Senators vs. Bruins prediction favors Ottawa to win Monday's NHL matchup [10/5/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL game between the Senators and Bruins, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Senators a 51.2% chance of defeating the Bruins. According to our model, the Bruins (+1.5) have a 70.3% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 52.4% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Senators -1.5 (+225) / Bruins +1.5 (-250)
• Moneyline: Senators -114, Bruins +100
• Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-115/+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Bruins +1.5 @ -250 via BetMGM
• Moneyline: Bruins @ +100 via ESPN BET
• Total: Over 5.5 @ -115 via ESPN BET

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bruins +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Senators vs. Bruins player props

Who will score a goal in Senators vs. Bruins?

According to our model, Tim Stutzle is most likely to score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Bruins.

Our projections give Stutzle a 36.4% chance of scoring a goal at TD Garden, while the star is a 7.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

• Tim Stutzle: 36.4% probability
• Drake Batherson: 33.4% probability
• Shane Pinto: 28.5% probability
• Dylan Cozens: 25.9% probability
• Michael Amadio: 20.4% probability

Boston Bruins

• Morgan Geekie: 33.0% probability
• JJ Peterka: 31.5% probability
• David Pastrnak: 30.6% probability
• Pavel Zacha: 26.4% probability
• Elias Lindholm: 19.0% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

• Tim Stutzle: 7.8% probability
• Drake Batherson: 6.5% probability
• Shane Pinto: 6.1% probability
• Dylan Cozens: 4.5% probability
• Michael Amadio: 3.8% probability

Boston Bruins

• David Pastrnak: 7.1% probability
• Morgan Geekie: 6.9% probability
• JJ Peterka: 5.6% probability
• Pavel Zacha: 5.0% probability
• Elias Lindholm: 3.4% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Monday's action between the Bruins and Senators at TD Garden is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Boston Bruins
• Date: Monday, October 5, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: TD Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Senators, with a 51.2% win probability, will likely beat the Bruins in Monday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.