Capitals vs. Hurricanes prediction: Why Carolina is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/13/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Capitals and Hurricanes, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Hurricanes a 59.0% chance of beating the Capitals. According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 63.1% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54.9% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Capitals +1.5 (-185) / Hurricanes -1.5 (+160)
• Moneyline: Capitals +135, Hurricanes -149
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-125)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Hurricanes -1.5 @ +160 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Hurricanes @ -149 via ESPN BET
• Total: Under 6.5 @ -125 via bet365

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Capitals vs. Hurricanes player props

Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Hurricanes?

According to our model, Sebastian Aho is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Hurricanes.

Our projections give Aho a 34.2% chance of scoring a goal at Lenovo Center, while the star is a 6.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Washington Capitals

• Alex Tuch: 29.2% probability
• Tom Wilson: 28.3% probability
• Alex Ovechkin: 23.2% probability
• Jakob Chychrun: 22.7% probability
• Aliaksei Protas: 20.5% probability

Carolina Hurricanes

• Sebastian Aho: 34.2% probability
• Andrei Svechnikov: 33.6% probability
• Logan Stankoven: 27.1% probability
• Nikolaj Ehlers: 26.3% probability
• Mark Jankowski: 25.0% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Washington Capitals

• Alex Tuch: 6.0% probability
• Tom Wilson: 5.1% probability
• Alex Ovechkin: 4.1% probability
• Aliaksei Protas: 3.9% probability
• Jakob Chychrun: 3.6% probability

Carolina Hurricanes

• Sebastian Aho: 6.9% probability
• Andrei Svechnikov: 6.4% probability
• Logan Stankoven: 5.8% probability
• Nikolaj Ehlers: 4.8% probability
• Mark Jankowski: 4.6% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Tuesday's action between the Hurricanes and Capitals at Lenovo Center is scheduled to start at 6:45 PM ET.

• Who: Washington Capitals vs. Carolina Hurricanes
• Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2026
• Time: 6:45 PM ET/3:45PM PT
• Venue: Lenovo Center

Conclusion

We predict the Hurricanes, with a 59.0% win probability, will likely beat the Capitals in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.