber Xhekaj in offensive zone
  35. P3 10:17
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
  36. P3 09:53
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  37. P3 09:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  38. P3 08:50
    Mike Matheson credited with hit on Michael Amadio in neutral zone
  39. P3 08:44
    Josh Anderson credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
  40. P3 08:19
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  41. P3 08:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lars Eller
  42. P3 08:05
    Nick Cousins credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
  43. P3 07:55
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jake Sanderson assisted by Ridly Greig
    3-5
  44. P3 07:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Ridly Greig
  45. P3 06:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Leevi Merilainen
  46. P3 05:48
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  47. P3 05:46
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  48. P3 05:37
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  49. P3 05:37
    Stoppage - Icing
  50. P3 05:29
    Giveaway by Ivan Demidov in offensive zone
  51. P3 04:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  52. P3 04:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Leevi Merilainen
  53. P3 03:23
    Giveaway by Zachary Bolduc in defensive zone
  54. P3 03:17
    SHOT
    Jake Sanderson shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  55. P3 02:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  56. P3 02:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  57. P3 02:02
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Nick Cousins
  58. P3 01:53
    Brendan Gallagher credited with hit on Jordan Spence in offensive zone
  59. P3 01:46
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  60. P3 01:09
    Takeaway by Ivan Demidov in neutral zone
  61. P3 00:56
    Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
  62. P3 00:36
    Takeaway by Jake Sanderson in defensive zone
  63. P3 00:08
    Claude Giroux credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
  64. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  65. P2 19:36
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  66. P2 19:13
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  67. P2 19:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  68. P2 19:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Leevi Merilainen
  69. P2 18:24
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  70. P2 18:21
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  71. P2 18:00
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  72. P2 17:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  73. P2 17:10
    Canadiens won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  74. P2 16:28
    Joseph Veleno credited with hit on Artem Zub in neutral zone
  75. P2 16:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Samuel Montembeault
  76. P2 15:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Spence saved by Samuel Montembeault
  77. P2 15:31
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  78. P2 15:31
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Dylan Cozens assisted by Tim Stutzle and Jake Sanderson
    3-3
  79. P2 15:03
    Canadiens won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
  80. P2 15:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Samuel Montembeault
  81. P2 14:15
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  82. P2 13:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  83. P2 13:34
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
  84. P2 12:39
    Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  85. P2 12:02
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  86. P2 11:47
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Ridly Greig shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  87. P2 11:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
  88. P2 10:34
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Artem Zub in defensive zone
  89. P2 10:12
    Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
  90. P2 10:12
    Penalty to Nick Cousins 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Noah Dobson)
  91. P2 10:05
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  92. P2 09:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
  93. P2 09:44
    Stoppage - Icing
  94. P2 09:27
    Stoppage
  95. P2 09:13
    SHOT
    Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
  96. P2 08:14
    Nick Cousins credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
  97. P2 08:06
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  98. P2 08:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  99. P2 08:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  100. P2 07:37
    SHOT
    Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
  101. P2 06:50
    SHOT
    Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  102. P2 05:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lars Eller
  103. P2 04:58
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  104. P2 04:58
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  105. P2 04:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Anderson
  106. P2 04:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Leevi Merilainen
  107. P2 03:47
    Canadiens won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  108. P2 03:07
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  109. P2 03:05
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tim Stutzle assisted by Nick Cousins and Lars Eller
    2-2
  110. P2 02:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Samuel Montembeault
  111. P2 02:35
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  112. P2 01:22
    Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  113. P2 01:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Samuel Montembeault
  114. P2 01:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by teammate
  115. P2 00:42
    Canadiens won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  116. P2 00:39
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk
    2-1
  117. P2 00:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by teammate
  118. P2 00:00
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  119. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  120. P1 19:25
    Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  121. P1 18:03
    Josh Anderson credited with hit on Tyler Kleven in offensive zone
  122. P1 17:50
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  123. P1 17:48
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Cole Caufield
    2-0
  124. P1 17:13
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  125. P1 17:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Leevi Merilainen
  126. P1 16:52
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Jake Sanderson in defensive zone
  127. P1 16:32
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  128. P1 15:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Samuel Montembeault
  129. P1 15:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Samuel Montembeault
  130. P1 15:27
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  131. P1 14:50
    SHOT
    Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Nick Jensen
  132. P1 14:42
    Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
  133. P1 14:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Samuel Montembeault
  134. P1 13:57
    Giveaway by Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
  135. P1 13:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  136. P1 13:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  137. P1 13:00
    SHOT
    Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  138. P1 12:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  139. P1 12:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  140. P1 11:37
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
  141. P1 11:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  142. P1 11:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Joseph Veleno
  143. P1 11:30
    Stoppage - Chlg Hm - off-side
  144. P1 11:25
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  145. P1 11:20
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  146. P1 10:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Senators
  147. P1 10:16
    Giveaway by Cole Caufield in neutral zone
  148. P1 09:37
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
  149. P1 09:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Samuel Montembeault
  150. P1 09:08
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Ridly Greig in defensive zone
  151. P1 09:08
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  152. P1 08:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  153. P1 07:55
    Joseph Veleno credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in offensive zone
  154. P1 07:44
    Fabian Zetterlund credited with hit on Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
  155. P1 07:33
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in neutral zone
  156. P1 07:33
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  157. P1 07:02
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Phillip Danault
  158. P1 06:59
    SHOT
    Nick Jensen shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
  159. P1 04:43
    Takeaway by Zachary Bolduc in offensive zone
  160. P1 04:41
    Giveaway by Noah Dobson in offensive zone
  161. P1 04:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Evans
  162. P1 04:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mike Matheson
  163. P1 03:24
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Drake Batherson in defensive zone
  164. P1 03:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  165. P1 03:06
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  166. P1 03:06
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Juraj Slafkovský assisted by Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki
    1-0
  167. P1 02:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Leevi Merilainen
  168. P1 01:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  169. P1 01:32
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  170. P1 01:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  171. P1 01:13
    SHOT
    Drake Batherson shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  172. P1 00:50
    Ridly Greig credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
  173. P1 00:49
    Giveaway by Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
  174. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Senators
19Shots on Goal34
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
8Penalty Infraction Mins12
28Hits26
24 Shots Blocked 15
14Giveaways17
CanadiensMTL
SenatorsOTT
19Shots on Goal34
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
5/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
8Penalty Infraction Mins12
28Hits26
24 Shots Blocked 15
14Giveaways17

Canadiens vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Senators
  • Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +105, Senators -114

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 47%
  • Senators: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 47%, while the Senators have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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