Islanders vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Oilers NHL game on January 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Islanders
1
0
Rogers Place
Oilers
Rogers Place
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 0 1 1
Oilers
0 0 0 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Islanders
    100%
  • Oilers
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 0 1 1
Oilers
0 0 0 0
P3 19:24 Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 19:14 Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 18:41 Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 18:33 Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 16:05 Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
P3 14:49 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 14:01 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
P3 13:05 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:29 Power play - Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P3 11:43 Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 11:22 Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:01 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 10:04 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:06 Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 07:23 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 06:45 Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P3 05:59 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P3 03:30 Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 03:01 Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 02:01 Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Ilya Sorokin
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Ilya Sorokin
  3. P3 19:18
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  4. P3 19:18
    Stoppage - Icing
  5. P3 19:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  6. P3 18:41
    SHOT
    Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
  7. P3 18:33
    SHOT
    Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  8. P3 17:29
    Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Ty Emberson in defensive zone
  9. P3 17:29
    Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
  10. P3 17:24
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
  11. P3 17:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  12. P3 16:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Roslovic
  13. P3 15:14
    Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  14. P3 14:51
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  15. P3 14:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
  16. P3 14:01
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
  17. P3 13:05
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Ilya Sorokin
  18. P3 12:31
    Shorthanded - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  19. P3 12:31
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  20. P3 12:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  21. P3 11:57
    Takeaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
  22. P3 11:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  23. P3 11:32
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  24. P3 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Ilya Sorokin
  25. P3 11:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
  26. P3 10:17
    Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
  27. P3 10:04
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by teammate
  28. P3 09:29
    Giveaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  29. P3 09:22
    Islanders won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  30. P3 08:58
    Spencer Stastney credited with hit on Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
  31. P3 08:25
    Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
  32. P3 08:08
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
  33. P3 08:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  34. P3 07:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
  35. P3 06:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
  36. P3 05:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  37. P3 03:52
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in defensive zone
  38. P3 03:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  39. P3 03:04
    Power play - Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  40. P3 03:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
  41. P3 02:13
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  42. P3 02:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Ilya Sorokin
  43. P3 01:22
    Giveaway by Anthony Duclair in defensive zone
  44. P3 00:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Ilya Sorokin
  45. P3 00:32
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  46. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  47. P2 19:32
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  48. P2 19:12
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Connor Ingram
  49. P2 18:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mattias Janmark
  50. P2 18:42
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  51. P2 17:53
    SHOT
    Jake Walman shot blocked by Max Shabanov
  52. P2 17:26
    Giveaway by Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
  53. P2 16:23
    SHOT
    Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by teammate
  54. P2 16:22
    Islanders won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  55. P2 15:17
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  56. P2 14:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Roslovic saved by Ilya Sorokin
  57. P2 13:15
    SHOT
    Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  58. P2 13:13
    Islanders won faceoff against Oilers in neutral zone
  59. P2 13:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Connor Ingram
  60. P2 12:03
    SHOT
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
  61. P2 10:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Ilya Sorokin
  62. P2 10:43
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
  63. P2 10:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  64. P2 10:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
  65. P2 09:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Savoie
  66. P2 09:31
    SHOT
    Isaac Howard shot blocked by Adam Boqvist
  67. P2 09:06
    Anders Lee won faceoff against Oilers in offensive zone
  68. P2 09:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  69. P2 06:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Ilya Sorokin
  70. P2 05:46
    SHOT
    Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Spencer Stastney
  71. P2 05:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anders Lee
  72. P2 05:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Spencer Stastney
  73. P2 05:12
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Anders Lee in offensive zone
  74. P2 04:27
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  75. P2 04:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  76. P2 03:40
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
  77. P2 03:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Ilya Sorokin
  78. P2 02:44
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in neutral zone
  79. P2 02:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  80. P2 02:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Ilya Sorokin
  81. P2 01:59
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  82. P2 01:56
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Ty Emberson
  83. P2 01:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Ilya Sorokin
  84. P2 00:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kasperi Kapanen saved by Ilya Sorokin
  85. P2 00:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
  86. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  87. P1 19:44
    Islanders won faceoff against Trent Frederic in offensive zone
  88. P1 19:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
  89. P1 19:27
    Trent Frederic won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  90. P1 19:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
  91. P1 18:11
    Takeaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  92. P1 18:06
    Giveaway by Adam Pelech in defensive zone
  93. P1 18:02
    Stoppage - Icing
  94. P1 17:56
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  95. P1 17:36
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  96. P1 17:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  97. P1 17:32
    SHOT
    Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
  98. P1 16:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Walman
  99. P1 16:34
    SHOT
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
  100. P1 16:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Connor Ingram
  101. P1 15:23
    Giveaway by Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  102. P1 14:06
    Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  103. P1 13:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Spencer Stastney
  104. P1 13:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
  105. P1 13:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Ilya Sorokin
  106. P1 13:15
    Stoppage - Icing
  107. P1 13:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Sorokin
  108. P1 12:31
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  109. P1 12:08
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
  110. P1 11:54
    Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
  111. P1 11:35
    SHOT
    Vasily Podkolzin shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  112. P1 11:01
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  113. P1 10:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Curtis Lazar
  114. P1 10:32
    Anders Lee won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
  115. P1 10:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Connor Ingram
  116. P1 09:31
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  117. P1 08:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Connor Ingram
  118. P1 07:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  119. P1 07:39
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
  120. P1 07:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  121. P1 07:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Connor Ingram
  122. P1 05:34
    Giveaway by Jake Walman in defensive zone
  123. P1 05:21
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Trent Frederic in offensive zone
  124. P1 04:53
    SHOT
    Adam Boqvist shot blocked by teammate
  125. P1 04:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  126. P1 04:03
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  127. P1 02:55
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  128. P1 02:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  129. P1 02:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Marc Gatcomb
  130. P1 01:58
    Giveaway by Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
  131. P1 01:48
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Trent Frederic in offensive zone
  132. P1 01:41
    Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Emil Heineman in defensive zone
  133. P1 01:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Connor Ingram
  134. P1 01:25
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  135. P1 00:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Connor Ingram
  136. P1 00:00
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
  137. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Oilers
18Shots on Goal35
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
1/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins2
15Hits16
16 Shots Blocked 8
15Giveaways16
IslandersNYI
OilersEDM
18Shots on Goal35
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
1/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins2
15Hits16
16 Shots Blocked 8
15Giveaways16

Islanders vs. Oilers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Oilers
  • Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Place

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders +148, Oilers -170

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 40%
  • Oilers: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 40%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Oilers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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