Senators vs. Red Wings prediction favors Ottawa to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/6/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Senators and Red Wings, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Senators a 52.7% chance of beating the Red Wings. According to our model, the Red Wings (+1.5) have a 68.7% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 54.8% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Senators -1.5 (+230) / Red Wings +1.5 (-260)
• Moneyline: Senators -105, Red Wings -105
• Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-129/+115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Senators -1.5 @ +230 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: Senators @ -105 via BetMGM
• Total: Under 5.5 @ +115 via bet365

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Senators to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Senators vs. Red Wings player props

Who will score a goal in Senators vs. Red Wings?

According to our model, Alex DeBrincat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Red Wings.

Our projections give DeBrincat a 40.5% chance of scoring a goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the star is an 8.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

• Tim Stutzle: 38.1% probability
• Drake Batherson: 33.7% probability
• Shane Pinto: 29.1% probability
• Dylan Cozens: 25.7% probability
• Michael Amadio: 22.3% probability

Detroit Red Wings

• Alex DeBrincat: 40.5% probability
• Viktor Arvidsson: 35.0% probability
• Dylan Larkin: 31.6% probability
• Lucas Raymond: 28.4% probability
• Emmitt Finnie: 15.6% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

• Tim Stutzle: 8.4% probability
• Drake Batherson: 6.8% probability
• Shane Pinto: 5.5% probability
• Dylan Cozens: 4.9% probability
• Michael Amadio: 4.2% probability

Detroit Red Wings

• Alex DeBrincat: 8.6% probability
• Viktor Arvidsson: 6.8% probability
• Dylan Larkin: 6.7% probability
• Lucas Raymond: 5.8% probability
• Emmitt Finnie: 2.6% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Tuesday's action between the Red Wings and Senators at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings
• Date: Tuesday, October 6, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Senators, with a 52.7% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.