Wild vs. Sabres prediction favors Buffalo to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/6/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 51.2% win probability for the Sabres at KeyBank Center.

The Buffalo Sabres and Minnesota Wild will meet in the NHL at KeyBank Center on Tuesday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Sabres a slight edge with a 51.2% win probability over the Wild.
This article offers a complete Wild vs. Sabres prediction, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Wild vs. Sabres prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model gives the Sabres a 51.2% chance of defeating the Wild. According to our model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 71.8% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54.2% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Puck Line: Wild -1.5 (+220) / Sabres +1.5 (-240)
- Moneyline: Wild -106, Sabres -104
- Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+106/-118)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Puck line: Sabres +1.5 @ -240 via FanDuel
- Moneyline: Sabres @ -104 via FanDuel
- Total: Under 6.5 @ -118 via BetMGM
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sabres +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Wild vs. Sabres player props
Who will score a goal in Wild vs. Sabres?
According to our model, Kirill Kaprizov is most likely to score an anytime goal in Wild vs. Sabres.
Our projections give Kaprizov a 44.3% chance of scoring a goal at KeyBank Center, while the star is a 9.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Minnesota Wild
- Kirill Kaprizov: 44.3% probability
- Matt Boldy: 38.7% probability
- Ryan Hartman: 25.1% probability
- Joel Ek: 23.1% probability
- Blake Coleman: 20.0% probability
Buffalo Sabres
- Tage Thompson: 38.8% probability
- Josh Doan: 29.0% probability
- Jack Quinn: 27.8% probability
- Rasmus Dahlin: 21.4% probability
- Josh Norris: 21.3% probability
First goal scorer predictions
Minnesota Wild
- Kirill Kaprizov: 9.0% probability
- Matt Boldy: 7.5% probability
- Ryan Hartman: 4.4% probability
- Joel Ek: 3.9% probability
- Blake Coleman: 3.5% probability
Buffalo Sabres
- Tage Thompson: 7.5% probability
- Josh Doan: 5.4% probability
- Jack Quinn: 5.3% probability
- Rasmus Dahlin: 3.7% probability
- Josh Norris: 3.6% probability
Game info & puck drop details
Tuesday's action between the Sabres and Wild at KeyBank Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Wild vs. Buffalo Sabres
- Date: Tuesday, October 6, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: KeyBank Center
Conclusion
We predict the Sabres, with a 51.2% win probability, will likely beat the Wild in Tuesday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



