Rangers vs. Bruins prediction favors Boston to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [9/29/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 51.1% win probability for the Bruins at TD Garden.

The Boston Bruins will take on the NY Rangers, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at TD Garden on Tuesday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Bruins a slight edge with a 51.1% win probability over the Rangers.
This article offers a complete Rangers vs. Bruins prediction, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Rangers vs. Bruins prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives the Bruins a 51.1% chance of beating the Rangers. According to our model, the Rangers (+1.5) have a 70.3% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54.4% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Puck Line: Rangers +1.5 (-265) / Bruins -1.5 (+225)
- Moneyline: Rangers -105, Bruins -106
- Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-128/+121)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Puck line: Bruins -1.5 @ +225 via BetRivers
- Moneyline: Bruins @ -106 via FanDuel
- Total: Under 5.5 @ +121 via Caesars
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 5.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Rangers vs. Bruins player props
Who will score a goal in Rangers vs. Bruins?
According to our model, David Pastrnak is most likely to score an anytime goal in Rangers vs. Bruins.
Our projections give Pastrnak a 35.0% chance of scoring a goal at TD Garden, while the star is a 7.2% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Rangers
- Pavel Dorofeyev: 33.8% probability
- Mika Zibanejad: 32.0% probability
- Alexis Lafreniere: 24.2% probability
- J.T. Miller: 23.5% probability
- Gabe Perreault: 20.6% probability
Boston Bruins
- David Pastrnak: 35.0% probability
- Morgan Geekie: 34.8% probability
- Pavel Zacha: 29.6% probability
- JJ Peterka: 27.6% probability
- Elias Lindholm: 21.4% probability
First goal scorer predictions
NY Rangers
- Mika Zibanejad: 6.8% probability
- Pavel Dorofeyev: 6.5% probability
- J.T. Miller: 4.8% probability
- Alexis Lafreniere: 4.3% probability
- Will Cuylle: 3.6% probability
Boston Bruins
- David Pastrnak: 7.2% probability
- Morgan Geekie: 6.9% probability
- Pavel Zacha: 6.4% probability
- JJ Peterka: 5.2% probability
- Elias Lindholm: 3.7% probability
Game info & puck drop details
Tuesday's action between the Bruins and Rangers at TD Garden is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: NY Rangers vs. Boston Bruins
- Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: TD Garden
Conclusion
We predict the Bruins, with a 51.1% win probability, will likely beat the Rangers in Tuesday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



