Mammoth vs. Rangers prediction favors Rangers to win Sunday's NHL matchup [10/4/2026]

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Written by Nick Slade

Dimers' simulation model projects a 52.1% win probability for the Rangers at Madison Square Garden.

The Utah Mammoth take on the NY Rangers in NHL action.
Utah Mammoth vs. NY Rangers NHL prediction for Sunday, October 4, 2026.

The NY Rangers and Utah Mammoth will lock horns in the NHL at Madison Square Garden on Sunday, with puck drop at 6:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Rangers a slight edge with a 52.1% win probability over the Mammoth.

This article offers a complete Mammoth vs. Rangers prediction, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Mammoth vs. Rangers prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Mammoth and the Rangers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Rangers a 52.1% chance of defeating the Mammoth. According to our model, the Mammoth (+1.5) have a 69.3% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54.5% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Puck Line: Mammoth +1.5 (-233) / Rangers -1.5 (+205)
  • Moneyline: Mammoth +110, Rangers -125
  • Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-120/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Puck line: Mammoth +1.5 @ -233 via ESPN BET
  • Moneyline: Mammoth @ +110 via BetRivers
  • Total: Over 5.5 @ -120 via bet365

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mammoth to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Mammoth vs. Rangers player props

Who will score a goal in Mammoth vs. Rangers?

According to our model, Dylan Guenther is most likely to score an anytime goal in Mammoth vs. Rangers.

Our projections give Guenther a 37.5% chance of scoring a goal at Madison Square Garden, while the star is a 7.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Utah Mammoth

  • Dylan Guenther: 37.5% probability
  • Nick Schmaltz: 30.7% probability
  • Logan Cooley: 27.4% probability
  • Clayton Keller: 25.4% probability
  • Lawson Crouse: 20.3% probability

NY Rangers

  • Pavel Dorofeyev: 35.1% probability
  • Mika Zibanejad: 33.1% probability
  • Alexis Lafreniere: 28.8% probability
  • Gabe Perreault: 21.3% probability
  • J.T. Miller: 20.8% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Utah Mammoth

  • Dylan Guenther: 7.4% probability
  • Nick Schmaltz: 5.6% probability
  • Logan Cooley: 5.1% probability
  • Clayton Keller: 5.0% probability
  • Lawson Crouse: 3.3% probability

NY Rangers

  • Pavel Dorofeyev: 7.6% probability
  • Mika Zibanejad: 6.4% probability
  • Alexis Lafreniere: 5.7% probability
  • Gabe Perreault: 3.6% probability
  • Will Cuylle: 3.5% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Sunday's action between the Rangers and Mammoth at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Utah Mammoth vs. NY Rangers
  • Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Rangers, with a 52.1% win probability, will likely beat the Mammoth in Sunday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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