Lightning vs. Rangers prediction favors Tampa Bay to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/13/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Rangers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Lightning a 56.4% chance of beating the Rangers. According to our model, the Rangers (+1.5) have a 65.3% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 55.9% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+155) / Rangers +1.5 (-179)
• Moneyline: Lightning -154, Rangers +139
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+120/-134)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Rangers +1.5 @ -179 via ESPN BET
• Moneyline: Rangers @ +139 via Caesars
• Total: Over 6.5 @ +120 via ESPN BET

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Rangers to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Lightning vs. Rangers player props

Who will score a goal in Lightning vs. Rangers?

According to our model, Nikita Kucherov is most likely to score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Rangers.

Our projections give Kucherov a 39.9% chance of scoring a goal at Madison Square Garden, while the star is an 8.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 39.9% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 37.0% probability
• Jake Guentzel: 36.6% probability
• Brayden Point: 27.8% probability
• Anthony Cirelli: 25.5% probability

NY Rangers

• Pavel Dorofeyev: 31.5% probability
• Mika Zibanejad: 30.2% probability
• Alexis Lafreniere: 28.9% probability
• Gabe Perreault: 21.6% probability
• J.T. Miller: 19.9% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Nikita Kucherov: 8.7% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 8.2% probability
• Jake Guentzel: 7.2% probability
• Brayden Point: 5.0% probability
• Anthony Cirelli: 4.8% probability

NY Rangers

• Mika Zibanejad: 5.9% probability
• Alexis Lafreniere: 5.9% probability
• Pavel Dorofeyev: 5.8% probability
• Gabe Perreault: 4.0% probability
• J.T. Miller: 3.8% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Tuesday's matchup between the Rangers and Lightning at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to commence at 7:15 PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. NY Rangers
• Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2026
• Time: 7:15 PM ET/4:15PM PT
• Venue: Madison Square Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 56.4% win probability, will likely beat the Rangers in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.