NHL player props today: Monday's best props include Anthony Cirelli [10/5/2026]

Anthony Cirelli to score a point (+110)

• Edge: 1.6%
• Probability: 49.2%
• Game: Flyers vs. Lightning (7:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Lightning's Anthony Cirelli going over 0.5 a point. A probability of 49.2% gives this play an edge of 1.6% at +110 odds.

Wyatt Johnston anytime goal scorer (+155)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 45.9%
• Game: Sharks vs. Stars (8:00PM ET)

Wyatt Johnston’s anytime goal scorer prop shows a 45.9% probability and an 6.7% edge at +155 odds, according to our model.

Nikita Kucherov anytime goal scorer (+155)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 43.6%
• Game: Flyers vs. Lightning (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Nikita Kucherov anytime goal scorer, with simulations showing a 43.6% probability and a 4.4% edge at +155.

Kyle Connor anytime goal scorer (+165)

• Edge: 1.5%
• Probability: 39.2%
• Game: Jets vs. Penguins (7:30PM ET)

Our model finds value on Kyle Connor to score a goal, with a 39.2% probability and an edge of 1.5% at +165 odds.

Sidney Crosby anytime goal scorer (+180)

• Edge: 1.2%
• Probability: 36.9%
• Game: Jets vs. Penguins (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Sidney Crosby as an anytime goal scorer for Penguins, showing an edge of 1.2% at +180 odds.

Claude Giroux to record an assist (+235)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 35.2%
• Game: Senators vs. Bruins (7:30PM ET)

Claude Giroux’s assist prop shows an edge of 5.3% at +235 odds, supported by a 35.2% probability according to our model.

Tim Stutzle anytime goal scorer (+210)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 35.1%
• Game: Senators vs. Bruins (7:30PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Tim Stutzle anytime goal scorer for Senators, with a 35.1% probability and a 2.8% edge at +210 odds.

Mark Scheifele anytime goal scorer (+230)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 34.1%
• Game: Jets vs. Penguins (7:30PM ET)

The data shows value on Mark Scheifele anytime goal scorer, supported by a 34.1% probability at +230 odds and an edge of 3.8%.

Morgan Geekie anytime goal scorer (+235)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 32.6%
• Game: Senators vs. Bruins (7:30PM ET)

A 2.7% edge on the anytime goal line makes Morgan Geekie a value play in Senators vs. Bruins, supported by a 32.6% probability at +235 odds.

Anthony Cirelli over 0.5 an assist (+230)

• Edge: 1.5%
• Probability: 31.8%
• Game: Flyers vs. Lightning (7:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Anthony Cirelli over 0.5 an assist here, with a 31.8% probability and 1.5% edge at +230 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Monday, October 5, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:01AM ET:

Conclusion

For October 5, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Anthony Cirelli, Wyatt Johnston and Nikita Kucherov. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.